Boris warns of Italy-style Corona crisis in 2-3 weeks – what is that?

We bring readers the latest official information from Rome

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Brexit Facts4EU.Org summary of Italian Corona crisis which PM is warning about

Since our latest article on the Coronavirus yesterday we have received some criticism, some praise, and some requests for further information.


  1. Follow Government advice
    Nothing in any of our facts-based reports on the Coronavirus has suggested that anyone should do anything other than follow the latest official advice from the Government and from its medical advisers.
  2. Of course we care
    For an individual to develop any serious illness is of course terrible on a personal level, especially if their immune system is compromised or if they are elderly. The Brexit Facts4EU.Org team have personal experience of these scenarios, as a great many readers do.
  3. We are not doctors nor epidemiologists: we publish facts
    We have experience in observing how quangos in the EU and around the world have started to act as if they can define the news agenda, rather than simply providing facts on it. We constantly observe these organisations growing and spreading their influence as much as they can. More funding usually follows.

We therefore feel it is appropriate to provide some facts for our readers so they are as informed as possible.

Prime Minister warns that Italy-style crisis is coming to the UK in 2-3 weeks

“The numbers are very stark, and they are accelerating. We are only a matter of weeks — two or three — behind Italy.”

Given the warning from Boris Johnson last night, we researched the latest situation in Italy, using raw data from the WHO and from the Istituto Superiore di Sanità (Higher Institute of Health) in Rome.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

So what is the current situation in Italy?

All data correct as of 04.00am this morning (Sun 22 Mar 2020.)

  • 47,021 cases confirmed
  • 4,032 deaths

We have seen Italian death rates quoted with percentages as high as 8%. This is not accurate, as testing is not being done except on symptomatic patients. Below we bring you the latest real facts direct from the Istituto Superiore di Sanità in Rome.

  • Total number of deaths from Coronavirus so far this year – 4,032
  • This is fewer than the usual number of Italian deaths from all causes in four days
  • 99% of deaths were people of retirement age
  • 99% of deaths were of people with pre-existing illnesses
  • Half of the deceased had three or more pre-existing illnesses
  • Only 1% had no known existing illnesses

© Brexit Facts4EU.Org - click to enlarge

  • Of those tested, 4.8% had critical symptoms
  • 23.2% had severe symptoms
  • 72% had medium, light or no symptoms
  • Italy has the second-highest proportion of over-65’s in the world, after Japan
  • The United Kingdom is 24th on the list


For the further avoidance of doubt, no-one in the Brexit Facts4EU.Org team is suggesting that the Coronavirus should not be taken very seriously. Nor are we advocating anything other than the Government’s advice to everyone in the country to stay safe and follow all the guidelines.

Our job is to provide facts to inform the debate. Usually we do this almost exclusively in regard to Brexit and the EU. However given the severity of the current crisis and the reaction to it we felt we should highlight some facts which would not otherwise be seen.

Our biggest concern is the talk of the current extreme measures lasting well into next year. We would be very surprised if this were remotely necessary, based on other health scares in the last 100 years.

Our secondary concern is the hyperbolic reaction from governments and the various global health organisations. It disturbs us that the cost in lives and livelihoods of these measures does not seem to be being considered. People are dying from the virus but there will also be people dying from the measures used to combat it.

We simply believe there is room for debating some of these issues, and we certainly believe that readers should have more facts at their disposal.

If you believe in free speech and free thought, and if you value being presented with original and official facts which might or might not fit the mainstream narrative, maybe you could help us to keep going with a donation today? Quick and secure donation methods are below and you will get a personal reply from a member of our team. Thank you so much if you can help us.

[ Sources: World Health Organisation | Istituto Superiore di Sanità (Higher Institute of Health) in Rome | World Bank | UK Department of Health | US Center for Disease Control | European (EU) Centre for Disease Control and Prevention | British Medical Journal | Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team | several UK doctors ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Sun 22 Mar 2020

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