Keir Starmer didn’t really win, he simply didn’t do as badly as Rishi Sunak

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From the interesting, to the enraging, to the astonishing, to the downright bizarre

As the dust starts to settle on the general election, and as Sir Keir Starmer starts to settle into his armchair in No.10, (‘no calls after 6pm please’), Facts4EU.Org takes a look at some interesting facts resulting from our continuing analysis. This may well turn out to be the strangest election in more than 100 years.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

How did Keir Starmer’s Labour do?

Labour won 63.4% of the seats on a vote share of only 33.8%
In short, Labour won almost twice as many seats as its vote share justified
This vote share is less than the Marxist, IRA-apologist Jeremy Corbyn achieved as Labour Leader in 2019
On Thursday Corbyn, standing as an independent, beat Labour in Islington North
In this election Labour increased its vote share by only 1.7% but it more than doubled its no. of MPs
These increased from 119 to 412 (+108%, +214 seats)
Sir Keir Starmer’s own vote share dropped by 15.6% in his North London constituency
He only secured 18,884 votes (48.9%), compared to 36,641 (64.5%) in 2019
In short, he personally won around half the number of votes compared to the last election
And significantly less as a percentage of total votes counted
So uninspired were the voters by him, the turnout in his constituency fell by 32%
Only just over half could be bothered to go out and vote

[Source: Local authorities | PA | House of Commons Library.]

How did the Conservatives do?

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

The Conservatives' fall from grace

The Conservatives gained just 23.7% of the vote
The party’s vote share fell by 20.0% and it lost 252 of its MPs
It now has only 121 MPs – just enough for factions to reassemble and for it to be His Majesty’s Opposition
Nearly an ‘extinction level event’, but not quite
In 2019 Rishi Sunak gained a majority of 27,210 (47.2%) in his Richmond Yorkshire constituency
In 2024 he won 23,059 votes – 4,000 more than Keir Starmer – and his majority fell to 12,000

[Source: Local authorities and PA.]

Nigel Farage’s win – what happened in Clacton-on-Sea?

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

Nigel Farage in Clacton

Clacton had one of the highest Conservative majorities in the country
In 2019 the Conservative Party’s Giles Watling gained 31,438 votes
This was a whopping 72.3% of the vote
In 2024 Reform UK’s Nigel Farage entered the ring
On Thursday he demolished the Conservatives in Clacton, winning 46.2% of the vote
His majority is 8,405 votes
The Conservative candidate slumped to just 27.9%
To turn a 56.8% Conservative majority into a Reform majority of 18.3% is extraordinary
And this was done in just four weeks

[Source: Local authorities and PA.]

“How could it be right that the Conservative Party, that has just over 50 per cent more votes than we have, have 30 times the number of MPs?
“How could it be right that the now ruling Labour Party have double the number of votes that we have, and they’ve got some 100 times the number of MPs?"

Want more? Here it is, live and uncensored, from Sydney Australia

From 11am to noon today (Saturday) our Chairman will be live-streamed from Sydney, Australia, where he will be interviewed about the fallout from the UK’s election.

All Facts4EU.Org readers are welcome to join in and ask questions. To do this, here is the link, or click on the image below.

Observations

Sir Keir will no doubt focus on his new majority and his 412 MPs. To win a general election is a big thing and we congratulate him on his victory. However, we would urge him to look at the overall picture, as we have presented above. A little hubris may be required. Faced with a deeply unpopular Conservative Party, Labour barely managed to scrape a very small (1.7%) increase in its national vote share.

Regarding his personal ratings, Labour could probably stand a rat as its candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras constituency of North London, and as long as it was wearing a red rosette it would be elected.

For the UK’s new Prime Minister to suffer such a humiliating fall in his personal vote share (down by 15.6%) should be of concern to him. This is hardly a ringing endorsement.

In our next report we will look at “Who funded Labour’s win?”

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[ Sources: Local authorities | PA | House of Commons Library ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Sat 06 Jul 2024 (updated Sun at 03.30am)

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Reader Comments 23

11. LuxuryBalloon , Saturday, July 06, 2024, 11:44:

9 Gazza ‘The EU hating Reform got more.’
The undemocratic EU must be laughing its head off seeing that ReformUK has only got 5 MPs ‘democratically’ elected.

12. John Jones , Saturday, July 06, 2024, 11:44:

2. LuxuryBalllon
I genuinely doubt that the new labour government will be able to negate Brexit that much. Albeit, they may try.
Sure, firstly the EU is very wary of the UK & its cherry picking - Plus, with the potential huge challenges in France, Germany & Italy inc Hungary & Ukraine the EU has its hands full. Why waste time for little reward with a pesky UK.
I'm sure that Lammy & Starmer will eventually try and give too much to the EU in terms of security & defence for little return - equally, with the prospect of more ECJ/CJEU oversight this will not enamour voters to Labour if they try & sell us down the EU swanny. Vigilance is the watchword.
All the time we'll see a fractious EU further crumble & morph into its own incoherence & instability - the eurozone is literally dying on its legs given its inherent instabilities & house of Jenga construction.

13. LuxuryBalloon , Saturday, July 06, 2024, 12:16:

12 John … you might be right. And at least we got our ‘sovereignty back’: more than 4mln votes for ReformUK resulted in only 5 ReformUK MPs.

14. NH , Saturday, July 06, 2024, 12:30:

7. LB, "Are you proposing a second referendum?"
If you read what I have said you will find I have not mentioned changing the voting system !
The present funding schemes hugely favours the established parties. We should create a level playing field to encourage new ideas into politics. This should involve funding and also it should be compulsory to make all data on the electorate available to all political parties.
.
If we compare politics to the business world in the business world there have been huge innovations in the last 100 years. Miniscule new entrants have constantly come along with good ideas and destroyed the "Goliaths" of the business world and we are all better for this. New ideas and change are completely absent from politics because of the present protective and manipulative system. Unfortunately Politics seems to attract the same type of inexperienced unimaginative self serving people and genuinlly talented people are not interested because of all the hurdles they face.
.
If you are trying to compare a second referendum on "Alternative Voting" with a second referendum on EU membership it's a ridiculous comparison. One changes the way you count the votes. The other changes your democracy, your laws, your regulations, your political system, your trade deals, your currency, your economy, your stability, your independence, your defence, your immigration policy, your welfare system, public services (health, education, infrastructure etc) and to constantly fund it you would have to increase taxation and reduce spending on a permanent basis.

15. LuxuryBalloon , Saturday, July 06, 2024, 12:54:

Q14 NH … agree. In the same way we want remainers to accept the 2016 referendum we have to accept the 2011 referendum … even if we don’t agree with the outcome.

16. NH , Saturday, July 06, 2024, 13:31:

15. LB, "NH … agree"
No, we haven't agreed on anything !
I am not proposing a new referendum on "AV" but before considering any referendum we need to consider how disruptive it would be. A change that takes a few hours and doesn't cost anything and can easily be reversed is very different to a change that is likely to take 10 years, change your national constitution, cost a fortune and produce a totally unpredictable outcome is very different. The people who are acting like it's possible to just slip into and out of the EU are just showing how ridiculously naive and clueless they are.

17. Gazzablack , Saturday, July 06, 2024, 14:42:

11, LB
.
It's still superior to the EU, where the executive cannot be replaced at the ballot box.
.
And it's better than the PR governments that disintegrate as soon the participants fall out.
(At which point they have elections, elect a swathe of different .MPs, and still end up with the same government)

18. Gazzablack , Saturday, July 06, 2024, 15:45:

Keir Starmer's new Attorney General donated to his leadership campaign in 2020, and has been given a peerage in order to be appointed.
.
Cash for appointments anyone?
.
.
Another unelected person, Patrick Vallance, who has been elected to the peerage and appointed 'Minister for Science', has a £600,000 shareholding in firm contracted to develop vaccines.
.
Conflict of interest anyone?

19. Mike S , Saturday, July 06, 2024, 15:59:

1 Sparky, just where & how did you come to that conclusion of over 50's & were white who voted Reform?
I voted for Reform UK up here in Scotland but, although both you & I have never met in person, you seem to presume you know me & all other Reform voter's across the UK? Is that indoctrination from the self serving blob who despise free thinking & speech &/or the brainwashing of the 'Far Left'? You tell us! Can you?

20. Adam Hiley , Saturday, July 06, 2024, 20:05:

Labour only received around 30% of the vote hardly a ringing endorsement I do not believe that Starmer's Government will last 5 years I give them around 6 to 12 months I am a member of the Social Democratic Party like most people at fact's 4 EU We need alternatives to the tired uniparty LabCon

23 comments, page 2 of 3

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