New NATO Annual Report puts UK down to 13th, from being top European military power

“We’re at war, you act like we’re at peace” – Sir Bernard Jenkin attacks Sir Keir in special Committee hearing

Montage © Facts4EU.Org 2026

Britannia ruled the waves for % of GDP spent on defence – Now we’ve sunk below Latvia, under this government

From being at or next to the top of NATO’s annual rankings for years, the Alliance’s latest Annual Report, just released, shows just how far the UK has sunk.

Ahead of a major defence report GB News is publishing early on Thursday morning, think-tank Facts4EU has provided GB News exclusively with shocking evidence of ‘how the mighty have fallen’ under the captaincy of our Prime Minister. If ever a wake-up call were needed for the UK’s defence preparedness compared to our international friends and allies, this is it.

Under Sir Keir Starmer, Britannia no longer rules the waves – and nor does this seem likely – with a Prime Minister who has failed to react to rapidly growing threats when almost all around us have. This fact is amply demonstrated in Facts4EU’s analysis of data from NATO’s report on 2025.

How the UK has fallen

For 10 years, Facts4EU has been providing a UK summary of NATO’s Annual Reports. Below left is their chart from NATO’s 2016 Report, showing EU and NATO members. Below right is the ranking of the UK today amongst all NATO members.

How the UK's NATO ranking has dropped in the last 10 years - particularly in the last two

2016

2025

(10 years ago, the UK was only prevented from being No.1 because of Greece’s ongoing conflict with Turkey over Cyprus, which meant it spent a lot with the German armaments industry.)

Sir Bernard Jenkin MP is on the Commons Liaison Committee and is co-author of the Civitas report "Understanding the UK’s Transition to Warfighting Readiness"

Sir Bernard commented exclusively to GB News and Facts4EU

“Why does the Treasury not seem to realise we are already at war and we need to be in a warfighting mentality to deal with the emergencies we are facing?

“Listening to the Prime Minister, it sounds as though he is at peace while we are actually at war.”

- Sir Bernard Jenkin MP, 29 Mar 2026

The UK’s steady fall since the Cold War and now a dramatic plummeting

Most readers will be aware that the UK’s defence spend has fallen as a percentage of GDP which began after the Cold War ended. What has happened in the last two years, however, has been dramatic in comparison with our allies and has eclipsed the slow decline over decades. This is especially true in light of the rapidly escalating threats to the security of the United Kingdom, its sovereign bases, and its Middle East allies.

UK’s response to threats, by change in defence spend as % of GDP, compared to NATO non-US average

© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2026 - click to enlarge
[Source(s) : NATO]

Many of these predicted threats have of course now turned out to be real, from Russian activities in the North and Arctic seas, to Russia’s continued aggression against Ukraine, to Iran’s attacks on sovereign UK bases on Cyprus and in the Chagos Islands.

The chart above clearly shows that whilst other NATO European allies have responded by dramatically increasing their defence spend as a proportion of GDP, the UK has barely moved. In fact, the average increase by our European and Canadian allies is over seven times that of the UK.

What increase in defence spend has Sir Keir promised the British public?

Over a year ago, Sir Keir Starmer announced his plans for defence expenditure.

“As the UK faces a period of profound change, with conflicts overseas undermining security and prosperity at home, the Prime Minister has today (Tuesday 25 February) set out that his commitment to increase spending on defence to 2.5% of GDP from April 2027.”

“As we enter this new era for national security, Britain will once again lead the way,” the PM said.

- No.10 / Sir Keir Starmer, 25 Feb 2025

Extraordinarily, this policy has remained unchanged despite all the events in the meantime. The plan is still to spend 2.5% of GDP (2.6% including the security services), and this very modest increase will still not start until April next year. This will put the UK even further down the NATO rankings. Even in February last year, when the statement was made, it was obvious that Britain would not “lead the way”, or even come close to doing so.

Sir Keir on the rack

The policy was questioned most recently by Sir Bernard Jenkin MP, when the PM appeared in front of the highly-influential House of Commons Liaison Committee last week. It resulted in Sir Keir Starmer losing his temper in a most un-Prime Ministerial way. Below we are providing the full clip.

Under Sir Bernard's determined questioning, Sir Keir finally loses it just after 05.13, if you only want to watch that part. We do recommend the entire clip, however.

If your browser won't play the video, use this link to watch.
Credit and copyright: Parliament TV

NOTE TO GBN COLLEAGUES: The transcript is here: https://committees.parliament.uk/oralevidence/17382/html/ and it starts at Question 20.


Instead of recognising the dramatic change in the threat levels affecting the United Kingdom from a variety of hostile actors, the Prime Minister is still intent on blaming previous governments for not investing more before his tenure, when threat levels were rising but were not at current levels.

What happens after the spend is increased (very modestly) to 2.6% of GDP?

After the increase to 2.6% of GDP, (from the current 2.3%), which will place the UK as one of the worst-performing members of NATO, the Prime Minister is leaving the next change to the next Government.

“He has also set an ambition to spend 3% of GDP on defence in the next parliament, as economic and fiscal conditions allow, in order to keep the British people safe and secure for generations to come.”

- Statement from No.10, 25 Feb 2025

What’s the DIP, why is it so important, and why has it been delayed for six months by the PM?

Firstly, there was a Defence Strategic Review commissioned under the previous government to set out overall objectives. This is worth absolutely nothing, however, without what is known as the Defence Industrial Strategy, or DIP. This “puts the meat on the bones” and crystallises the overall strategy into deliverables which are costed.

It is this final point which appears to have caused the delay in the current Government releasing it. There is no question but that the defence budget will have to be increased dramatically.

The DIP will require Rachel Reeves to make significant savings, in benefits, for example, or to raise taxes yet again, which would further break manifesto promises. Other countries have reduced expenditures to fund their increase in defence spending, but this Government seems reluctant to do that. We have surely gone past the point, as Sir Bernard Jenkin tried to raise with the Prime Minister, when tough decisions must be made.

Sir Bernard commented exclusively to GB News and Facts4EU

“It’s misleading for the government to suggest that they have started to restore defence spending. The actual increases they have in their plans are minimal. Their 2.6% of GDP commitment is inflated by adding in things like the costs of the security services.

“Their promise to get to 3.5% is an empty gesture. The Treasury have published no plans to get to that figure. It is just an aspiration. The 10 year Defence Investment Plan is therefore being resisted by the Treasury, because they have not committed the money.

“21 months since the election, and the government have still not got a plan for defence, while the U.K. is now under attack from Russia and Iran. The PM thinks that is OK. It’s hard to comprehend the scale of this complacency.”

- Sir Bernard Jenkin MP, 29 Mar 2026

Observations

Year after year Facts4EU has covered the NATO Annual Report with a definitive and authoritative account. Year after year they have been able to show charts with the UK at or near the top of the international rankings.

With all the perceived threats to the security of the United Kingdom and its sovereign bases and territories, plus other strategic factors such as keeping shipping lanes open to maintain vital supplies coming to the UK, it might have been thought that the country’s expenditure on defence would rise in tandem – or hopefully in advance, anticipating such threats.

The Government has been talking about having put an extra £5bn into defence. This is a drop in the ocean compared to what is now required, according to many experts.

In our GB News Special Defence Report on Thursday, we will reveal more exclusive and shocking information about the unpreparedness of the Government for what everyone knew was coming. This includes the embarrassment of having French and German navies protecting British territory because almost all of our fighting ships were undergoing maintenance.

Please, please help us to carry on our vital work in defence of independence, sovereignty, democracy and freedom by donating today. Thank you.

[ Sources: NATO Annual Report 2025, released 26 Mar 2026 | No. 10 ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Mon 30 Mar 2026

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