“The population bomb” – It has already exploded and we’re seeing the fallout

Plus, 6.1m more migrants into the UK in the next 15 years? How will we cope?

Montage © Facts4EU.Org 2024

Facts4EU analyses latest official population projections and asks serious questions

On Tuesday (30 Jan 2024) the Office for National Statistics released its latest projections for population growth in the UK. The estimates show a massive rise of 6.1m additional migrants, on top of the population explosion we have already seen.

In today’s report Facts4EU dives into the detail and brings readers a summary of this exploding crisis.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

The UK’s population bomb has already exploded

Population growth projected in the coming 15 years

Current population : 67.0m
Predicted population : 73.7m

[Source : ONS, 30 Jan 2024.]

The vast bulk is predicted to come from immigration

The ONS report from 30 January carries many caveats but it is clear on one thing. By far the largest factor in the projected growth in the UK’s population comes from migrants.

6.1 million more migrants are anticipated in the next 15 years

[Source : ONS, 30 Jan 2024.]

Firstly we must stress that all the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has done is to update their population growth projections. Nevertheless, these are based on reviews of all available data to date and encompass the projections they have requested of other bodies.

What has NOT been reported in the mainstream media is that the ONS has assumed a fall in immigration – legal or illegal. If this does not occur then the population explosion will be even higher.

Where are we going to house all these people?

This is the 6.1 million people question for the current and future governments. Facts4EU looked at the figures in detail. The overall growth in population is projected to be 6.6 million. 0.6 million of these will be from an increase because of births over deaths and might be assumed to be accommodated in existing households.

The remaining 6.1 million will be from migrants – almost all of whom will be adults and will need to be housed.

An extra 2.6 million extra homes will be needed

There are currently around 28.2 million households in the UK. According to the ONS, the average number of persons per UK household is 2.36 people. To accommodate an extra 6.1 million people will therefore require approximately 2.6 million extra homes.

This equates to building an extra 172,000 homes per year for each of the next 15 years – purely to accommodate the extra migrants. It gets worse. This is only the average number. In reality the ONS figures are front-end loaded and net immigration is expected to fall from 670,000 in 2023 to 315,000 by 2028 and thereafter. In other words for the next four years the number of new homes required will be double that for the subsequent years.

This figure is on top of the growing trend due to divorce, where more and more couples are becoming ‘two-household families’. An additional issue is that people are living longer. In 2021, 1.4 million people in England were aged 85 years and above, equal to 2.4% of the population. This is projected to more than double to 2.6 million people by mid-2045, representing 4.3% of England’s population according to estimates released in 2022.

On top of extra homes, migrants will use many other services

In addition to their housing requirements, migrants will require GPs, dentists, hospitals, schools, roads, public transport, and social services.

The predicted growth in population – on top of what is already happening – represents an increase of approximately 10%. The infrastructure of the United Kingdom is already creaking under the strain of the increased population. If a further 10% is added, what plans does the government (and future governments) have for building new schools and hospitals and providing all the new services which will be required, and who is going to pay for this?

Observations

What kind of country do you want to live in?

Putting aside all the practical considerations we have detailed above, there is another, more fundamental question. This concerns the nature of our society.

The UK still has a reputation around the world – despite what some of the media would have us believe - as a tolerant, kind, fair country. We fought for democracy and freedom in two world wars (at massive cost) in the last century, we gave the world its common language, and many parts of the world adopted our Common Law system.

Recent events since the horrific Hamas attack on Israel, however, have shown the world a different face. We now have experience on our streets of what less-integrated and extremist elements of our society are capable of. If we accept continued high levels of immigration it must be asked how our societal values will change.

We must get reports like this out there

Reports like the one above take far longer to research, write and produce than many people realise. If they were easy, readers would see other organisations also producing these daily. However, there’s little point in the Facts4EU.Org team working long hours, seven days-a-week, if we lack the resources to promote them effectively – to the public, to MPs, and to the media. This is where you come in, dear reader.

Facts4EU.Org needs you today

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[ Sources: Office for National Statistics ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Sat 03 Feb 2024

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Reader Comments 22

1. Sparky Hiroo , Saturday, February 03, 2024, 04:49:

The key tenet of Brexit has failed. Looks like there’s now a hangover from all the celebrations over the 4th anniversary.
.
STATEMENT BY BORIS JOHNSON ON IMMIGRATION STATISTICS, 26 MAY 2016
“Last year, 270,000 people came to this country from the EU and net migration was 184,000. That means we are adding a population the size of Oxford to the UK every year just from EU migration.
Since 2004, 1.25 million people have been added to the population due to EU migration. That is bigger than the city of Birmingham.
I’ve always championed the great benefits that can come from immigration. I am the proud descendant of immigrants.I’ve seen how as Mayor of a great capital city, London has benefited in so many ways from migration. As Mayor I argued consistently for a more sensible visa policy that would welcome talented people from across the globe, people recruited on the basis of their skills.”
.
“The only way to take back control of immigration is to Vote Leave on 23 June.”

2. Sparky Hiroo , Saturday, February 03, 2024, 07:02:

But it’s alright, the Govt announced new measures in December. The measures will reduce immigration in 2023 by 300,000. So immigration will come down to 372,000.

3. Ashley Great Britain , Saturday, February 03, 2024, 08:37:

1 sparky.
-
I'm scratching my head again mate.
What you said in your post is Johnson explaining how bad immigration is and how much worse it would get, That's why he advocated to vote leave?
That's the type of thing we are saying!
-
Our unsustainable levels of immigration of all kinds is a very serious matter. It's unfathomable what the Gov are playing at, They continue to allow vast amounts of legal while actively assisting illigal immigration. We have a small country with infrastructure already failing, Millions of able people unemployed and very low levels of available accommodation. Can we just sit back and trust that the UK Government is doing the right thing. The prospect's are chilling.

4. LuxuryBalloon , Saturday, February 03, 2024, 09:26:

It seems that the number of people crossing the channel in dinghies has increased exponentially since we left the EU.

5. Captain Thunderbolt , Saturday, February 03, 2024, 09:46:

The whole point of the article is that legal immigration into the UK is not a bad thing in itself unregulated immigration with an open-door policy is which being in the EU was.
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The level of infrastructure needed for the future is not actually being put in place. without the proper infrastructure is what leads to decline and poverty in areas of high population and low socioeconomic outcomes, controlled immigration is needed because the UK birth rate has been declining for a number of years population growth is for future of economic prosperity and sustainability for government revenue to pay for things like roads hospitals and old age pensions.

6. Ashley Great Britain , Saturday, February 03, 2024, 09:52:

4 Lux balloon.
-
Yes I wonder how much the french are assisting people to make the trip.
Then you have the Blob and the courts hindering the UK Gov who are already weak on the subject and the ECHR that we should have left as part of Brexit.

7. Gazzablack , Saturday, February 03, 2024, 11:23:

4 lux
.
The number of people reaching and crossing the channel has increased exponentially since the creation of the Schenghen zone.
.
Fixed it for you

8. David , Saturday, February 03, 2024, 12:42:

Reply to Sparky re comment 1:-
It is NOT Brexit that has failed.
It's this useless Tory government that has failed to implement immigration controls on non-EU immigrants.
As you know, leaving the EU simply allowed us to impose controls on immigrants from the EU.

9. KB , Saturday, February 03, 2024, 13:03:

A great many of these "immigrants" are students. Then there are the Hong Kongers and the Ukrainian refugees.
In other words we actually want most of them. Our universities must be making a fortune, the HKers are wealthy, and we want to support Ukraine do we not.

10. Sparky , Saturday, February 03, 2024, 13:04:

3 AGB. Seriously. You can’t be trying to say that the current levels of immigration is controlled
.
8 D. That is now the standard line from Brexitears, “it’s not Brexit it’s the politicians that haven’t implemented it”. But that is part of the problem, it was vote leave, but then what?! The Govt has spent the last nearly 8 years trying to fathom out what Brexit is. Maybe NI is sorted out this week but it has resulted in Republicans in charge of Stormont who will probably settle in for a while before raising unification.

22 comments, page 1 of 3

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