Boris warns of Italy-style Corona crisis in 2-3 weeks – what is that?
We bring readers the latest official information from Rome
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Brexit Facts4EU.Org summary of Italian Corona crisis which PM is warning about
Since our latest article on the Coronavirus yesterday we have received some criticism, some praise, and some requests for further information.
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Prime Minister warns that Italy-style crisis is coming to the UK in 2-3 weeks
“The numbers are very stark, and they are accelerating. We are only a matter of weeks — two or three — behind Italy.”
Given the warning from Boris Johnson last night, we researched the latest situation in Italy, using raw data from the WHO and from the Istituto Superiore di Sanità (Higher Institute of Health) in Rome.
Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary
So what is the current situation in Italy?
All data correct as of 04.00am this morning (Sun 22 Mar 2020.)
- 47,021 cases confirmed
- 4,032 deaths
We have seen Italian death rates quoted with percentages as high as 8%. This is not accurate, as testing is not being done except on symptomatic patients. Below we bring you the latest real facts direct from the Istituto Superiore di Sanità in Rome.
- Total number of deaths from Coronavirus so far this year – 4,032
- This is fewer than the usual number of Italian deaths from all causes in four days
- 99% of deaths were people of retirement age
- 99% of deaths were of people with pre-existing illnesses
- Half of the deceased had three or more pre-existing illnesses
- Only 1% had no known existing illnesses
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- Of those tested, 4.8% had critical symptoms
- 23.2% had severe symptoms
- 72% had medium, light or no symptoms
- Italy has the second-highest proportion of over-65’s in the world, after Japan
- The United Kingdom is 24th on the list
For the further avoidance of doubt, no-one in the Brexit Facts4EU.Org team is suggesting that the Coronavirus should not be taken very seriously. Nor are we advocating anything other than the Government’s advice to everyone in the country to stay safe and follow all the guidelines.
Our job is to provide facts to inform the debate. Usually we do this almost exclusively in regard to Brexit and the EU. However given the severity of the current crisis and the reaction to it we felt we should highlight some facts which would not otherwise be seen.
Our biggest concern is the talk of the current extreme measures lasting well into next year. We would be very surprised if this were remotely necessary, based on other health scares in the last 100 years.
Our secondary concern is the hyperbolic reaction from governments and the various global health organisations. It disturbs us that the cost in lives and livelihoods of these measures does not seem to be being considered. People are dying from the virus but there will also be people dying from the measures used to combat it.
We simply believe there is room for debating some of these issues, and we certainly believe that readers should have more facts at their disposal.
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[ Sources: World Health Organisation | Istituto Superiore di Sanità (Higher Institute of Health) in Rome | World Bank | UK Department of Health | US Center for Disease Control | European (EU) Centre for Disease Control and Prevention | British Medical Journal | Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team | several UK doctors ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.
Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Sun 22 Mar 2020
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