'Sex and the EU': The surge in sex crimes since EU’s doors were thrown open
In 10 years, EU’s sexual violence offences up nearly twice, rapes up 2½ times
Montage © Facts4EU.Org 2026
Has this been heading our way in the UK, via France?
On 29 April 2026 the EU’s official statistics agency released some very worrying figures on sexual violence and rape in the bloc. What’s going on? And is it coming our way?
It was in 2015 that Germany’s Chancellor, Angela Merkel, known by many in her country as ‘Mutti’ ('Mummy'), threw her country’s doors wide open to migrants with the famous expression “Wir schaffen das.” (‘We can do this.’)
Free movement for all
The problem was that Frau Merkel’s open borders offer meant that the huge influx was not only experienced in her own country, but in the other EU countries too. Such is the impact of ‘freedom of movement’.
The second problem is that after her departure, Germany hasn’t in fact “managed it”. The mayors in towns across the country have been up in arms against the Federal government because of the load which migrants have placed on local communities.
Despite this, here was the PM yesterday
"I want to go further. I want to make a better offer for our young people, restore that hope, that freedom, that sense of possibility.
"And so I want an ambitious youth experience scheme to be at the heart of our new arrangement with the EU..."
This will effectively restore freedom of movement for the under 30s, and we know the traffic is almost all one-way: from the EU to the UK. Less than 0.5% of British students used the Erasmus+ scheme, for example. Ignoring the facts, however, the PM continued:
"...so that our young people can work and study and live in Europe, a symbol of a stronger relationship and a fairer future with our closest allies. That is the Labour choice."
- Speech, Sir Keir Starmer, London, 11 May 2026
The big question is the extent to which sex crimes will also be imported from the EU.
We have produced this report in collaboration with our partners at The Campaign for an Independent Britain (CIBUK.Org), and Stand for Our Sovereignty (SovereignUK.org).
Think-tank Facts4EU has also shared our findings exclusively with the People’s Channel, GB News, and it is currently high up on their News page.
Here are the headlines
Numbers over 10 years, 2015 – 2024
- Sexual violence offences in 2024: Over 1/4 million (256,302)
- Total sexual violence offences in 10 years, 2015-2024 inclusive: 1.9 million (1,886,948)
© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2026 - click to enlarge
[Source: EU Commission statistics agency, 29 Apr 2026]
Of these:
Rapes: Numbers over 10 years
Excluding statutory rape of minors
- Rapes in 2024: Nearly 100,000 (98,190)
- Total rapes in 10 years, 2015-2024 inclusive: 2/3 million (664,293)
© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2026 - click to enlarge
[Source: EU Commission statistics agency, 29 Apr 2026]
Let’s stop and think about that for a moment
In the last year for which we have data: 2024:
- Over ¼ million people were subjected to sexual violence in the EU
- The vast majority were women.
- Of these, nearly 100,000 were raped, and this excludes minors.
That’s in just one year. And the numbers just keep on rising.
Why is Spain the worst country in the EU for this?

By far the largest increase in rapes took place in Spain in the last couple of years. Spain is the country that has just declared another amnesty for illegal migrants, totalling a further 500,000 on top of what has already been granted. Spain’s increase in rapes is 4.2 times in 10 years. In 2020 it stood at under 1,600 and now the figures show over 5,200 rapes for 2024.
Spain’s latest amnesty for illegal migrants by its left-wing government was achieved by using a royal decree, bypassing any parliamentary debate or vote.
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Below are the proportionate increases in the EU27 across the bloc.
Increase over 10 years, 2024 compared to 2014
Sexual violence offences: Up by 94% (+124,350)
© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2026 - click to enlarge
[Source: EU Commission statistics agency, 29 Apr 2026]
Of these:
Rapes: Up by 150% (+58,983)
© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2026 - click to enlarge
[Source: EU Commission statistics agency, 29 Apr 2026]
Note: It was not Facts4EU that chose to compare over the 10 years up to the latest data for 2024 – it was the EU’s statistics agency that did this. Facts4EU has simply created the charts to show the changes ‘at-a-glance’.
The area of sex is very tricky, when trying to analyse changing data
A critical factor we should point out is that definitions matter a lot when analysing data. When it comes to sex and in particular the crimes related to it, this is especially true. Not only do definitions change, but so does awareness and – importantly - the likelihood of certain crimes being reported.
There are also countries (eg in Scandinavia) where ‘serious sex crimes’ would not be recognised as such by most people in the UK.
We therefore caveat the above data and would say that it’s the trends that matter, and overall numbers.
How do we compare in the United Kingdom?
After much research, we cannot find a way of bringing a true comparison of the data in the UK into line with that of the EU. There are a great many reasons for this, including changes in the law, the way data on minors is included, (it is not included in the EU), the fact the nations of the UK report separately, the periods for which data is available, and other factors.
What we can say is that there is clearly a large increase in sexual offences reported to police in the UK, which is very worrying. There can be no doubt that offences committed by illegal migrants are now starting to impact on the figures, as well as those by elements of the community who are British nationals or who have residency but self-describe as categories other than ‘white British’. An example of this is the existence of so-called ‘Pakistani rape gangs’.

As there has recently been research carried out on all of this by others including our friends at the Centre for Migration Control, we hope that readers will review these sources.
The state of British policing
Click to enlarge
[Source(s) : X.com]
The reasons for the increase in the EU
We wish to make it clear once again that all figures on sex crimes are unreliable. Nevertheless we have presented the official data. It does seem to be more than a coincidence that the rise happens after Angela Merkel first opened the EU’s doors to illegal migrants in their millions.
She did so unilaterally in 2015 with no agreement from the EU (and none from her own people), and - because this was the German Chancellor - the Commission went along with it. She first used the infamous phrase “Wir schaffen das” or loosely “We can do this” at a Federal press conference at the end of August of that year and was still saying it nearly a year later, until the emergence of the problems attached finally began to be reported.
Observations
The events of 2015 and 2016 in particular was a time when we saw what we can only describe as mass hysteria across many ‘liberal’ countries in the EU. Readers may remember seeing the British TV reports of Germans – often young women - waiting at train stations carrying bouquets of flowers and chocolates, ready to welcome bemused young Arab and North African men.
It was at the end of that year, during New Year’s festivities, when mass rapes took place in public places at night. The event which is particularly remembered took place in Köln (Cologne). For days there was virtually a media blackout from Germany’s left-wing media and it’s socialist government and it wasn’t until more than six months later that the police officially confirmed that 1,200 women had been victims of rape and sexual assault in Kö that night, attacked by large groups of migrants on New Year’s Eve 2015. Sadly, Köln was not unique.
Since 2016 the Germans have been busy trying to shut the stable door but this would appear to be rather too late.
There are of course other reasons for the increase in sex crimes, which we have stated above. Separating cause and effect is always a difficult task and doubtless there will be many who will say that the millions of young men flooding into the EU in those years have had nothing to do with the increase.
We have simply produced our charts as these are fairly stark, and readers can make up their own minds whether there might be a connection.
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[ Sources: EU Commission statistics agency (Eurostat), 29 Apr 2026 ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.
Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Tues 12 May 2026
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