Germany’s asylum problem – numbers soar by almost 90% so far this year

EU’s largest economy at a standstill, state administrations struggle to cope with influx

Montage Facts4EU.Org 2023

No wonder Poland wants to change its own asylum laws with a referendum

The latest figures released by the EU Commission show a dramatic 89% increase in the number of asylum applications in Germany in the first seven months of this year. State administrations were already struggling to house and assimilate massive numbers of migrants. Now it seems the problems are only getting worse.

The German people have already shown failing confidence in their country’s government bodies, as the usual ‘German efficiency’ has given way to backlogs and frustration. Angela Merkel’s glib “We’ll manage it” slogan is now sounding hollow for many Germans and the right-wing AfD party is benefiting.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

Asylum applications in Germany, Jan-Jul 2023 compared to Jan-Jul 2022

Jan-Jul 2022 : 114,230
Jan-Jul 2023 : 215,745
Increase : 89%

[Source : European Commission, 24 Aug 2023.]

Germany’s ticking timebomb – the clock is counting down fast

Brexit Facts4EU.Org has predicted on many occasions that the number of migrants in the EU – those who entered and applied for asylum and those entered illegally and disappeared into the black economy – would escalate dramatically, and this is what is happening.

One of the ‘ticking timebombs’ is family reunification. This is the UN-enshrined right of a migrant, once established in a country, to apply for all members of his family to join him. A single migrant in one year can lead to a significant number of his relatives joining him the next year – and there’s little the authorities can do about this.

As UK boat migrants continue to come, Germany’s problems are far worse

This problem will also affect the United Kingdom, but the numbers in Germany are such that the already-creaking state machinery and its stock of housing, schools and hospitals are struggling to cope. This in turn is now having an impact on the German people’s experience of what used to be known as ‘German efficiency’. Dissatisfaction with the services being delivered at state level is growing all the time.

All of this coincides with a German economy which fell into recession earlier this year and is now stagnating. The OECD forecasts that Germany – not the UK – will be the slowest-growing economy in the G7 this year.

This has been filtering through into the German’s voting intentions at the next election. The right-wing ‘Alternative for Germany’ (AfD) party now leads Chancellor Scholz’s ruling SPD party by two percentage points, according to a poll released this week. Only a year ago, Chancellor Scholz’s party led by six points. That’s a swing of 8% in just 12 months in favour of the AfD.

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The Polish question

The problem is most acute in Germany but Poland has just announced a referendum on the subject, to tie in with its national elections on 15 October.

Former EU Council President Donald Tusk now leads a group of Polish opposition parties called ‘the Civic Coalition’. Tusk is well-known in the UK for his patronising antipathy – not to say hostility - towards the United Kingdom following the Brexit vote. He now trails the governing Law and Justice Party by six percentage points in his own country.

Mr Tusk was EU Council President when he publicly ridiculed the then British Prime Minister, Theresa May, on several occasions, making the UK look like the poor supplicant during the ill-fated Brexit negotiations with the EU under her disastrous tenure of No.10 Downing Street.

Faced with a referendum on immigration and asylum announced by the Polish government for 15 October, it is perhaps not surprising that Mr Tusk has refused to recognise it and is urging people to boycott it. This a man who ruled in Brussels for years without ever being elected by popular mandate. Respect for democracy would not appear to be his strong point.

Observations

From Sweden in the North to Spain and Italy in the South, the Right are advancing

In the United Kingdom the Conservative Government of Rishi Sunak does not appear to be reading the European tea leaves. Whilst his government seems to be drifting to the left, more and more backbench Conservative MPs are advocating policies which look likely to appeal to the voters.

Across the EU, right-wing parties have been making gains. Even Sweden now has a centre-right government – something which would have been unthinkable a few short years ago. Italy now has a government led by Georgia Meloni, head of the right-wing ‘Brothers of Italy’ party. In Spain, the right-wing nationalist Vox party has been making significant gains.

It has always been our position that the levels of immigration – both legal and illegal – are of far greater concern to the ordinary people of the United Kingdom than they appear to be to those who inhabit the Westminster Bubble.

Making announcements from time to time – and throwing £800 million at the French for not doing their job – is unlikely to impress many people in our view. What people are looking for are results. It’s time for the PM to start making the tough decisions advocated by many MPs we know.

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[ Sources: EU Commission | German statistics office | Polish government ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Fri 25 Aug 2023

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Reader Comments 18

1. LuxuryBalloon , Friday, August 25, 2023, 09:22:

The number of illegal immigrants crossing the Channel in dinghies seems to have increased exponentially since we left the EU.

2. Catherine , Friday, August 25, 2023, 09:29:

I watched a short German video yesterday about a couple who'd been renting a small municipal house in Germany for eight years. They received a letter from the municipality ordering them to evict their home *immediately*, as they had empty rooms, so the home could be used to house a "refugee" family.

3. NH , Friday, August 25, 2023, 11:00:

1 LB , "illegal immigrants crossing the Channel"
The number of asylum claimants enter the EU has increased hugely since we left the EU. The number of migrants entering the UK via "small boats" has increased at a similar rate as we get their overflow. This is a problem caused by the EU, it's not due to Brexit. France is getting far more asylum claims than the UK. The difference is we now have the powers to control this, if the government decides to use them. The EU does not seem to have a plan to control this and their policies are encouraging more claimants to come.

4. LuxuryBalloon , Friday, August 25, 2023, 11:51:

3 NH Don’t you think it is related to the fact that everyone needs an ID card in the EU … while we make ‘working illegally’ easy?

5. Gazzablack , Friday, August 25, 2023, 12:10:

4, LB
Are you saying that you need an ID card to work ILLEGALLY in the EU?

6. LuxuryBalloon , Friday, August 25, 2023, 12:16:

5 Blackgassy … it is harder to work illegally in the EU as everyone is required to carry ID cards. It is easy to work illegally in the UK as carrying ID cards are not required.

7. NH , Friday, August 25, 2023, 13:28:

4. LB. , "Illegal Workers"
There are huge penalties in the UK for employers who hire illegal workers with fines of up to £20,000 per illegal worker and potential prison sentences of up to 5 years. If you are saying is the UK a soft touch I would agree with you. In the UK you can be a drug dealer (popular with Albanians) with out an ID card maybe in Europe you need an ID card to be a drug dealer, burglar, mugger rapist etc and this is a deterrent to asylum seekers.

8. Gazzablack , Friday, August 25, 2023, 13:50:

6, Less than luxurious condom
.
Aah, so the EU is akin to a police state where the stasi require you to show your papers on demand.
I can see why you like it so much.
.
And now through the EU's new 'Digital Services Act' which ALL large online platforms must apply, censorship will be the order of the day.
All communications having to meet the approval of the 'EU Ministry of Propaganda'
.
Confirmation, the EU is akin to a police state

9. LuxuryBalloon , Friday, August 25, 2023, 13:54:

7 NH I am not sure the UK is soft … but the government is trying to address the symptoms (‘send them back’ or ‘send them to Rwanda’) instead of addressing the root caus(es). And some people blame others (EU, mini-Macron) as they prefer no solution than an effective but unpopular solution. And making ID cards mandatory has its trade-offs (infringing on liberties, etc) … but that would be a good debate … Travelling by airplane is much more cumbersome since the War on Terror, but I personally think that was price worth paying.

10. NH , Friday, August 25, 2023, 14:28:

9. LB , "the government is trying to address the symptoms"
And how exactly do you suggest the government addresses the root cause ?
The government is trying to deter economic migrants who are trying to manipulate the asylum system. All the "boat migrants" are sailing from a safe country and they have travelled through many safe countries before arriving in France. If they were genuinely fleeing countries for their own safety they would settle in the nearest safe country. The vast majority coming to the UK are young fit males who are not vulnerable.
.
By definition the boat migrants are willing to break the law. Many dispose of their passports, mobiles and any other documentation before they get to the UK, do you think a mandatory ID card would change their behaviour ? The EU is definitely to blame, their policies has resulted in a huge increase in asylum seekers coming to Europe.

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