From “the 10’s of thousands” to 1.1 million immigrants last year – and even this is understated

606,000 net reasons why it’s time to call out the Government and the Civil Service

Montage © Facts4EU.Org 2023

The ‘Blob’ just don’t seem to understand the outrage across the country

A special combined data analysis and opinion piece from the Facts4EU.Org team

We doubt many readers were fooled for one moment by the scare stories leaked in advance about yesterday’s announcement of net immigration reaching 1 million. These were all designed to make the official net figures when they were announced (606,000) sound much less than they are.

The reality is that even if net immigration last year was over 600,000, (and we don’t believe it’s that low for one moment), this number alone is an abomination.

In this report Facts4EU.Org analyses and summarises yesterday’s official net figures for long-term immigration from the Office for National Statistics, even though we believe these are significantly understated.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

The official net long-term immigration figures, 2019-2022

[Source: Latest ONS official data, released Thurs 25 May 2023.]

© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2023 - click to enlarge

Last year twice as many people entered the UK than left

Total long-term immigration was estimated at around 1.2 million in 2022, and emigration was 557,000. This means migration has continued to add to the UK’s population with net migration at 606,000 last year.

Most people arriving in the UK in 2022 were non-EU nationals (925,000), followed by the EU27 (151,000) and British (88,000).

The problems are affecting all aspects of our society

The metropolitan conurbations where the majority of new migrants congregate are full to overflowing. In the regions of the United Kingdom outside the cities the indigenous population cannot get GP appointments, can’t see a cancer or heart specialist in time to save them, their children are taught in overcrowded classrooms, the roads are a disgrace, and public services overall leave people infuriated and frustrated.

The reason is very simple. The population has increased dramatically since Tony Blair’s tenure of No.10. Despite this, no government – from Mr Blair’s to Mr Sunak’s – has increased spending on public services in line with the way they have allowed the population to rocket.

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Facts4EU.Org’s consistent criticism of these official statistics is finally vindicated

After years of the Facts4EU team stating that we simply did not believe these statistics, the Office for National Statistics has finally admitted just how badly they got these numbers wrong. We still don’t believe the figures are accurate, but here’s what the ONS said yesterday. “The improvement in methods means the previously published immigration estimate for YE June 2022 is revised upwards by 45,000 to 1,109,000, emigration downwards by negative 57,000 to 503,000, and net migration revised by 102,000 to 606,000.”

So, they got the net immigration numbers wrong by 102,000. This is more than David Cameron’s total, when he promised to get the numbers down to the “tens of thousands”. It is not unreasonable to say that the authorities have not had a clue. We go further and say they still don’t know.

Why this matters

It is simply not possible to increase the population by many millions without investing in the infrastructure of the country. Sadly this has not been done by successive administrations. Here are just some of the basics of normal life which have been hugely impacted :-

  • Hospitals
  • GPs
  • Schools
  • Elderly care
  • Housing
  • Social services
  • Transport
  • Roads

Visas for dependants

As we argued in our report yesterday on National Insurance registrations, the question of dependants is rarely mentioned.

Years ago this door could have been closed to foreign students, for example. Why should students be allowed to bring in family members? This would have been a quick and simple way to reduce the numbers coming in. As Home Secretary, Theresa May could have done this in an instant. She didn’t. Now Rishi Sunak has finally announced he is doing this – but only for certain categories of students.

Over 150,000 EU immigrants despite ‘Free Movement’ ending in 2021?

From January 2021, EU nationals have required a visa to enter the UK. However, a proportion of EU migrants with settled status can continue to travel to the UK without a visa. Unbelievably the authorities cannot tell us how many entered last year. The best they have been able to do is make an estimate.

They estimate 151,000 EU nationals arrived last year on a long-term immigration basis. This alone is 50% higher than the Government’s promises of reducing overall net immigration from the entire world to “the tens of thousands”.

And finally, how many are deported?

With the enormous volume of people entering the UK, it is inevitable that a proportion will out-stay their visas or will commit offences while here. Sadly the number actually deported is pitifully low. In the year ending September 2022, there were only 3,531 enforced returns, 51% fewer than in the pre-pandemic year of 2019.


Health warning

Reading through the large amount of information published by the ONS yesterday, the number of caveats and revisions to previous numbers almost exceeds the new data itself. The staff at the Home Office, the DWP, HMRC, and the ONS have been radically revisiting their methodologies for determining the numbers of long-term immigrants. Nevertheless there is a long way to go before we have any certainty.

It is clear to us that they still have no idea of the real numbers. We have sympathy for the staff trying to make sense of all of this but no sympathy for those who head up these organisations and none at all for the politicians who have presided over this mess for decades.

A country has borders or it is not a country. It is supposed to be able to control these and to know how many people have been allowed into the country. We continue to say this is not the case.

The decades-long decay in the quality of the Civil Service

For five decades the Civil Service has been handed laws and regulations by Brussels. We believe this has contributed to the Civil Service transforming into a rubber-stamping and gold-plating organisation for the EU Commission.

With Ministers openly admitting they were powerless in the face of EU laws they had to accept, it is no surprise that the Civil Service took on the overbearing, technocratic, unelected, dictatorship style of the Commission.

For years we were shadow-banned on social media whenever we ran reports on immigration. Very few organisations would touch the subject. Now this is mainstream. It cost us dearly in terms of readership and donations, but we are proud to say we were in the vanguard.

We must get reports like this out there

Reports like the one above take far longer to research, write and produce than many people realise. If they were easy, readers would see other organisations also producing these daily. However, there’s little point in the Facts4EU.Org team working long hours, seven days-a-week, if we lack the resources to promote them effectively – to the public, to MPs, and to the media. This is where you come in, dear reader.

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[ Sources: ONS ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Fri 26 May 2023

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