The limp performance of the EU's largest member

Germany's economy is still smaller than 6 years ago, in real terms

Montage © Facts4EU.Org 2025

Meanwhile Brexit Britain, forecast by the global Establishment to fail, has grown defiantly
(EU forgets to report latest GDP figures, so Brexit Facts4EU helps them out)

The EU Commission is always on the ball when it has good news to report. It's statistics agency dutifully follows up with an article and accompanying datasets.

When the news is not so good, however, particularly when it involves the EU's No.1 economy by far - that of Germany - then the Commission and its stats agency can come over all shy.

Instead of the latest GDP stats we were treated to reports such as "EU trade in candles in 2024" and "Over 32 kg/person of new electrical & electronic gear". We kid you not.

The EU's news department increasingly resembles the Soviet-era Pravda newspaper, which used to report on matters such as "Tractor production up again".

The Brexit Facts4EU.Org think-tank felt that readers might want to be made aware of the economic woes across the Channel, even if the EU Commission does not seem keen on you knowing this.

In the UK, the economy is one of the major news items at present. With Rachel Reeves making her most unusual pre-Budget statement in No.10 yesterday, the talk is all of the state of the economy and the 'black hole' in the government's finances which she has to address in just three weeks' time.

Before our own 'GB News Pre-Budget Special' which is being published tomorrow (Thurs 06 Nov 2025), Facts4EU takes a look at what is happening across the Channel, and specifically at Germany and its economy.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

The limp performance of the EU's largest member

(These are the indexed figures, taking out the effect of inflation - showing 'in real terms')

Q3 2019 : 105.0
Q3 2025 : 104.8
Q3 : -0.19%

[Source: Eurostat, 31 Oct 2025.]

The advantages of EU membership?

We have not published today's report to rejoice in the difficulties that have been facing the German economy for years. It is in the UK's interests for all its trading partners to do well, as this helps to drive British exports. Germany is not the UK's largest export market - that's the US - but it is by far the largest export market in the EU. With its economy flatlining, this makes it harder for UK exporters to increase their sales. This is especially true for goods manufacturers who have been facing rocketing energy bills, making them less competitive globally.

The reason for publishing our 'at-a-glance' chart is to show Rejoiners once and for all that all is not necessarily rosy in the EU garden. Many of them seem to believe that simply being a member of the EU guarantees growth and prosperity, and a basket of gold under the end of its rainbow.

The fact is that while Germany's economy has been flatlining, Brexit Britain's economy has been growing - despite Brexit. How is that possible outside the EU? This is a question we will leave with Rejoiners to answer.

So how does the UK compare?

We do not have directly comparable figures to those of Eurostat, but what we have is close enough. Below is the chart for the UK, for the same time period barring the last two months. These are also indexed figures to take out the effect of inflation, and are seasonally adjusted just like the EU's. The starting figure is lower only because the data is indexed to a different start point. The trend is comparable with our chart for Germany above.

Observations

We must get reports like this out there

Even fairly simple reports like the one above take far longer to research, write and produce than many people realise. If they were easy, readers would see other organisations also producing these daily. However, there’s little point in the Facts4EU.Org team working long hours, seven days-a-week, if we lack the resources to promote them effectively – to the public, to MPs, and to the media. This is where you come in, dear reader.

Facts4EU.Org needs you today

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[ Sources: EU Commission (Eurostat) | Office for National Statistics ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Wed 05 Nov 2025

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Reader Comments 15

1. Mr Sceptic , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 08:52:

And how is our GDP/capita looking?
Population increase since Jan 2021:
UK +2.7 mln
Germany +0.4 mln
France +0.9 mln
Italy -0.7 mln
Brexit Britain has inflated its overall GDP through mass immigration … making everyone in the UK feel poorer since Brexit.

2. Gazzablack , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 09:11:

1, septic
.
Better than Germany's despite the population increase..
.
Feel poorer?
Prices for food and non alcoholic drinks have risen less in the UK since Brexit than in the EU, so they must feel even poorer.

3. Sparky , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 09:20:

Is this back to, "The EU will collapse without the UK" or "The EU is on the verge of collapse".
.
Germanys economy was more reliant than most on cheap energy from Russia and because of its larger manufacturing base, particularly cars, Germany has been hit harder by US Tariffs. The Uk is much more reliant on services which US tariffs don't directly apply to.
.
Over the last 12 months the UK exported £61.9 billion to Germany, £32.7 billion in goods, £29.2 billion in services. Germany is the UK's second largest trading partner after the USA so don't wish for problems in the German economy.
.
The UK has a trade deficit with Germany, Brexit has done nothing to change that.
.
1 Mr S. I agree re immigration, which mainly occurred after leaving the EU. Plus the UK inflation over the last 10 year of 39% iswell above Germany at 28.9%. UK Debt to GDP is at 95.9%, Germany is 62.5%.

4. Mr Sceptic , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 11:04:

Nigel Farage claimed this week that the UK has been living under an illusion about its true economic state. He argued that the country has been clinging to misleading GDP growth figures. According to Farage, any recent economic growth has been driven entirely by unprecedented levels of mass migration (the Boriswave) rather than genuine economic strength, masking the reality of the country's poor economic performance.
Does Facts4EU's role in perpetuating this illusion represent their idea of 'Standing up for Sovereignty'?

5. Gazzablack , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 11:39:

The paid shrills from Brussels are working overtime today.
.
Sparkless won't need to worry about the triple lock while safely ensconced in a bunker in Brussels
.
The EU, a government without a country

6. NH , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 12:09:

With a report like this we expect the normal silly claims from remainer-rejoiners but the reality is German and the EU does not deny they have huge problems. The last German economic minister attributed German's economic weakness to "long term structural problems that have been embedded in the economy for decades". The CEO of the German stock market called the German economy "a junk shop economy" and there have been constant growing criticisms of EU policies from industry leaders for a long time. The EU needs serious reform and after a huge analysis of their problems they accept this. The problem is their decision making processes are very slow and dominated by conflicts and national and personal self interests.
.
The UK should learn from the EU failures and look to emulate countries in the world that have succeeded. As the UK has a very different economy to the EU it's much easier to adapt to present world opportunities and with a competent Government we could do this.

7. NH , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 12:34:

4. Sceptic
You don't seem to understand that it's the economic growth that creates the need for immigration it is not the immigration that creates the economic growth !
.
The "Conservative wave" was badly managed, but it was the Home Office that was responsible for this. This is the same Home office that the Labour party have said are "unfit for purpose".

8. Sparky , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 13:07:

5 G. Delighted to provide a free service direct from the UK. No really! don't thank me!
.
6 NH. And the UK has huge problems, not helped by this greta Brexit idea. Interesting issues in the news today re sickness, 800,000 more people out of work for health related issues than in 2019. The "fit note" introduced in 2010 is too easy to obtain and often without seeing a GP.

9. NH , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 13:46:

8. Sparky
I agree that's why I said "with a competent Government" !
.
The "fit note" was introduced in April 2010 when the last Labour Government was in power and Labour's "employment rights bill" will make things much worse. Since the present Labour Government were elected the number of people living on welfare benefits has increased by over 1 million and is constantly rising. That's what you voted for !
.
The UK's problems can be fixed quite easily. Trying to get 27 countries to agree on the "fix" is the big problem.

10. Mr Sceptic , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 15:04:

7 NH You don’t seem to want to understand that more people in a country leads to a bigger economy (GDP), but in our case not to an improved standard of living (GDP per capita).
Thankfully Nigel Farage has understood.

15 comments, page 1 of 2

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The limp performance of the EU's largest member

Germany's economy is still smaller than 6 years ago, in real terms

Meanwhile Brexit Britain, forecast by the global Establishment to fail, has grown defiantly(EU forgets to report latest GDP figures, so Brexit Facts4EU helps them out)

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

The advantages of EU membership?

So how does the UK compare?

Observations

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Reader Comments 15

1. Mr Sceptic , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 08:52:

2. Gazzablack , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 09:11:

3. Sparky , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 09:20:

4. Mr Sceptic , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 11:04:

5. Gazzablack , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 11:39:

6. NH , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 12:09:

7. NH , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 12:34:

8. Sparky , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 13:07:

9. NH , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 13:46:

10. Mr Sceptic , Wednesday, November 05, 2025, 15:04:

Meanwhile Brexit Britain, forecast by the global Establishment to fail, has grown defiantly
(EU forgets to report latest GDP figures, so Brexit Facts4EU helps them out)