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Best regards, the Brexit Facts4EU.Org team, July 2018
 HERE’S SOME ‘ARITHMETIC’ FOR REMAIN-VOTING MPs
A USEFUL REMINDER OF SOME BASIC FACTS
The following is a summary for all MPs of the democratic fundamentals underlying all votes they have to make on Brexit in the House of Commons.
Most newspapers and TV news programmes are obsessed with personality politics. Sometimes the basics of democracy can get lost. Below we try to bring things back to what ordinary people think is ‘normal’.
THERE ARE THREE THINGS PREVENTING BREXIT
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY
THE 3 MAIN PARTIES PREVENTING BREXIT
  • Theresa May – a Remainer Prime Minister & her Remainer civil servants
  • The Remainer MPs in the House of Commons
  • The EU
The first item needs to be dealt with by Conservative MPs. The last item cannot be dealt with – we said from the beginning that the EU was always going to make it impossible for the UK to negotiate a normal, sensible departure.
It’s the second item which we address in this article.
THE ‘PARLIAMENTARY ARITHMETIC’
Scarcely a day has gone by recently without hearing a Remain-supporting MP telling the TV or the newspapers that the government’s Brexit policy will not succeed because of ‘parliamentary arithmetic’.
“They just don’t have the votes,” they say, smugly.
So let’s just stop and think about this for a moment.
The arithmetic exists in the country at large. What Remainer MPs are saying is that they don’t like Brexit, they think it’s bad for jobs etc, and so will vote against it in the House of Commons, that supposed cradle of democracy.
These MPs are so caught up in the political machinations and intrigues of the Commons, they have forgotten several things.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY OF DEMOCRACY & BREXIT
  • In June 2015 MPs voted by 544-53 (by 6 to 1) to hold an In/Out EU Referendum
  • The Referendum question was not “Do you want your MP to exercise his or her personal judgement?”
  • It was a binary choice of staying in or leaving the EU
  • The official government leaflet sent to everyone made it clear the result would be implemented
  • The country voted by a majority to leave the EU
  • The country then voted in the general election by 85% for parties favouring leaving the Single Market & Customs Union
THIS REALLY ISN’T DIFFICULT
So this is the democratic background to the decision to leave the EU. There’s nothing difficult about it. No objections were raised before the Referendum about its binding nature (albeit non-technically) on Parliament. No objections were raised about the need to specify whether the people wanted to stay in some parts of the EU’s structures.
It was a clear binary choice to leave the EU or not, and the British people made it in June 2016.
THE ‘SECOND REFERENDUM’
Almost a year after the EU Referendum the people had another chance to express an opinion in the general election of 2017. They voted by over 85% for parties whose manifestos committed to exiting the Single Market and Customs Union.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
The chart above shows how the British public overwhelmingly backed parties which said they would enact the Referendum result and take the UK out of the EU, including out of the Single Market and Customs Union.
Within the 85% are the Conservatives, Labour, UKIP and the DUP. Within the 13% are the LibDems the SNP, the Greens, Sinn Fein and Plaid Cymru. The balance not shown are for very minor parties or individuals.
The basic fact to remember is that public voted by 85% for parties whose manifestos said they would fundamentally honour Brexit.
CURRENT COMPOSITION OF THE COMMONS
The chart below shows how the votes were translated into seats, for the MPs now sitting in Parliament.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
Over 90% of MPs owe their seats to being a member of parties which fundamentally backed the Referendum decision.
  • No question of a second Referendum on the terms of a deal
  • No question of delaying the end of Article 50
  • No question of a fudge keeping the UK in the Single Market or Customs Union in all but name
  • No question of MPs taking over the decision of the British people and exercising ‘individual judgement’
OBSERVATIONS
This decision by the British people was not part of our normal ‘representative democracy’, where MPs are supposed to exercise their judgement on behalf of their constituents. In reality of course the vast bulk of them do no such thing and simply vote along party lines.
No, this was a decision delegated by Parliament to the British people and the British people made it.
THE CONSEQUENCES
It matters not whether MPs agree or disagree with it, they are honour bound to implement it. If they do not, as we have written many times, they will have to face the consequences.
On a personal level for them, this will mean some MPs being deselected by their constituency associations. It will also result in entire careers being ruined – tainted forever by their failure to comprehend that this was the most important decision in most people’s lifetimes.
IF YOU’RE GOING TO DO SUMS, DO THE RIGHT ONES
We urge all MPs who continue to think they know best, and those who think they are being clever in coming up with some ridiculous form of words to justify their anti-democratic behaviour, to think again.
The next time you are about to say “the parliamentary arithmetic means it will never pass”, reflect for a moment. What you are actually saying is that you think you’re safe because you have many colleagues who will vote the same way, regardless of the views of the people.
Sorry, but this time safety in numbers won’t work.
PLEASE THINK CAREFULLY
These are YOUR decisions. YOU were elected on a manifesto. YOU know in your heart that the majority of the people want to leave the EU fully. YOU know in your heart that in fact you know little about the EU and that you trot out what you’ve heard, or what is the party line.
Well maybe, just maybe, sometimes the people know best.
On this occasion they overcame the biggest wall of propaganda in British political history and STILL they decided that the United Kingdom’s best long-term interests lie outside the European Union.
We urge you to think very carefully about what is right and wrong, and do the right thing. If you do – even if it’s now late in the day - you will have our support, and we think you will be looked upon more favourably by the majority of our readers.
[ Sources: Electoral Commission ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.45am, 17 July 2018
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READERS' COMMENTS
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Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 11.14am
Message: If it walks like a duck and talks like a duck it is probably a duck. Even truisms can speak truth to power. On the subject of betrayal, the Chequers Plan deception provides a benchmark for the dishonesty of the Remain holdouts at the heart of Government. As it plays out, Chequers forces a recalibration of political commentary on the last two years events.
Previously it seemed paranoid to pose that Mrs May called and threw the last election to water down her mandate for Brexit. Now it seems quite plausible, given recent events. It would explain the strange policies like the Dementia Tax and disadvantaging the self-employed. Was it really driven by social and fiscal imperatives or was it a carefully calculated undermining of narrow sections of the voter base?
The Chequers Coup was a "clever" undertaking towards the end of a deliberate phony war with the EU. It certainly seems possible therefore that the 2017 election was the subject of creative politicking by the same clever people playing a long game, that probably started with the departure of Cameron and the leadership election. Only by electing a leader with Remain sympathies could Chequers have come to fruition.
Thankfully, as displayed in the House last night, by Messrs. Davis, Jenkins, Rees-Mogg, Wilson etc, the EU and its proxies in the UK are not the only "adults in the room". The merits of WTO, free trade and a clean break with the EU are starting to get some traction. Not knowing where Brexit is headed, I do however know that if the 2016 referendum result is not honoured, then the Conservative party will never get my vote again, either in the local or national elections. This post harps on about recent history because it is the fuel for the fire that Remain have now lit. It will not be put out by their sound-bites and spin.
Name: Michael Wood, London, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 10.33am
Message: Parliament, by an overwhelming majority, passed the Referendum bill after being told that it gave the people the final decision. The government leaflet repeated that. Parliament voted overwhelmingly to pass Article 50. Remainers, now voting and working against Brexit are defying not just the people, but parliament too. We have no means of removing these people, but I do hope their constituency parties will consider if they want to support people who are opposed to democracy.
Sadly, May is not only a remainer, but as she demonstrated during the General Election campaign, no friend of democracy either. She fought a 'Presidential' campaign putting her ego and self regard before the needs of the country. We are paying a heavy price for her self-indulgence and she must go in order that we can move forward, as a democracy, respecting the people's decision.
Name: Not4EU, London, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 10.11am
Message: Sorry for the second comment, but it didn't 'fit' well enough with my previous point.
As expected, there are now calls for a second (really third) referendum. The self-same people who have refused to accept the result of a referendum result now want...a referendum! Oh, the irony.
The 'fix' didn't quite work last time, so they've worked out a way to 'split' the leave vote, with the previously rejected option of 'remain' making a comeback. People who 'didn't understand' a binary choice would now have three, two effectively being 'remain' meaning that just 34% could carry the day. Of course, to muddy the waters it should be a 'preference vote' to push the 'legitimacy' of remain. Leavers would only vote for the only real leave option. Pro-EU federalist anti-democrats would vote for remain. So they would concentrate their efforts on getting the 'second' remain vote on those voting for BRINO, otherwise known as the turd way, with another well-funded turbo-charged Project Fear and propaganda.
These people are stupid. They obviously think that we are. We have news for you - we're not.
Name: Not4EU, London, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 09.40am
Message: Morning folks. Well said, and this message needs to be repeated again and again via email/letter to the anti-democratic so-called remainers and also to those MPs outwardly now 'supporting' leave but working to achieve the minimal definition of leaving, 'hobbling' us to the EU and generally trying to frustrate the process whilst claiming it's not their fault.
This was evident in the VAT amendment vote last night, where 300 odd opposed us 'leaving' the EU VAT system, and controlling our own 'purchase taxes'. Given that approx 80% of net VAT receipts is remitted to the EU and not our coffers (the difference being our 'admin fee'), VAT could be removed immediately from 'utility' bills, helping the poorest, and also removed from other articles that those who opposed the amendment have been complaining about, with little impact on our finances. The vote was won by three votes. A disgraceful demonstration that a large number of MPs have no intention of implementing the referendum instruction. VAT is an EU constructed tax which would be for a foreign power to determine what it applies to. Unbelievable. There are times when the last five minutes of the film 'V' seem almost inspirational.
Name: Steve, Yorkshire, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 08.52am
Message: the way i always remember politicians is by a simple verse:- men are from mars, women from venus, and politicians from uranus !
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 07.30am
Message: Another thing preventing Brexit is the anti Brexit bias in the mainstream media. From the corporations, to the individual 'journalists' and even the Electoral Commission who have fined Vote Leave and referred them to the Police. Sky News have just asked Liam Fox (7.36am) if that now makes the Referendum invalid!
EVEN OUR 'SIMPLE' ARTICLES LIKE THE ONE ABOVE TAKE TIME TO PRODUCE
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Unfortunately even a simple article like the one above takes a lot of time for several people, to ensure we get the facts right and that they are presented well, so that people read them.
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 “CLOWNS TO THE LEFT OF ME,
JOKERS TO THE RIGHT” 1
      
Guy Verhofstadt MEP / Olly Robbins       
OLLY ROBBINS’ WHITE PAPER?
DON’T FORGET THE EU PARLIAMENT
With the focus in the UK being on what the various political actors might do next in response to Mrs May’s intransigent backing of Olly Robbins’ “Wet Remain” Chequers plan, the views and the role of the EU Parliament have been mostly ignored by the British media.
One of the questions – if Mrs May’s Chequers plan continues beyond this week – is what will happen if this “Wet Remain” is watered down even further in Brussels? Here we look at one aspect of that question.
HOW THE HIGH PRIESTS OF THE EU TEMPLE WILL DECIDE BREXIT
“The Council needs to obtain the European Parliament’s consent (Article 50 (2) TEU), voting by a simple majority of the votes cast, before it can conclude the withdrawal agreement.”
- EU Parliament website, July 2018
So under the terms of Article 50, the EU Parliament has what amounts to a veto on the eventual deal.
Here is a reminder of what Article 50 says:
“In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.”
“A qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.”
So the vote on a ‘simple’ withdrawal deal will be carried out under the Qualified Majority Voting (QMV) system in the EU Council of 27 leaders, after receiving the consent of the EU Parliament.
The EU Parliament therefore effectively has a veto.
SO WHAT DOES THE EU PARLIAMENT SAY ABOUT BREXIT?
The EU Parliament’s views on its role in the Brexit decision are clear from their website:-
“Therefore the European Parliament's right to withhold consent to the final agreement offers it political leverage to influence the agreement and effectively makes it a veto player.”
- EU Parliament website, July 2018
It is interesting that whilst the Council working under the ‘Qualified Majority Vote’ (QMV) procedure requires both an absolute majority and a 65% majority of the population represented by those states, the EU Parliament’s vote has no such provision. All that is required is a simple majority.
EU PARLIAMENT’S VIEWS ON OLLY ROBBINS’ WHITE PAPER
On Thursday last week the EU Parliament’s “Brexit Steering Group” (BSG), led by the arch-federalist, Belgian MEP Guy Verhofstadt, gave its initial views on Theresa May’s White Paper produced by the unelected civil servant Olly Robbins and the functionaries of No.10’s ‘Europe Unit’.
“In a first reaction, it welcomed both the Statement and the White Paper by the UK Government as a step towards establishing a new relationship between the UK and the EU once the UK is no longer a Member State.”
“In particular, the BSG welcomed that the UK is proposing that the future EU-UK relationship take the form of an Association Agreement.”
“It reconfirmed the Parliament’s position expressed in its resolutions that it will not consent to a Withdrawal Agreement, including a transition period, without a credible “back stop” provision for the Northern Ireland/Ireland border to prevent a hard border and safeguard the integrity of the single market.”
The BSG went on to stress that any agreement would involve:
“respecting among others the principles of the non-divisibility of the four freedoms, the integrity of the single market, avoiding a sector-by-sector approach and safeguarding financial stability, the preservation of the autonomy of EU decision-making, the safeguarding of the EU legal order and the balance of rights and obligations which any future EU-UK relationship will need to respect. In this framework there will be, for example, no space for outsourcing EU‘s customs competences.”
- Brexit Steering Group, EU Parliament , 12 July 2018
WHAT THIS MEANS IN PRACTICE
In other words, the EU Parliament welcomed the continuing and additional capitulations of Theresa May’s government, but it will continue to demand far, far more.
Specifically it will not countenance any dividing of the four freedoms, it insists on EU law being supreme, and it will not allow the UK government to collect customs duties on the EU’s behalf.
As it stands, the Robbins White Paper will be rejected by the EU Parliament, who have a veto over the entire deal. This should come as no surprise to anyone on the British side.
OBSERVATIONS
When it comes to the EU Parliament, we believe this is virtually a lost cause – at least until the next EU Elections take place, when a large number of eurosceptic MEPs from all over the EU are expected to be elected. Even then, the institution will remain largely federalist.
It is in the EU Parliament where EU federalists are at their most feral and vocal. These are the high priests leading the faithful in the Temple dedicated to that most holy of holies: full EU integration into a superstate.
To say these people are on another planet would be an insult to extra-terrestrials. Proceedings are rarely covered by the BBC or other media, but some members of the Brexit Facts4EU.Org team watch and read them all the time. Readers need not worry - strong medication and resuscitation equipment is always on hand.
MEPs who read Brexit Facts4EU.Org do of course come from the more intelligent section of the body and will forgive us for saying this, but a large number of the MEPs are – how shall we put this? – deeply unimpressive. We wouldn’t trust most of them to organise a village fete.
Many MEPs seem to have spent too long in Brussels and have, to put it kindly, only the most tenuous grasp of reality.
It is a little scary to think of hundreds of nonentities voting on the UK’s future but this is what will happen. All we can say is we long for the day when the UK will soon no longer be part of this charade.
At Brexit Facts4EU.Org we will continue to bring you information about all the important factors in the whole Brexit process. Please, please help us with a donation - no matter how small - if you can. Brexit is seriously at risk and we need your help to keep fighting.
1 Song lyric with apologies to the great Stealers Wheel.
[ Sources: EU Parliament | EU Council ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.55am, 16 July 2018
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READERS' COMMENTS
Please send us your comments and we will publish them here. You can of course use a pseudonym if you prefer, and it's always nice to know roughly where you're writing from. Please always state the headline of the article you're commenting on.
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 5.35pm
Message: In response to Liz F's letter: Excellent idea, but there's no way on earth I want anymore of TM's brown sauce.
Name: Liz F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 4.30pm
Message: In view of the repeated Remainer requests for a second Brexit referendum I would like to propose we have a Breakfast referendum instead. There would be two questions on the ballot paper: do you want a full English or a Continental? Bring on the bacon!
Name: Big Mach, Cheshire, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 3.04pm
Message: The quote about an association agreement is interesting. "In particular, the BSG welcomed that the UK is proposing that the future EU-UK relationship take the form of an Association Agreement." Verhofstad was talking about this as the preferred option months ago. It is not too much of a stretch to see Robbins going to Brussels and formulating the White Paper in conjunction with EU officials in order to arrive at an association agreement. The behaviour of our civil servants and their lackeys in the Europe department in the PM's office has been despicable. The tumbrils should be rolling along Whitehall.
Name: Huev, Midlands, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 2.39pm
Message: 'We all desperately hoped that she was being truthful with her 'No Deal is Better than a Bad Deal', and 'Brexit means Brexit'; 'vicar's daughter and all that.' No wonder she is in church on Sundays, praying for forgiveness. Asking the wrong people. You do not get forgiven when you continue to transgress. There is a difference between being misguided and wilfully being economical with the truth.
Name: Tom Rogers, Bridlington, East Riding, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 12.35pm
Message: If the EU's ratification system worked as set out here, then it would be very excellent news for us Brexiters because it would mean there is another obstacle in the way of an anti-Brexit withdrawal agreement. Alas, it doesn't the work the way it is set out on paper. In reality, the European Parliament's Brexit co-ordinator, Guy Verhofstadt, will have been consulted and May will have ensured that there is there is an understanding between the parties. As if to underscore that the whole thing is being co-ordinated, here's a link to the statement of the Parliament's Brexit Steering Group, that Verhofstadt chairs: [Google for link].
Our only hope is:
(i). the Tory Party finds a way to remove its Remain leadership (not just May, but ensure that a Remainer does not replace her), and a new Brexit Tory leader re-negotiates or allows us to fall out in March 2019; or,
(ii). the Commons rebels on ratification of the final withdrawal agreement and we fall out in March 2019.
I don't see (i) happening. There's a reason May was selected as leader. A Brexiter could not lead the Tories in Parliament. I also don't know if (ii) is possible - it depends on the numbers, and it probably boils down to the DUP.
Reply: We would urge some caution. Yes, there is often discussion/collusion between the EU Parliament and its committees and the Commission and Council. However Brexit is an opportunity for much grandstanding and flexing of muscles.
Name: J Slater, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 09.40am
Message: The Jokers and Clowns in the Tory Party are those desperately trying to cling on to a discredited Leader. PM Mrs May has been treacherous to both this Country and to the Root and Branch of the Conservative Party, the majority of whom are Leavers. We all desperately hoped that she was being truthful with her 'No Deal is Better than a Bad Deal', and 'Brexit means Brexit'; vicar's daughter and all that. She has now been revealed for what she is, and there is no putting the lid back on Pandora's Box. To keep May in power now is death to the Party; to remove her and replace her soonest with an honest Brexiter is one way to save both the Country and the Conservatives. The Country wants action. There is now real anger amongst the people. The more May is in our faces, trying to con us with her weasel words, the more damage she does to the Tory Party. Not that she necessarily cares, as her loyalties are clearly with the EU. Brexiter of Braintree has shown how shockingly lacking in knowledge his Tory MP is, and presumably many others too - too lazy, or sucking up to the 'boss' to keep their slates clean. Forget it! Those days are now over. The growing fury in response to May's treachery will not go away. The 'Ides of May' is fast approaching. Beware!
Name: Nick Martinek, Yorkshire, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 09.14am
Message: Good morning. This crisis is about much more than Olly Robbins' White paper. Unless Mr Robbins has engineered a coup d'etat, the instruction for his White paper (the second) must have come from Theresa May. She can have had no other purpose than deception. This is Mrs May's "Dodgy Dossier" moment.
She has created two governments: one for show, to keep her back benchers at bay and hoodwink the Leave voters, and another, to impose her "revolving door" Remain. Mrs May has been breathtakingly devious as she undermines the proper process of government. This is no longer limited to Brexit, it is unravelling into a crisis in her premiership, the Tory party, the government machine, and even in our whole democratic system.
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 ‘MY WAY OR THE HIGHWAY’
SAYS MAY
© Mail on Sunday
PM PUSHES ASIDE
FORMER BREXIT SECRETARY DAVIS
TO PROMOTE HER ‘WET REMAIN’ PLAN
In an article written for the Mail on Sunday today, Theresa May doubles down on her claims to be delivering Brexit. She shows increased determination to force through the ‘Wet Remain’ plan devised by unelected bureaucrat Olly Robbins and his team of functionaries in No.10’s Europe Unit.
Not content with a newspaper column today, Mrs May has also pushed her way onto this morning’s Marr Show on the BBC, bumping off former Brexit Secretary the Rt Hon David Davis MP in the process.
It seems that the BBC chose to dump Mr Davis from appearing as well as Mrs May, instead of bumping off another guest.
Below are some key excerpts from Theresa May’s article in this morning’s Mail on Sunday.
THE CLAIM TO BE DELIVERING BREXIT
“It restores our national sovereignty, so that it is our Government that decides who comes into our country, our Parliaments that make our laws and our courts that enforce them.”
“It puts an end to the vast membership subscriptions we pay to Brussels, delivering a Brexit dividend”
“People voted to end free movement. So free movement will end. People voted to end the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice in our country; and we are going to deliver that too.”
“We will leave the Single Market and Customs Union, and get out of the Common Agricultural Policy and the Common Fisheries Policy. We will have that independent trade policy and a new UK-EU free trade area with a common rulebook for industrial goods and agricultural products.”
“We will have that parliamentary lock on all new rules and regulations. We will not tolerate a hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland or between Great Britain and Northern Ireland.”
ON TRUMP AND THE ABILITY TO DO TRADE DEALS
“It grasps the opportunities of an independent trade policy, freeing us to forge new trade deals with allies across the world – including America, where President Trump has made it clear he wants a trade deal and is now confident we will be able to do it.”
WILL SHE CAPITULATE EVEN FURTHER?
“Our Brexit deal is not some long wish-list from which negotiators get to pick and choose. It is a complete plan with a set of outcomes that are non-negotiable.”
ON JACOB REES-MOGG AND THE PRO-BREXIT MPS
“There are others who are planning to try and bring down a Bill that is essential in enabling us to prepare for life outside the European Union. This would put at risk our ability to make the necessary preparations for a no deal.”
“And this could lead to a damaging and disorderly Brexit because without this Bill passing we would not be able to retain the benefits of more than 40 existing trade arrangements; and neither will we have the means to protect consumers, industries and workers from being undercut by unfairly traded goods in a post-Brexit Britain.”
You can read Mrs May’s full article for the Mail on Sunday here.
TRUMP REITERATES HIS ORIGINAL VIEW ON MRS MAY’S FORM OF ‘BREXIT’
© Mail on Sunday
Unknown to Mrs May when she wrote her article, the Mail on Sunday is also running a big splash on Piers Morgan’s one-on-one interview with President Trump, which took place on Air Force One AFTER his press conference with Mrs May at Blenheim Palace.
In this interview, the President was asked if his position on Brexit had changed after meeting Mrs May.
‘No, no, I think my position is the same - I just think it’s really their choice. And if you speak to the Prime Minister, she’s really saying: “No, it is Brexit, it is what it was, but we’re leaving certain things.”
‘Do you believe that?’
‘Well honestly it’s not for me to say.’
‘Most people don’t believe it.’
‘Well yeah, I know, but…’
‘They think it doesn’t allow for America to actually trade.’
‘Well that would be bad, I mean look, I think it’s worse for UK than it is for us because we’re doing very well, and we’re doing very well at trade, and we’re doing incredibly well overall, and we’re having the best numbers we’ve ever had as a country - best employment numbers, best GDP numbers.’
‘If we were free, Britain, to do a genuine free trade deal...’
‘We would make a tremendously big deal.’
Trump revealed at the press conference he had privately suggested Mrs May activate a ‘brutal option’ to bring the EU to heel.
Piers Morgan asked what it was.
‘Well I recommended her something, I gave her an option, I’d rather not tell you what that option is, but I think she might. I think it would’ve been great, but it’s not too late for her to do that necessarily.’
You can read Mr Morgan’s interview with President Trump in full, at DailyMail.com here.
OBSERVATIONS
To write an article for a Sunday newspaper AND to insert yourself into the BBC’s flagship Sunday political show would seem to us to smack of some desperation by the country’s Prime Minister.
More importantly though, it is clear that Theresa May has no intention of backing down from Olly Robbins’ Wet Remain plan.
She hasn’t yet gone as far as to say “back me or sack me” but if she did we would firmly back the second option.
WILL THE PLAN GET EVEN WORSE, IN CONTACT WITH THE ENEMY?
“No battle plan survives contact with the enemy”
We suggest readers might want to take note of the form of words Mrs May is now using in answer to the question “Will Brussels negotiate the deal down and make it even worse?”
In her article today she refers to “a set of outcomes that are non-negotiable”. She does not say that she will not negotiate on the already-weak proposals in her Wet Remain plan, merely that she will not compromise on “the outcomes”.
In other words, she knows that the EU will never accept large parts of her offer. But she also knows she will find a form of words to make her additional capitulations sound as if “it amounts to the same thing in practice”.
Given that her descriptions of her plan already bear no resemblance to reality, we expect that Brussels will reject various elements of it and that Mrs May will still claim that “the outcomes” are the same.
TRUMP
Interestingly Mrs May refers to President Trump twice in her article, and will no doubt do so in her Marr interview on the BBC this morning.
She is clearly relieved that in their press conference prior to the US President’s departure for Scotland, he appeared to row back on his views on her form of Brexit, given in an exclusive interview to The Sun on the eve of his visit to the UK.
In fact it is clear to all that President Trump hasn’t changed his views one bit.
JACOB AND BORIS
Chairman of the eurosceptic group of Tory MPs Mr Jacob Rees-Mogg MP has written a piece for the Sunday Express today, which is not available at the time of writing. [UPDATE 8.30am: You can now read his article here. It's absolutely damning.] It will doubtless show his resolve in opposing Mrs May’s Wet Remain and will make clear that he intends to vote against the plan.
Former Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson is said to be considering making his post-resignation statement in the Commons immediately following the final Prime Minister’s Questions of the current session of parliament on Wednesday.
The timing has the benefit of making it virtually impossible for the PM to leave the chamber. Whatever he has to say, she will have to sit and listen to it.
LIES FROM THE VICAR’S DAUGHTER
Many readers will be profoundly disappointed that British politics has reached the stage where a sitting Prime Minister can repeatedly and insistently mislead the public on the most important national issue in a generation.
We find it deeply regrettable that Theresa May feels able to debase and endanger the political fabric of the United Kingdom in this way.
In her article she warns that “we risk ending up with no Brexit at all” if we don’t all support her. Given that Olly Robbins’ “Brexit” is in fact what we are referring to as “Wet Remain”, we don’t see that as any kind of effective threat.
Amongst the US President’s final words before departing England were “it’s not too late for her to do that”, referring to an alternative route to Brexit. We agree.
It will now take a superhuman effort of wartime proportions, but there is still just enough time to put things right, if the right people, enough resources, and enough money are thrown at the problem.
This coming week will be pivotal. It’s now time for a real leader to stand up and be counted.
[ Sources: Mail on Sunday | BBC ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        05.30am, Sunday 15 July 2018
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Name: Tom Rogers, Bridlington, East Riding, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 3.17pm
Message: There is a danger in all this that we read too much into things, and out of dislike for what are, admittedly, fairly unpleasant people, we may fall into the mistake of ascribing to individuals motives that aren't there.
A good Remain Prime Minister could have been a unifying force, getting the whole country behind Brexit, and let's be honest: there isn't a surfeit of talent in the parliamentary Conservative Party. The political class is full of fairly mediocre people. It's not as if we're having to choose between a Margaret Thatcher, a Hugh Gaitskell, an Enoch Powell, an Anthony Eden, a Denis Healey and an Iain MacLeod.
But if Theresa May really has been deceiving people, then she will have to face the consequences of her actions. Excuses such as, "She's only a woman" or "She's only local councillor material", or even, "She's incompetent", etc., will not be accepted.
This woman is not incompetent and she is not stupid. Not that she is entirely at fault - in fact, I would say she is a minor player in the grand scheme of things - but she must be called to account for her own role in this. No excuses will avail her.
Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 11.54am
Message: Over the last couple of years I have watched all of the Theresa May and David Davis speeches, together with many hours of DD evidence to the Exiting the EU Committee. Am now more than a bit miffed to find that it was a charade on TM's part. She must take Executive responsibility for having deliberately misled Parliament (and everyone else) by her subterfuge. The Brexit Minister and his department have been used as a sop, behind which her Remain acolytes were preparing Plan B - the Chequers Plan.
Even the loyal Jacob Rees Mogg has now described her behaviour as untrusting. That is too kind and we have been misled, certainly in recent weeks and probably back much further. There is a yawning gap between the Chequers Plan and what preceded it - the Referendum result, the Conservative election manifesto, her keynote speeches and the abandoned DexEU plan. The Chequers Plan betrays these and amounts to a policy of appeasement of the EU.
Name: Chris, Devizes, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 10.41am
Message: I've said it before and I'll say it again: May is either deliberately lying to, and misleading the people (and the House), or she is totally deluded and really does believe her own bull. Either way, she is completely unfit to lead the party or the government, or indeed to be an MP at all. More damning criticism of May from JRM in the Mail Online today. [Yes, the link is in the article - Ed.]
Name: Brexiteer, Braintree, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 10.35am
Message: On Friday I confronted my MP, James Cleverly who kept very tightly to the May line, well he would wouldn't he. He said I didn't understand we would be leaving the EU, there would be no freedom of movement, we could do our own trade deals just like Switzerland does, we not be a vassal state, we would not be in the customs union or single market, and we would not be joining the EU army. He also said we must keep a close relationship with the EU for security reasons to gain access to their information about terrorists who want to cause us harm in the UK. I of course pointed out GCHQ and the Five Eyes provided more security to the EU, from us the UK, but he said we must maintain a close relationship. When I said what about a trade deal with the USA, he sneered why would we want to do that! When I challenged him about the preferential new movement arrangements for EU citizens that these were weasel words and this was free movement under another name he said: No these citizens would be allowed in for a maximum of three years and we would know who they were because they had their passports scanned at the border so we would be able to tell them to leave! Unbelievable. He did admit lots of people were very unhappy about these proposals, when I again challenged him about the UK signing up to the EU army, as leaked in the "kitkat" briefing he was adamant this would not happen and because we were leaving the EU the fact May signed the Marrakesh agreement did not affect the UK. He stuck very much to the May party line even after twenty minutes of being harangued by me, he was trying to sell it to voters but it will be a hard sell.
Name: Not4EU, London, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 09.35am
Message: So we have Maykel saying it's 'her' Brexit (remain) or no Brexit. It also seems that the Snivel Serpents' rejected suggestions of one year ago, i.e. remain, are the basis for the 'secretly' compiled White Paper and DExEU was just a paper tiger of pretence.
Let me remind the Govt and ALL MPs, of whatever colour. We did not vote for 'Brexit'. We voted to LEAVE the EU. For those that are still on Janet & John book 2, that is spelled L E A V E. It is against that simple word that all your actions will be judged by the people, not your made-up word of Brexit. If leave is not delivered, as instructed, then democracy is dead and all bets are off.

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 UPDATE
OUR ARTICLE YESTERDAY ON THE UK
BENEFITING LEAST FROM THE SINGLE MARKET
Given that readers frequently ask us why Brexit organisations don't get together and cooperate, here's an update.
Yesterday we published yet another exclusive article following research into some EU documents that were released the previous day.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
We thought this article was very important, and certainly it was tweeted many times by some of the thousands who follow us on Twitter. It showed how - according to the EU Commission itself - the UK benefits the least from the Single Market, out of all 28 EU member states.
That's a fairly key piece of research to get out there, we thought.
In case MPs, the press, and the main Brexit organisations missed it, we sent them emails.
The only replies we received were from MPs.
This is one of the reasons why we have been appealing to readers who haven't yet sent us a donation to do so. We really could do so much more to influence the public debate - and to lobby MPs and peers - if we had some funds. We must be the least-funded organisation out there, yet we produce the most original material of anyone.
       05.30am, Sunday 15 July 2018
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Name: MayBot Rebooted, Leeds, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 4.32pm
Message: I thought your article yesterday was very important too.Why aren't the media and the other Brexit organisations mentioning this? I just sent you a donation and I hope you received it.
Reply: Thank you 'MayBot Rebooted'(!), yes we received it, you are very kind. As to why other Brexit organisations never mention our research, you'd have to ask them. At least we manage to get some media coverage when we have the resource to promote things.

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 UK BENEFITS LEAST
FROM SINGLE MARKET
- SAYS EU COMMISSION
© Eu Commission
THE LIES THAT UNDERPIN
MRS MAY’S WHITE PAPER
Another Brexit Facts4EU.Org exclusive
Latest official EU Commission papers show that the UK benefits LEAST out of the 28 member states when it comes to the ‘Single Market’ for goods
All EU27 countries benefit MORE than the UK
The official figures question whether Remainer MPs know anything about the Single Market
A series of reports were issued yesterday in Brussels. Amongst the information were links to the EU’s own information about the effectiveness of the Single Market for the individual member states.
Pro-Brexit Facts4EU.Org has analysed the figures and we present a summary which we believe should be required reading for all Remainer MPs.
“The UK is the Member State with the lowest
trade integration in the Single Market for goods”
- EU Commission, Single Market Scoreboard, July 2018 Edition
“Trade integration” refers to the percentage of a country's GDP that is accounted for by trade with other EU countries (imports and exports). It is the fundamental measure of how well a country does from its Single Market membership.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY
HOW LITTLE THE UK BENEFITS FROM THE SINGLE MARKET
  • UK benefits least out of the EU28 when it comes to membership of the Single Market
  • Only 7.3% of UK GDP relates to UK goods exported to the Single Market
  • Only 4.6% of UK GDP relates to UK services exported to the Single Market
  • For both imports & exports, the Single Market is responsible for only 9.7% of UK GDP
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
HOW DOES THIS RELATE TO MRS MAY’S BREXIT WHITE PAPER?
The majority of people will know that much of the debate surrounding Brexit relates to the Single Market. Remain-supporting MPs – including those claiming to want to ‘respect the vote of the British people’ – are continuing to argue that membership of the Single Market or the equivalent is essential to the United Kingdom.
Membership of the Single Market – or something very close to it – would require abeyance of the so-called “four freedoms” which include free movement of people.
This is why the unelected civil servants in No.10 who form the ‘Europe Unit’ have drafted the White Paper for Mrs May in such a way that Brexit would in fact resemble Remain, but without the ability to have a say on anything.
WHAT ABOUT UK EXPORTS INTO THE SINGLE MARKET?
Just in case you're a Remainer MP and you think we've been selective with the data we chose for the chart above, sorry but you're wrong.
Below is a chart showing the EU Commission's figures for goods exports into the Single Market. (The chart above showed the percentage of GDP of goods imports and exports added together.) It's even lower when you only look at UK goods exports.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
According to the EU Commission, UK goods exports into the EU's Single Market account for only 7.3% of UK GDP. By anyone's reckoning that's not an enormous slice of the UK economy.
OBEYING THE EU’S RULES FOREVER
A key part of the White Paper relates to UK businesses having to maintain 'regulatory alignment' with the EU. This is the ‘common rule book’ which Mrs May is now promoting.
In reality this is of course the EU rule book. The Prime Minister advocates retaining this in perpetuity, thereby binding British manufacturers to EU rules present and future, but with no say for the UK going forward.
THIS IS THE TRUTH ABOUT THE SINGLE MARKET
As you can see, the UK benefits least out of all the EU’s member states when it comes to membership of the Single Market.
If the UK benefits least, inevitably all the other countries benefit more. For some, it has been an essential part of their economic success.
If Remainer MPs would like more information on the facts of the Single Market – rather than its imagined benefits – we have a great deal more information which we have produced in the last three years. All of this is based on official sources and is incontrovertible.
We would be happy to make it available to any MPs who are interested in the facts rather than the fiction of the Single Market.
OBSERVATIONS
The information we have provided above is yet another in a line of important pieces of research which Brexit Facts4EU.Org has conducted to see whether membership of the Single Market is as important as Remainers claim.
Every day in Parliament you will hear Remainer MPs extolling the virtues of the Single Market, as if we had never had a Referendum and a General Election in which the majority of people voted to leave the EU, including the Single Market.
Many Remainer MPs are telling the public that the Single Market is so important that exit from it will result in economic catastrophes and massive job losses.
Our report above shows unequivocally that the Single Market has been of great benefit to many other countries, but that the UK comes bottom of the list. This is despite the fact that the Single Market is sold as one of the defining benefits of EU membership.
It is also despite the fact that the UK is the second-highest net contributor to the EU’s funds. In other words, the UK is the second-biggest payer, but at the end of the queue when it comes to benefiting from that.
THE BBC HAS NEVER ONCE USED ANY OF OUR REPORTS
The facts above come from the EU Commission itself. At Brexit Facts4EU.Org we generally try to quote facts from the EU because then it's impossible for Remainer MPs to refute them.
Don't you think the above facts need to be known? Whilst we have some success in getting our information into the national press - and used by some pro-Brexit MPs - we need to promote facts like these more widely.
If you read us but haven't yet made a donation to keep us going, now is the moment. With some donations today we could invest in the time needed to circulate this information to more MPs and to the mainstream media. It's the weekend but we'll do it if you could back us.
[ Sources: EU Commission ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.55am, 14 July 2018
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Name: KZB, North West England      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 5.14pm
Message: So are you saying 9.7% GDP is insignificant? I voted Leave to be better off not 9.7% worse off !
Reply: No. This doesn't mean the UK would be worse off, just that the importance of the Single Market for the UK is a lot smaller than most people realise, and that it's the other EU countries that benefit from it most. UK exports to it are at 7.3% of UK GDP. Leaving the Single Market doesn't mean the UK will stop exporting to the EU. Well over 100 countries around the world sell to the EU and yet are not members of the Single Market.
Name: CGM, Hampstead, London, UK      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 3.35pm
Message: Every person who ever sacrificed their lives to preserve the liberties and independence of this country must be turning in their graves. To think that this is happening in the 100th anniversary years of the First World War! Neville Chamberlain can hold his head up compared with this utter capitulation. At least he was trying to postpone an inevitable bloody war because he knew we weren't yet sufficiently re-armed (thanks to a lily-livered Parliament and Tory Party).
But for what is May selling out our independence permanently? To keep a few businesses happy who don't want to adjust to trading on WTO terms!
As ever, it is the "mere groundlings", who are always the ones required to make the actual sacrifices, who truly understand love of country, confidence in its people, democracy and sovereignty. They know, albeit sometimes inchoately, that in this country the legitimacy of government derives from the consent of the people, not from it's control of the levers of power.
Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 11.26am
Message: Not content with 40 years of vassalage, the UK becomes an EU rule taker. Alignment with the EU by treaty will effectively be in perpetuity. After many decades of sponsoring the UK's managed national decline, our ruling class now double-down and go for UK nation-state suicide, a sort of Suez-squared or Suez-cubed. The Chequers plan is the lethal pill, the Novichok vial, the final state-sanctioned killing of our newly won UK independence.

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VIVE LA
FRANCE!
BASTILLE DAY
14 JULY 2018
 
We would like to wish all our readers in France a Happy Bastille Day. Today is 14 July, the day when French people celebrate their revolution.
According to the official 2018 Eurobarometer survey by the EU Commission, French people think:-
  • Immigration should be the top issue for the EU
  • Only 36% of French people have a positive image of the EU
  • Only 31% favour further enlargement of the EU
  • 63% judge the state of the French economy to be ‘bad’
  • Only 25% expect the situation to improve in the next 12 months
Brexit Facts4EU.Org – www.facts4eu.org/news.shtml
Source: Official Eurobarometer Spring 2018
To all our ‘Free French’ readers, we wish you a great day today, and hope that soon you will have an additional Independence Day to celebrate!
Vive la France!
       06.55am, 14 July 2018
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WE PROVIDE FACTS
AND WITH YOU
WE MAKE A DIFFERENCE
We are a committed and determined team.
You haven't given up fighting for a clean Brexit.
Together we're up against a vast army of UK & EU propagandists.
Brexit Facts4EU.Org is an influential pro-Brexit news organisation read by MPs, MEPs, mainstream journalists, eurocrats, MPs and Senators from the EU, USA, Australia and other countries.
Do you still have the determination to get the Brexit you voted for? Or in fact more than ever before?
To the right: Articles in the national press,
all of which came from Brexit Facts4EU.Org.
 
We’re committed and tireless, but we wouldn’t be here to report and fight without our supporters.
If you’re like-minded, please join our readership. If you're already 'in-the-club' we'd like to take the opportunity to send you a big thank you for all your support.
All we have here are our honest tools - research, compelling daily content, simple charts - and our most important resource - YOU.
We badly need your help to keep going, fighting for a full, clean Brexit.

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UNFORTUNATELY WE ONLY RECEIVE A QUARTER OF WHAT WE NEED TO SURVIVE. CAN YOU HELP?
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       Best regards, the Facts4EU.Org Team, 2018
 LINKS TO WHITE PAPERS
     © Cabinet Office
In due course we will review the original White Paper produced by DExEU when it was under the Rt Hon David Davis MP, and also the 'official' Olly Robbins White Paper which was issued yesterday.
In the meantime readers might want the links so that they can start reading themselves.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY - THE WHITE PAPERS
Government official White Paper drafted by the unelected Olly Robbins and the unelected No.10 'Europe Unit'.
The unofficial White Paper drafted by the the Rt Hon David Davis MP and his team at DExEU before they had to resign, has been published by the ConservativeHome website. Links are below.
We will of course update you when we have more information, and we will be commenting further on these documents in any case.
[ Sources: Cabinet Office | ConservativeHome ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        10.30am, 13 July 2018
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Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 11.26am
Message: The Chequers plan abandons mutual recognition on goods in favour of continued harmonisation with the EU, i.e. the status quo. There is nothing good on services and the paper buys back in to EU institutions, such as on aviation, drugs etc rather than aiming to set up our own class-leading bodies to administer our own affairs. Weasel words on migration and mobility are in line with May's poor track record in this area. Associateship of the EU will mean we have much in common with Andorra, Moldova, Norway, Ukraine etc. Are these to be our peers?

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 LITERALLY STAGGERING
EU Commission President Juncker having to be propped up by two EU leaders     © AP / YouTube
EU COMMISSION PRESIDENT
IN WORST EVER STATE
Yesterday at the NATO summit in Brussels, EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker appeared in a state which would leave most people in little doubt as to his condition.
At several points he has to be supported by EU27 leaders just to stand upright.
Spokesmen for the EU Commission rushed to say that Herr Juncker was suffering from sciatica from an old car crash. You can judge for yourselves in the video below.
The full unedited videos of this event showed far more, but this morning they seem to have disappeared. If any reader has a link to a better video showing the full thing, please send it to us and we will publish it. (If the video above doesn't appear in your browser, click here to view it on YouTube.
OBSERVATIONS
Herr Juncker is said to be suffering from sciatica after a car crash long ago, and this was the reason for his state.
One of our team has survived a serious car crash, a plane crash, and a brain tumour. He lives with constant and severe pain.
Yet we have never ever seen him move in the way Herr Juncker did yesterday, smiling and staggering.
No, that’s not true. He moved a bit like that on Referendum night two years ago, after rather more than a few glasses of champagne. Okay, more than a bottle, if truth be told.
Seriously, we have other videos of Jean-Claude Juncker clearly drunk. Regular readers may remember the classic one of him last year, dancing on the stage and kissing all the EU27 leaders. This was the famous event where he greeted Hungary’s Viktor Orban with the words “Hello Dictator”.
We really would like to know if Remain-supporting MPs have any idea at all of just what an embarrassment and disgrace the EU is.
[ Sources: YouTube / AP ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        08.45am, 13 July 2018
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Name: Brexiteer, Braintree, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 09.46am
Message: Just remember folks this man will be in charge of the EU army. I am sure he is a fit and able person to make life or death decisions that effect the lives of 500 million people. UK Prime Minister May has signed the UK to be governed by unelected officials like this. Makes you proud to be British, that we are unable to govern ourselves because the likes of Juncker can do it better.

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 PRESIDENT TRUMP:
‘THE DEAL’S OFF’
© The Sun
TRUMP TOWERS OVER BREXIT
In a world exclusive, Tom Newton Dunn from The Sun interviewed United States President Donald Trump yesterday. Taken with the President’s comments at a NATO press conference the same day, the results are explosive.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY - THE TRUMP TORPEDOES
  • May’s Chequers deal is “not what people voted for”
  • May has done the opposite of Trump's advice to her
  • Trump would walk away
  • May is only negotiating “the best she knows how”
  • May’s deal will kill US trade deal
HOLED BELOW THE WATER LINE?
US President Donald Trump has all but torpedoed Theresa May’s ‘Wet Remain’ proposal for future relations with the European Union.
The PM’s deal was already floundering under senior ministerial resignations, a concerted attack by pro-Brexit MPs, amendments tabled to her legislation, and damning assessments by us and other serious observers.
Now it seems that a highly lucrative trade deal with the US will be off the table because “[the US] would be dealing with the European Union”. And if that’s how the US feels, it will be replicated in capitals across the world.
One of the biggest single benefits of Brexit – an increase in world trade - will not be delivered.
‘THIS ISN’T BREXIT’
Perhaps even more fatal was the President’s assessment that Mrs May’s deal is “not what people voted for”.
It was clear that the President thinks he knows what Brexit means, even if the Prime Minister and the BBC don’t. The President waded in to a BBC journalist at the NATO press conference in Brussels when the journalist used the term ‘hard Brexit’.
“I would say Brexit is Brexit. When you use the term hard Brexit I assume that's what you mean.”
IS MAY UP TO IT?
Finally, there was the implied condemnation of Theresa May’s abilities to negotiate a successful deal. The President said he had told her what he would have done, but that she had done the opposite.
In a particularly decisive comment it is clear that he doesn’t think Theresa May is up to the job:
“She should negotiate the best way she knows how. But it is too bad what is going on.”
SELECTED EXCERPTS FROM PRESIDENT TRUMP’S INTERVIEW
Below we have collated all President Trump’s comments in one place. We have also included some comments contained in the recording of the interview which don’t appear in the newspaper.
“If they do a deal like that, we would be dealing with the European Union instead of dealing with the UK, so it will probably kill the deal. If they do that, then their trade deal with the US will probably not be made.”
“will definitely affect trade with the United States, unfortunately in a negative way”.
“We have enough difficulty with the European Union. We are cracking down right now on the European Union because they have not treated the United States fairly on trading.”
“No, if they do that I would say that that would probably end a major trade relationship with the United States.”
“I would have done it much differently. I actually told Theresa May how to do it but she didn’t agree, she didn’t listen to me. She didn’t listen. No, I told her how to do it. That will be up to her to say. But I told her how to do it. She wanted to go a different route.”
Asked about walking away, Trump replied:
“Oh, absolutely. I think what is going on is very unfortunate. Too long. You know, deals that take too long are never good ones. When a deal takes so long, they never work out very well.”
“I did give Theresa my views on what she should do and how she should negotiate and she didn’t follow those views. I would actually say that she probably went the opposite way. And that’s fine.
“She should negotiate the best way she knows how. But it is too bad what is going on.”
“The deal she is striking is a much ­different deal than the one the people voted on.
“It was not the deal that was in the referendum. I have just been hearing this over the last three days. I know they have had a lot of resignations. So a lot of people don’t like it.”
TRUMP AT NATO IN BRUSSELS
President Trump’s comments in his interview with The Sun were echoed at a televised press conference towards the end of the NATO summit, when President Trump was asked about Brexit:
“A lot of people voted to break it up so I would imagine that's what they would do but maybe they are taking a little bit of a different route. I don't know if that's what they voted for.”
THERESA MAY’S RESPONSE
Responding to President Trump’s comments to The Sun, the Prime Minister tried to fight back:
“We have come to an agreement at the proposal we’re putting to the European Union which absolutely delivers on the Brexit people voted for.
They voted for us to take back control of our money, our law and our borders and that’s exactly what we will do.”
OBSERVATIONS
President Trump only arrived in the UK yesterday afternoon and all the above was said before he had even set foot on British soil.
His salvos were unprecedented – even for the Donald. The PM will have known to expect the unexpected, but the President’s comments to a major British newspaper – and to the world’s press corps at NATO earlier – could hardly have been worse for her.
Above we have tried to summarise the key excerpts from the interview in Brexit Facts4EU.Org fashion. We also recommend reading the original Sun article here.
We expect to see Mr Trump be more emollient during his visit but he fully expected him to start by playing hardball. That’s what you do if you want to win - a lesson that it's far too late for Mrs May to learn, alas.
Putting this into the context of the Brexit negotiations, Mrs May should have started by provoking howls of outrage from the EU elites at her proposal. Instead we have positive noises coming from Brussels about her new White Paper. That should tell us all we need to know.
Below we look at and question the strategy being pursued by pro-Brexit MPs to see off Mrs May’s “Wet Remain” proposal.
[ Sources: The Sun | NATO | US President on Twitter | Various ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.55am, 13 July 2018
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Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 11.26am
Message: The 2016 referendum result has been on life support, having been sedated by Nurse May and left in an induced-coma for two years. The Chequers coup is the political equivalent of Nurse may then coming at us with a lethal dose of morphine, in the fast-becoming traditional "rite of passage". Swift family intervention has followed, but will that be enough to save the patient? In a late development, Uncle Trump has pitched in with a de-fibrillator he found in the ward cupboard, so the patient is now well and truly awake, if a little shocked. Still, that's one way out of a coma. Is there a (real) family doctor in the house to help with rehabilitation?
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 3.45pm
Message: In response to George, Hampshire. George, we don't have a FREE trade deal with the EU. We pay £10 billion nett per annum membership for the privilege. One of the many reasons to leave the EU is not to pay to trade.
Facts4eu will furnish you with articles every day, arguing why we should leave the EU. Please read some of them and if you can refute the facts, please share your refutation.
Name: George, Hampshire, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 1.05pm
Message: We are closer to EU than to America, so we have a great business with EU. Trump is isolating himself from the Global world. He cannot advise anyone from independent country what to do or not do. He wants to impose high taxes on anything produced outside the USA while we have FREE trade with EU which guarantee work and prosperity. So, a soft deal on Brexit is needed. Trump is a crazy gay with high self-esteem. He may think he is God but he is only a human.
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 07.34am
Message: I don't know if you read "The Virtue Signaller" newspaper today, but I was struck by their headline and editorial: MAN SPEAKS HIS MIND HORROR.
"We were disgusted to hear a white, middle aged, American man express a view that differs from our own! As this newspaper believes in free speech we will not be reporting what Mr Ronald Trumpet said." John Snowflake, Editor.

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 HOW WILL THIS
EVER WORK?
With apologies to Tom Cruise & MGM
THE PRO-BREXIT TORY MPs’ STRATEGY
Here we look at the avowed strategy of pro-Brexit MPs to defeat the ‘Chequers Agreement’ proposal for future relations between the UK and the EU.
SUPPORT THE PM, OPPOSE THE POLICY
This strategy involves persuading the Prime Minister and her cabinet to reverse their policies, whilst still professing to support Theresa May as Prime Minister.
Many MPs – including Steve Baker - have come out very strongly against a challenge to Mrs May’s leadership.
“There can be no question of letters going in, no question of challenges to the Prime Minister. What we need is a change of policy, and not to be challenging the Prime Minister.”
- Steve Baker MP, BBC Daily Politics, 09 July 2018
Similar appeals have been made by many other pro-Brexit Conservative MPs.
OPPOSING THE PRIME MINISTER VIA AMENDMENTS
In pursuit of the strategy to change the PM’s mind, pro-Brexit MPs have lodged a series of amendments to the Bill before the Commons next week, which go some way to negating some of the elements contained in Mrs May’s Chequers Agreement.
Without Labour support, these amendments will fail. It seems likely that those MPs seeking to make the PM stick to her manifesto promises on Brexit – as well as the promises contained in her main policy speeches in the last 18 months – will number perhaps 50.
OBSERVATIONS
HOW WILL THIS STRATEGY WORK?
Even if the pro-Brexit MPs were able to get any blocking amendments passed – and this would only happen if the government agreed to them – there is the fundamental question of what this would mean to Mrs May’s premiership.
The Brexit MPs say they back Theresa May but want her to reverse her Chequers policy. This is the most important policy of the government.
Call us simple, but how could Mrs May possibly do a complete U-turn on the most important policy of her government and remain in her post? It is inconceivable to us.
‘PARLIAMENTARY ARITHMETIC’
There has recently been a great deal of talk of ‘parliamentary arithmetic’. This refers to the number of MPs who will support (or not) various aspects of the delivery of Brexit.
Whilst BBC and Sky commentators seem to delight in the machinations and arithmetic involved, the public at large are wondering just how all these MPs can continue so flagrantly to ignore the will of the people. In other words forget the arithmetic, why aren’t MPs voting they way they were told to in the Referendum?
MPs STILL DON’T GET DEMOCRACY
It remains a fact that the majority of Tory MPs are Remainers, as indeed are Labour MPs.
A recent poll by the ConservativeHome website had around 72% of party members being pro-Brexit. Despite this, a majority of Tory MPs maintain their hostility to Brexit even though their constituencies voted to leave the European Union.
Labour, LibDem and other MPs don’t get off the hook either. The country voted to leave the EU. The majority of the public simply aren’t interested in the quasi-legal sounding arguments of MPs who think they are clever when they come up with the next ‘form of words’.
To put it bluntly, the public knows BS when they see, hear and smell it.
WHY WASTE TIME?
You might feel that a true leader could cut through all this pathetic parliamentary nonsense, appeal over the heads of self-obsessed MPs, convert some, shame others, and drive though the Brexit that people voted for.
We're business people not politicians so we don’t understand the current strategy of the pro-Brexit MPs. If by some miracle they persuaded Theresa May to change her mind, she couldn’t stay. She would have no credibility at all.
Perhaps this is merely a device which allows pro-Brexit MPs to claim loyalty to the PM, whilst damaging her so much that a leadership challenge becomes essential. In our view all it does is waste the precious time we don’t have.
We will soon be writing more, on a strategy which might actually deliver the Brexit people voted for and which President Trump alluded to yesterday.
[ Sources: BBC Daily Politics | Various ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.55am, 13 July 2018
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Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 11.26am
Message: May appeared to respect the referendum result in key speeches over a two-year period whilst actually kicking the can down the road. David Davis and DexEu were increasingly side-lined by May in favour of Olly Robbins etc at No. 10. The many appearances of David Davis in Parliament and before the Exiting the EU Committee became a May smokescreen. May played us all: Parliament, the Committees, the People and her own party. This deception does not sit well constitutionally.
Name: Not4EU, London, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 08.31am
Message: Good morning folks. I hate to say this but it's beginning to look like there is 'controlled opposition'. It seems the only logical explanation for continued contradictory behaviour by some. We've seen this very same behaviour happen at the end of 'Phase 1' in December and again in March. 'Opposition' but over-riding loyalty to May, the Party and the process which results in acceptance of the unacceptable and constant rewriting of what leaving means. It's how we've ended up with an unnecessary 'transition', exit bill and the appalling 'backstop' so far. This is the final sellout.
There's lots of 'respecting the referendum result' in documents and spouted in the House. 'Respect' doesn't mean implement. We want the referendum result implemented. That is what was voted for and that is the only outcome that should happen. If a democracy refuses to implement a decision reached using the democracy's own rules, it is no longer a democracy.
My pitchfork is sharpened for what I now fear may be inevitable.
Name: Nick Martinek, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 07.20am
Message: Good morning, The significance of the existence of TWO quite different White papers - the DExEU one and Olly Robbins one - is being overlooked. Most people are focussed on the awfulness of the (Robbins) White paper presented at Chequers. They have missed the fact that by blocking a government department's White paper in favour of his own, Robbins has effectively engineered a coup d'etat. The attack on the proper process of government and on our democracy is breathtaking. Few seem to realise the gravity of the situation in our government system.
To be honest there are no cute puppies, abandoned children
or even a snow leopard on the Facts4EU team...
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WE'RE REALLY GRATEFUL TO OUR SUPPORTERS BELOW IN THE LAST SIX MONTHS.
UNFORTUNATELY THIS REPRESENTS A QUARTER OF WHAT WE NEED TO SURVIVE. CAN YOU HELP?
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WELCOME TO 
PRESIDENT TRUMP
 
The Pro-Brexit Facts4EU.Org Team welcomes
the US President to the United Kingdom
We're sure the US President will ignore the puerile stunt endorsed by the London Mayor Sadiq Khan.
Naturally the President of the United States of America is always welcome in the land of its most trusted ally, the United Kingdom.
And Mr President, if you should catch sight of that childish balloon in the sky today, please remember one thing:
It only takes one prick...
       07.25am, 12 July 2018
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Name: Andy, Leeds, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 4.43pm
Message: I wish someone would use the Khan Balloon for target practice. Make a change from the low life shooting each other. Perhaps we should offer a bottle of champagne as an inducement !!
Name: Tom Rogers, Bridlington, East Riding, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 1.40pm
Message: I wish the President wouldn't ignore the inflatable balloon stunt. I wish he would comment on it, say it is disrespectful, and I wish he would also instruct the U.S. State Department to bar Sadiq Khan from entry to the United States. I wish at these summits he would ignore Theresa May and make it clear, through his body language, that he holds her in contempt. I think the political Right are far too soft, civil and polite. It does no good.

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 IS THIS BREXIT?
Theresa May with Frau Merkel at the NATO summit
LET’S LISTEN TO
THE MEN WHO SHOULD KNOW
Today, the government’s White Paper on the future relationship between the United Kingdom and the European Union will finally be published, over two years since the vote to leave.
Following revelations by Charles Moore in The Spectator, it now seems certain that Theresa May ran her new policy by the German Chancellor on Thursday, before showing it to her cabinet on Friday at Chequers.
In advance of the publication of the White Paper today, here is a summary of the position as described by those who have been closest to the action.
THE CHEQUERS SUMMIT
Friday marked an about face for Mrs May and her government over Brexit. Contrary to all her speeches – Mansion House, Lancaster House, Florence – she has now set the government on a course to keep the UK firmly tied to the EU as something akin to a colony or satellite state of the EU.
Early on Saturday morning we published the first of our articles about the ‘Chequers Agreement’. These were entitled “It’s Soft Remain” and “What’s The Point Of Voting?
Since then, information has emerged from some of the individuals involved. We have reported on some of this but now we summarise some key statements for you below.
STEWART JACKSON, CHIEF OF STAFF TO DAVID DAVIS
Mr Jackson was formerly Conservative MP for Peterborough and since 2017 held the role of Special Adviser and Chief of Staff to the former Brexit Secretary the Rt Hon David Davis MP, until both of them resigned on Sunday night.
As such, he was intimately involved in the Brexit negotiations. He makes it perfectly clear that the Department for Exiting the EU was completely sidelined when unelected civil servant, former communist, and arch-Remainer Olly Robbins was moved to No.10’s “Europe Unit”, under the control of Theresa May in September last year.
Crucially, Mr Jackson was fully involved in drafting the Department’s White Paper which it was assumed – quite naturally – would be the document to be discussed by the whole cabinet. As it turned out, a separate White Paper had been drafted by Olly Robbins and his team at No.10, which the Dept for Exiting the EU only saw on Wednesday last week.
This was just two days before the Chequers Summit.
© Twitter
This is fairly strong stuff from Stewart Jackson. We understand there is more to come.
STEVE BAKER MP, FORMER MINISTER AND DE FACTO DEPUTY TO DAVID DAVIS, DEXEU
As minister in the Department for Exiting the EU Steve Baker is another whose view of the ‘Chequers Agreement’ should hold some considerable weight. Here is what he told the BBC’s Daily Politics programme:-
“The problem with this particular Brexit is that it will not allow us to have proper control over what goes on in the United Kingdom.”
“We’ve all been blindsided by this policy…. One of the issues is that – for want of a better term – the Establishment of this country does not want to leave the European Union.”
“It’s no good going forward with this recalcitrant spirit of fear and supplication as we negotiate. Instead of doing things because we must, because we’re forced, or because we ought, we need to positively choose to leave the European Union well, perhaps brilliantly.”
“Let’s leave the European Union in a way of which we can be proud.”
DAVID DAVIS, FORMER SECRETARY OF STATE FOR EXITING THE EUROPEAN UNION
“...the general direction of policy will leave us in at best a weak negotiating position, and possibly an inescapable one.”
“In my view the inevitable consequence of the proposed policies will be to make the supposed control by Parliament illusory rather than real.”
“...the "common rule book" policy hands control of large swathes of our economy to the EU and is certainly not returning control of our laws in any real sense.”
BORIS JOHNSON, FORMER SECRETARY OF STATE FOR FOREIGN AND COMMONWEALTH AFFAIRS
“Brexit should be about opportunity and hope. It should be a chance to do things differently, to be more nimble and dynamic, and to maximise the particular advantages of the UK as an open, outward-looking global economy. That dream is dying, suffocated by needless self-doubt.”
“We have postponed crucial decisions – including the preparations for no deal... with the result that we appear to be heading for a semi-Brexit, with large parts of the economy still locked in the EU system, but with no UK control over that system.”
“It now seems that the opening bid of our negotiations involves accepting that we are not actually going to be able to make our own laws.”
“It is as though we are sending our vanguard into battle with the white flags fluttering above them.”
[Incidentally the former Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson used the term ‘colony’ in his resignation letter. We first started using this term back in March following the EU Council summit at which they agreed Mrs May’s Transition Period.]
OBSERVATIONS
The Prime Minister and her ministers continue to trot out the gross misrepresentations about what they agreed on Friday at Chequers. Some of those ministers who back the vote of the British public found the outcome to be so distasteful that they resigned.
Some others who previously were thought of as Brexiteers have somehow reconciled themselves to backing the ‘Soft Remain’ now on offer from the Prime Minister.
Above we have merely given a flavour of the reactions of those who have been intimately involved but who have now left government service.
With half the nation’s minds being focused on football yesterday, and Donald Trump dominating the remaining news from NATO Headquarters, it is not surprising that no-one else resigned from the government.
Today marks the start of the US President’s visit to the UK. We welcome him, although we deplore the fact that it has taken so long for the government to agree to a visit from the leader of the biggest power on the planet.
With President Trump leading the headlines, it may be that Brexiteers keep their powder dry today. Yesterday readers will have seen that several pro-Brexit MPs put their names to four amendments to the Customs Bill which will be debated next week. We will report on this separately.
We continue to be profoundly disturbed by the gross distortions of the truth coming from Mrs May and her ministers. We will start reviewing the government’s White Paper as soon as it is published, although we know this will not be a pleasant experience for anyone who believes that the government should deliver Brexit, as the British people instructed on 23 June 2016.
[ Sources: BBC | Resignation Letters | Various ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.15am, 12 July 2018
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Name: VeritasBrexiteer, Brighton, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 1.54pm
Message: Please, less of the despair and trembling regarding T. May's (the sycophantic EU patsy) attempts at political subversion. This just provides Remainers/Remoaners with additional whinging oxygen and the faint hope they are possibly winning the game? The louder Remainers childishly demonstrate, protest, produce greater sophistry, cry, scream or wet their pants, are excellent indications they are losing the plot! Plan 1. Project fear. Frighten the populace - did not work! Plan 2. Ignore the populace - did not work! Plan 3. Lay the foundation for post Brexit dismantling - will not work!
The Remainer's (Establishment) clear objective from day one after the Referendum's historical result (starting with the political dishonesty from Cameron and the placement of a demonstrably self-confessed Remainer, T. May) is to ignore democracy and circumvent the result at all costs. They initiated a plan to sow the seeds of doubt, make you question your original decision, negate all positive Brexit benefits, infiltrate comment blogs with anti-Brexit narratives and most importantly drain you of confidence and the will to continue, straight out of the quasi-communist, ops sorry, Establishment's "how to ignore the electorate" handbook. Don't be fooled, we are winning the argument in greater numbers. The UK's honest majority will get its clean democratic Brexit, come hell or high water! The Remainer's game is up and they know it. However, watch them continue to wet their pants... it certainly makes my day reading their miserable, rather amusing, drivel!
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 09.33am
Message: In answer to Norman, Taunton, UK. Norman, it's very simple. If Remain win a second referendum it's legal and binding. If Leave win, it's illegal and advisory. The second referendum will also assume we know what we are voting for and that Aaron Banks and the Russians haven't brainwashed us. In the interests of fairness, balance and democracy Remain will decide the rules. That's my understanding. I may of course, be wrong......
Name: Brexiteer, Braintree, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 08.45am
Message: The white paper today is the Gavin Barwell, May's chief of staff and Olly Robbins the civil servants view of Brexit. Conservative Home website have a leaked copy of the white paper David Davis and Steve Baker at the DExEU were working on. One is staying in the EU, the other is leaving.
Name: Norman, Taunton, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 07.58am
Message: I note a few comments from the same people concerning the fact that we should have another referendum. You know the sort of thing the EU do, vote again until you get it right. I have one question with this that I don't see addressed anywhere. What would they do if they had a second referendum, and the vote to leave won again, may be with an even bigger majority? Those who want another referendum don't appear to consider this.

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 US PRESIDENT FIRES SALVO AT EU
© Twitter
UNELECTED EU PRESIDENT FIRES BACK
© EU Council
TRUMP ARRIVES IN BRUSSELS, AHEAD OF UK VISIT TONIGHT
Yesterday the (unelected) EU Council President Donald Tusk responded robustly to President Trump’s remarks. In a remarkable speech Mr Tusk said:
“Europe has decided to take responsibility for its own security.”
Speaking at a signing ceremony between the EU and NATO ahead of President Trump’s visit, the EU Council President continued:
“I would like to address President Trump directly, who for a long time now has been criticising Europe almost daily for, in his view, insufficient contributions to the common defence capabilities, and for living off the US. Dear President Trump: America does not have, and will not have a better ally than Europe.”
“I would therefore have two remarks here. First of all, dear America, appreciate your allies, after all you don't have that many.”
- EU Council President Donald Tusk, 10 July 2018
It is important to recognise that Mr Tusk, unelected EU Council President, was speaking for the whole of the EU including the UK. It is not clear whether his remarks were cleared with the UK’s Foreign and Commonwealth Office and its new Secretary of State Jeremy Hunt, but the EU now generally speaks without any such clearance.
OBSERVATIONS
Mr Tusk was speaking on the same day that Theresa May was standing alongside German Chancellor Angela Merkel, at a press conference for the Western Balkans Summit which was taking place in London.
Mr Tusk, a former Polish Prime Minister, spoke for the EU which still includes the United Kingdom.
Given that President Trump’s criticisms of the EU for its appalling lack of defence spending do not apply to the United Kingdom, it might have been expected that Mrs May would have maintained at least a neutral position. However she said that she would be raising the question of the EU’s tariff war with President Trump.
Mrs May with Frau Merkel yesterday in London                 © EU Commission
Mrs May said nothing about the UK’s future trading relationship with the US, preferring to speak as a member of the EU Council instead.
Neither did she say anything about the fact that the UK has consistently outspent all other EU countries on defence for decades, and that the UK is one of only 2 EU countries to meet the 2% of GDP defence spending minimum during this decade.
In the article below we give you more facts about this.
[ Sources: US President on Twitter | EU Council | EU Commission | Various ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.55am, 11 July 2018
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Name: Chris, Devizes, UK      Date/Time: 11 July 2018, 11.49am
Message: It is very disappointing that Facts4EU feels the need to waste such a lot of time, effort and money on articles like this. Its all very interesting, in an ivory tower sort of way, but most people couldn't really give a toss. What people DO care about is the way that our treacherous Prime Minister is constantly lying to us and the House. Given that you claim to be very short of resources, it would be better if you concentrated on lobbying MPs to topple the evil May, rather than wasting energy on stuff like this.
Reply: Thank you for your suggestion. We've just spent many days producing articles on the UK political scene. You know that because you've commented daily on them. We have also spent a great deal of time lobbying - work that is unseen by readers.
The simple fact is that most MPs and a significant minority of the population are still Remainers. Without the pro-Remain Commons and some of its ignorant MPs, we wouldn't be in the mess we're now in. Our factual articles about the EU help to persuade more and more Remain voters that we should leave. And they give pro-Brexit MPs ideas and ammunition.
The whole 'EU Army vs NATO' debate resonates with enormous numbers of people. Our definitive research is essential in order that people know the truth. And it ridicules the EU as well as the arguments of arch-Remoaners like Mr Clegg et al.
Some of us started today at 2.30am to bring these articles to you. And we don't 'claim' to be very short of funding. We are.
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 11 July 2018, 09.30am
Message: Dear Mr Tusk,
All hail the Project! I am a former citizen of the UK, now a member of the colony UK.
Since the EU broke off diplomatic relations with the USA in 2020 and have abandoned NATO, I am responding to your appeal for all citizens in the Super State to contribute to our EU defence forces.
Our local defence unit, Colonists, Retired and Pensioners (CRAP) have raised a total of one Euro. We would have sent more, but since the colony of the UK is now a nett beneficiary to the Super State, we feel the sole contributor (Greater Germany) should foot the bill.
How time flies, since the UK Referendum 15 years ago!
My Supervisor is ordering me back to finish spraying the Turnips, so I must finish this EU mail.
All hail the project!
Colonist PJFKENTUK1960

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 IS PRESIDENT TRUMP RIGHT?
YES - EU OWES $710 BILLION
ON NATO DEFENCE
One of the UK's new F-35B fighters                     © MOD / Lockheed Martin
AND THAT'S ONLY IN THIS DECADE
EXCLUSIVE BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG
ANALYSIS OF NATO PAPERS
Analysis by Brexit Facts4EU.Org of the backing data for NATO’s Annual Report 2017 shows that the EU countries who are NATO members have underspent by a staggering $710 billion dollars in the last 8 years.
THE EU’S NATO UNDERSPEND – OVERVIEW
NATO relies on its member countries investing in their defence capabilities in order to function. It does this in a very egalitarian way, asking members to invest at least a minimum percentage of their GDP in defence each year. This means that countries help the NATO Alliance in proportion to the wealth of their country.
Or at least that’s the idea....
Percentages above 5% used to be common, but these days NATO is doing all it can just to persuade its members to invest the low minimum of 2%.
In 2014 matters came to a head at the NATO summit held in Wales when all under-performing members pledged to increase their investment to the minimum of 2%. The only way NATO could get even this low threshhold agreed was by saying that the pledge could be implemented gradually, up until 2024. This had been a sticking point with Germany.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY - EU OWES $0.7 TRILLION
  • 20 EU countries underspent by a shocking $710 billion
  • 6 EU countries aren’t NATO members at all
  • Only 2 countries – UK & Greece - spent more than the minimum
EU’S NATO UNDERSPEND – AVERAGE PERCENTAGE EXPENDITURES 2010-2017
So far this decade, from 2010 to 2017, almost all the EU countries who are also members of NATO have consistently spent less than NATO’s minimum guide of 2% of GDP on defence.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
Only the UK and Greece invested at least 2% of their GDP in defence. All the others fell short, with many not intending to reach the required level until 2024, according to NATO. 6 out of the 28 EU countries aren’t even NATO members at all.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY - AVERAGE SPENDS ON DEFENCE: % OF GDP
  • UK: 2.23%
  • NATO Europe average: 1.34%
  • Germany: 1.25%
  • Luxembourg: 0.41%
It is perhaps worth pointing out that the de facto leader of the EU27 (Germany) spent less than the average of all NATO members in Europe. In fact, Germany’s performance has been dropping this decade. It spent even less in 2017 (1.24%) than it did in 2010 (1.35%).
And Luxembourg - previously run by EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker for many years - didn't even manage to hit 0.5% of GDP expenditure on defence.
The UK has invested an average of 2.24% of annual GDP so far this decade, comfortably above the NATO’s minimum.
EU’S NATO UNDERSPEND – KEY COUNTRY UNDERSPENDS 2010-2017
As you can see from the chart above, the underspend by some major EU countries involves very significant sums. In Germany’s case it amounts to $220 billion dollars since 2010.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
OBSERVATIONS
It was never widely reported – although we covered it many times - that prior to the Brexit vote in 2016 the EU’s External Action Service (EEAS) was busy with plans to establish the EU common defence forces for which it had long hankered. The EEAS is headed up by Commission Vice-President and long-time former communist Federica Mogherini.
These plans were already advanced before Brexit - with EU battlegroups already in existence and some EU countries combining some of their forces - but it was only when everyone else was busy with the aftermath of the Brexit vote that Ms Mogherini and her friends were able really to press down hard on the accelerator.
We have nothing but respect for Ms Mogherini's skills as a political operator. As lovers of democracy and the rule of law, however, and as amateur students of geopolitical and military history, we are dismayed at what this woman has achieved. We consider her to be the most dangerous woman in the EU. Perhaps she will take this as a compliment.
THE NATO 2017 REPORT – WHY IT MATTERS
This analysis of NATO’s latest annual report is important for a number of reasons.
Firstly, it’s important for the overall defence capability picture it presents. NATO is and remains the central plank in the strategy for the defence of Europe.
The EU can bleat all it wants and posture on the world stage with its little African adventures in former French colonies, but it's not a relevant military force at present and won't be for many years, if ever.
In addition we repeatedly have to correct the EU when they try to pretend that (comparative) peace in Europe is somehow down to the EU. It is not. It is NATO that has preserved the peace and that won the Cold War.
FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS – “$710 billion dollars worth of truth”
Secondly there are the financial implications of what we have uncovered. Put simply, the UK has been subsidising the defence of its European neighbours to a massive degree. The numbers above come from NATO itself, headed by NATO’s EU-fanatic Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg.
Perhaps it’s the Secretary-General who didn’t want the kind of analysis we’ve presented to appear in their report. After all, it hardly shows the EU in a good light. Nevertheless, NATO gave us enough tables of data for us to be able to extrapolate the truth.
$710 billion dollars worth of truth. And that’s just in this decade and it’s based on 2010 prices. In other words the real amount is much higher.
We stuck to the figures NATO has used because that way our politician readers can quote them with confidence. As ever, we’re happy to make all our core information used in creating the charts and sound-bite figures available to politicians and think-tanks.
THE COST TO THE UK
Imagine the scenario in Europe if all the other EU countries had been paying their way. Overall defences would have been far stronger than they currently are, and impoverished little Russia would perhaps have thought twice before invading European soil in Crimea and Ukraine.
Very importantly, the pressure would have been relieved on the UK. Just this decade the UK has invested $46 billion more than the NATO minimum – and that’s at 2010 prices.
In the same time period Germany has invested
$220 billion less than it should have done.
Do you think this is this right? No wonder Germany always seems to have money to burn.
EU – MILITARY LEADER OF EUROPE?
The third and final point we’d like to make is about the EU, its leadership, and its military ambitions.
Please be in no doubt whatsoever. The EU plans to have its own full military forces. It plans to take over the forces of its member states, as it becomes a superstate. This is incontrovertible, as anyone who has read our defence research in the last two years knows.
FULL METAL INSANITY
It is our view that Mrs May's government's desire to keep the UK strapped into a nascent and incompetent EU military machine is sheer insanity.
For decades the EU countries haven’t even been capable of doing the basics in terms of keeping a serious military capability going. They haven’t even come remotely near to paying for it, let alone organising it.
The only two credible military powers in the EU are the United Kingdom and France, and the UK is leaving.
CONCLUSIONS
We have shown you with complete clarity how the EU countries have been unable to fund their own defence capabilities to a minimum level.
We have even shown you how the EU’s biggest economic power, Germany, has managed to decrease its percentage spending on defence, at exactly the time that it pledged to NATO that it would increase it.
If the EU countries can’t fund and manage defence inside NATO, with the huge advantage of being backed by the United States military machine and with the world’s 4th biggest military power (the UK) on its doorstep, what on earth makes anyone think they’ll be capable on their own?
We have published dozens of detailed articles about defence since before the Referendum. We’ve done so because it’s little understood. We have shone a big bright Brexit light on the EU’s plans, and on the plans of British civil servants to thwart Brexit for our boys and girls in uniform.
Please help us to continue campaigning for decency, democracy and freedom.
[ Sources: NATO | MOD | EU Council | EU Commission | EU Parliament ]
     Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links, as usual.
       06.55am, 11 Jul 2018
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