Observations

The rise and rise of Nigel Farage

Objectively, and putting party politics to one side, in last night’s BBC election debate Nigel Farage was the clear winner. His charisma, his command of numbers, and his fluency in argument and presentation easily dominated.

We await reputable opinion poll results following him throwing his hat into the ring in the constituency of Clacton and taking over as Leader of Reform UK. It seems possible that his party might even overtake the ruling Conservative Party in popularity. If it happens, this takes him from being the voice of a protest movement to being leader of a credible parliamentary party in British politics.

This would also open the way to a fundamental realignment of the political landscape following the general election, despite Mr Farage’s uphill battle against the UK’s ‘first-past-the-post’ electoral system. We are already aware of conversations taking place, although clearly we are not at liberty to report on these for reasons of confidentiality.

The significance of the Dutch EU elections to the British public

As we have pointed out in many previous reports over the last eight years, the MEPs in the EU Parliament have very little power but they do have some influence.

Whilst Nigel Farage has been careful to distance himself from some of the more extreme statements from Geert Wilders, there is now little doubt that voters across Europe have been shifting to the Right.

Finally, the UK general election….

A victory by Keir Starmer’s Labour still looks increasingly likely in the UK general election on 04 July, but it remains to be seen how His Majesty’s Opposition might be constituted, as the post-election discussions lead up to the next election in five years’ time.

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