Achtung! Germany’s economic woes deepen, says German Finance Secretary

The state of the German economy matters most to the EU, but also to British exporters

Montage © Facts4EU.Org 2024

Facts4EU.Org reveals the latest bad economic news from the EU’s No.1 economy

When Germany sneezes, the rest of the EU catches a cold. On Thursday (16 May 2024) the German Finance Minister, Christian Lindner, warned that cutbacks will be necessary as a result of plummeting tax revenues. This will affect federal, state, and local governments.

It will also have a further depressing effect on Germany’s already weakened economy.

This matters to Brexit Britain too

Despite what Rejoiners (and significant parts of the British media) say, the rest of the non-EU world represents a much bigger market for the UK than the EU27, and it is growing at a faster rate. The UK’s No.1 market by far is the United States, for example.

That said, it is not in Brexit Britain’s interests to see the EU’s No.1 economy in trouble.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

Real GDP growth Q1 2024 – International comparison

[Sources: ONS and OECD, 10 May 2024.]

© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2024 - click to enlarge

Tax revenues now predicted to fall by €22 billion next year, in stark warning of cutbacks

The German finance ministry has been forced to warn of a scaling back of spending as a result of a €22 billion hole in tax revenues next year. This comes at a time when public authorities and unions are crying out for more money, partly due to immigration and partly due to supply chain shortages and the energy crisis.

It also comes at a time when senior figures in the UK are warning of the need to cut back on public spending in our own country.

What the German Finance Minister said :

"[This] destroys the illusion of all those who thought that money would just fall from the sky."

"What I repeat almost like a mantra in view of the exorbitant political wishes is now available in black and white: There is no new financial room for manoeuvre in the foreseeable future."

"We have to concentrate on the essentials… This requires discipline and willpower."

- German Finance Minister, Christian Lindner, 16 May 2024


Attribution: Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Will Germany’s coalition government survive?

Putting aside the financial warnings from Germany’s finance minister, there are also political considerations. Herr Lindner comes from the Free Democrats, one of the three parties which make up Chancellor Schotz’s ruling coalition.

The Free Democrats are very broadly akin to what the UK’s Conservative and Unionist Party used to be. They tend towards small state, low tax policies. They are a minority partner in the government in Germany. On the right, the CDU/CSU are much more popular.

Observations

Given that the Free Democrats are in coalition with Olaf Scholz’s socialist party and the Green Party, it remains to be seen whether this shaky coalition will survive the kind of cutbacks Herr Lindner is suggesting will be necessary.

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[ Sources: German Finance Ministry | German media ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Sun 19 May 2024

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