Our first report on CPTPP, “Brexit Britain’s biggest-ever trade deal”, upset many people

In Part II today: 5 major CPTPP benefits, to correct Whitehall and Rejoiner hostility and ignorance

Montage © Facts4EU.Org 2024

As some people don’t like great news for the UK, they certainly won’t like Part II (‘The Benefits’) today

On Tuesday last week Facts4EU.Org, (in association with CIBUK.Org), exclusively reported on the news that the UK had secured the necessary six ratifications from member countries (a majority) of the CPTPP Asia-Pacific and Americas trading bloc.

Our important news for British businesses and British consumers was covered by GB News, but not by the BBC or Sky News.

This news marked a key milestone in the UK’s accession to one of the largest free trade blocs in the world, with a population over 30% larger than that of the EU.

© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2024 - click chart to enlarge

In Part II today we focus on the benefits to the UK of this new free trade deal, which looks very likely to enter into force within a few months. Given the mis-information being posted about this deal online – and the long black-out about it from the new Labour Government and the UK's state broadcaster until we broke the news - we are outlining its true benefits, which come under five main headings.

A major Brexit Facts4EU.Org series
on Brexit Britain's biggest ever free trade deal

PART I - With the UK, this bloc will contain 590 million consumers – 31.3% more than the EU

PART II (this report) - The 5 major benefits of the CPTPP deal, to correct Whitehall and Rejoiner hostility and ignorance

PART III - What’s the truth about how big the CPTPP really is?

PART IV - Some ‘home truths’ about our great, global trading nation from someone who should know

PART V - The story behind how this astonishing Brexit news came about

A member of the Government’s Trade and Agriculture Commission comments exclusively to Facts4EU.Org and CIBUK.Org on this news

We are fortunate in obtaining the comments – exclusively to Facts4EU and CIBUK – of a Member of the Government’s Trade and Agriculture Commission, which has the responsibility for scrutinising all trade deals.

There are so many benefits from this deal we have had to bullet-point them. Before this, however, we expand on three key facts which those who criticise the CPTPP deal (and all other trade deals which the UK has struck) seem to be simply unaware of. We assume these people have had no direct experience in international trade. Some members of the Facts4EU.Org and CIBUK.Org teams have significant experience in this area, having traded with more than 100 countries worldwide.

A) Cutting the prices for British consumers of imported CPTPP goods and providing more choice

Comments on our report by Catherine McBride, Member of the Government's Trade and Agriculture Commission

"The UK’s consumers will have improved access to a wide range of products. Examples include Vietnam’s and Malaysia’s clothing and footwear, to Malaysian palm oil, Canada’s wheat and soybean foodstuffs, New Zealand’s honey and dairy products, Australian beef and sheep meat, avocados from Mexico, fruit and vegetables from Peru, apples and pears from Chile, filleted fish and shelled prawns from Vietnam and wine from Chile, New Zealand and Australia.

"Many of these items are already imported by the UK from CPTPP countries but joining the CPTPP will simply remove the tariffs and quotas left over from our EU membership or the rolled-over EU trade deals. This should lead to lower prices for UK consumers as well as increased choice."

B) The importance of the counter-seasonal nature of imports from the CPTPP countries

Further comments on our report by Catherine McBride, Member of the Government's Trade and Agriculture Commission

"The largest food exporters in the CPTPP are either in the southern hemisphere and so produce food in the opposite season to the UK and the EU or they are in the tropics and produce foods that can not be grown in the UK climate."

"Fears of UK farmers being driven out of business by imported food from the CPTPP are simply made up by people who haven’t even bothered to read the publicly available trade document."

C) Raising the profile of CPTPP countries in UK boardrooms, as prospective trade markets

Comments from members of the Facts4EU.Org and CIBUK.Org teams, experienced in conducting international trade

"The government produces ‘Impact Assessments’ for trade deals. These are generally written by government economists who have little or no experience of practising international trade, but are happy to produce academic ‘modelling’ scenarios using very complex mathematics - but with no basis in the real world.

" One area that is seemingly not understood is the effect of a new trade deal on raising awareness of a particular world market. In the monthly board meetings of companies across the country, a company’s sales and marketing director will typically report sales results and will comment on new opportunities. As business people become aware of a new trade deal such as CPTPP, they also become aware of the countries involved. Suddenly, the possibilities of exporting to a country previously not on a company’s radar begin to be discussed and explored, which can lead to more export sales. The same is true of purchasing directors, who start thinking about sourcing from better and cheaper suppliers in the new countries with which the UK has negotiated zero tariffs.

" In many cases the ‘Impact Assessments’ we referred to above are highly technical and are not read by the public. They do, however, generally contain an estimated percentage for the addition to UK GDP which these trade deals might produce in 15 years’ time. All those we have read have shown a very small percentage and so they are pounced on by Remainer-Rejoiners to belittle a new trade deal. In Part III of this series we will explode these myths."

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

Benefits to the UK and to British people of the CPTPP free trade deal

Plus comparisons with the limitations of being a member of the EU

1. The EU wanted to become a member of CPTPP but failed

  • The EU has zero chance of doing such a free trade deal with CPTPP
  • It tried – and failed
  • EU deals are all-encompassing and political, imposing values and rules on the proposed trading partner
  • UK free trade deals are just that – trade deals
  • UK did not have to gain agreement of 27 other countries before agreeing and ratifying CPTPP deal
  • EU trade deals take an average of more than 10 years (e.g. Mercosur bloc: 25 years and counting)
  • Now independent, the UK can act much faster
  • The UK’s negotiations with the CPTPP were started and completed in 18 months
  • UK trade deals like this one with the CPTPP reflect UK interests
  • EU’s trade deals reflect interests of German manufacturers, and French, Italian, and Spanish farmers
  • CPTPP means no more ignoring of services, which are 80% of UK economy

2. Economic benefits

  • Cutting UK’s tariffs on 95% of UK imports from CPTPP to zero – cutting UK consumer prices
  • Encourages British business to compete globally – investing for future growth
  • Opening up CPTPP markets to UK exports of services – the sector representing 80% of UK economy
  • Mutual recognition of professional qualifications, allowing UK firms to sell services in CPTPP countries

NOTE: Rejoiner-Whitehall’s estimates of the economic benefits are not worth the paper they are written on. The true benefits to the UK are much higher. We explain the ‘Whitehall Whitewash’ in Part III of this series – not to be missed. (See ‘Observations’ below.)

3. UK’s CPTPP free trade deal is much better than existing deals with 9 of the 11 CPTPP members

  • UK already had trade deals with 9 out of the 11 CPTPP member countries
  • Most of these were ‘rollover’ deals on the UK’s EU exit, based on the EU’s own documents and terms
  • These UK rollover deals were necessary to ensure continuation of trade
  • They were not, however, adequate and satisfactory to the UK – nor to CPTPP countries
  • They did not reflect British interests but those of the EU
  • For example they barely included services
  • They involved prohibitive quotas and still had high tariffs
  • By contrast the UK’s CPTPP deal is modern and efficient

4. Non-quantifiable benefits

  • Raises UK’s profile in CPTPP markets
  • Cuts cost for British consumers of imported goods (See Explainer Box A above.)
  • Provides more choice for British consumers
  • Increases UK’s influence and ‘soft power’ globally
  • Important counter-seasonal nature of imports from the world outside Europe (See Explainer Box B above.)
  • Raises CPTPP countries’ profiles in UK boardrooms as prospective trade markets (See Explainer Box C above.)

5. No political interference and no annual financial payments

  • No sign-up to laws made by foreign court
  • No huge annual ‘membership fee’ to subsidise CPTPP countries
  • No CPTPP Parliament
  • No CPTPP Common Agricultural Policy, no CPTPP Common Foreign Policy, no CPTPP Common Defence Policy
  • No relentless drive towards creating a superstate controlled by unelected bureaucrats
  • No unelected Commissioners continually devising and imposing new rules and regulations on non-trade matters
  • No obligatory Freedom of Movement, no flooding the UK with 6 million foreign nationals
  • No insistence on obeying a ‘CPTPP Court of Human Rights’
  • No imposition of CPTPP product standards on all UK businesses
  • Only the products to be exported have to obey a CPTPP country’s domestic standards

Observations

Our most popular report in the whole of August

Part I of this series about the CPTPP free trade deal turned out to be our most popular report in the entire month of August. The reaction to it overall has been very positive, with many asking why such great Brexit news was not covered by the BBC and others. Crucially our question of why the new Labour Government made no statement at all about the news from Peru until after we published has been echoed many times on social media. The good news is that GB News broke our story last Tuesday (27 Aug 2024) with our agreement, ensuring that many more people now have access to it.

In today’s report above, we have attempted to outline the very many benefits of a free trade deal negotiated by the British for the interests of British businesses and consumers. These are compared with EU deals negotiated by EU officials, who always represented other EU countries' interests and never those of the UK while it was a member. Previously the UK simply had to put up with this, as it was not allowed to do its own deals.

Having now broken away from the EU empire, Brexit Britain is gradually free to soar on the world stage. This is not an overnight event. It takes time to negotiate and agree these deals, and then yet more time for companies to realise they should take advantage of them. New contracts then have to be negotiated before products can start rolling off ships and before services can start to be provided. With a little patience, these things will happen.

Finally, we have seen desperate Rejoiners trying to quote the guesswork contained in an official report by a few state economists - senior civil servants in Whitehall – regarding the value of the CPTPP deal. In Part III we will take their work apart. We strongly suggest that Rejoiners might wish to refrain from quoting numbers from this report until they have read and digested our critique of it.

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[ Sources: ONS | House of Commons Library | Dept for Business & Trade | Catherine McBride | CTPTT Official Repository | EU Commission ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Tues 03 Sept 2024

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