The EU now has nearly 45m migrants (up 2.3m last year) – How many are UK-bound?

France alone has almost 7.4m – Is this why they don’t stop them leaving in small boats?

Montage © Facts4EU.Org 2025

Facts4EU analyses people in the EU for World Population Day 2025 and finds worrying increases

The EU’s latest population figures show a big jump of 2.3m non-EU born nationals, making a total of 44.7m in all. This represents just under 10% of the population and the trend is upward each year. This jump takes the total population of the EU27 over 450m for the first time since Brexit.

The population would have been higher but for the fact that once again deaths have exceeded births across the EU. This has now been the case for the last 13 years and it is mass migration that is responsible for the EU’s population growth.

France and its migrant population

Since the small boats crisis started, France's net migrant population has increased by over 930,000
Does this help to explain why so many have been crossing the Channel in small boats?

For the EU as a whole, the Commission says this:

France's increase in its migrant population in the last 15 years

The UK's problem with the rocketing numbers of undocumented illegal migrants setting off from French shores started in 2018. Whilst the numbers of migrants counted in the total population is notoriously inaccurate and can only be an indication, Facts4EU looked specifically at France, to see how its migrant population has grown over the last 15 years. This includes the period from 2018 onwards, which is when the UK's migrant boat crisis started.

France's overall migrant population - those born outside the EU - stands at 7.4 million, according to the official data. In the information below we are looking only at the last 15 years, as these will be people more likely to be wanting to moved to the UK.

It should be noted that in the so-called "one in, one out" notional agreement which Sir Keir says he has negotiated with President Macron, the migrants the UK will be expected to take will come from France's migrant population. These will be people included in the figures below. The chart shows the cumulative growth in these figures over the past 15 years. The chart also marks the point at which the Channel migrant boats crisis first began, in 2018.

Please note: This shows the increase in non-EU born in the population. It does NOT include all the transitory asylum seekers and those not in the system, which would make the number higher.

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How the UK unwillingly enabled the EU to disguise its immigration problem

While looking at the latest release of all these figures to mark the UN's World Population Day, it was impossible to ignore a headline chart from the EU Commission.

Below is a classic example of EU 'Disinformation' - something they are constantly seeking to outlaw for others

What you see below is a chart from the EU's main 'information' piece about the release of the latest population numbers. It purportedly shows "EU Population, 1960-2025". In reality it does no such thing, for a number of reasons.

• The EU did not exist in 1960 - it was called the European Economic Community (EEC)
• In 1960 there were just six members: Germany, France, Italy, and the three Benelux countries
• The EU was not formed as a legal entity until the Lisbon Treaty of 2007
• This Treaty did not finally enter into force until 1 December 2009
• The chart does not show the admission of new member countries over time
• It is as though all 27 member countries have been member countries since 1960
• This can only be described as disinformation by the EU Commission

© EU Commission 2025 - click to enlarge

There is one overriding reason why the EU Commission has shown the chart the way it has:

By not showing the population changes with new members joining
it does not have to show the huge drop in population when the UK exited the EU

It is again worth noting that the increase in the ‘natural population’ of the EU would have been even higher but for the nearly seven million EU27 citizens who left the EU and came to live in the UK under the EU’s Freedom of Movement rules, while the UK was still a member of the European Union. This means that the latest figures for growth in the EU’s population are even more shocking.

Brexit was the equivalent of the EU losing the populations of 15 of its countries

The EU Commission frequently talks about the size of its market of consumers. This has always been a point of pride, even though the EU still consists of independent countries. It is not like the United States, for example.

When the United Kingdom left, the number of EU consumers shrank by around 13%. This really hurt the EU Commission, which helps to explain its vitriolic approach to the UK during the exit negotiations and ever since.

It also explains the urgency with which the Commission is seeking to allow new joiners. All of the countries it has lined up are relatively small, and in economic terms they are minnows compared to the large UK economy which the EU lost.

For a long time after we voted to leave, Remainers still talked about "a market of over 500m consumers"

Over and again, Facts4EU had to point out that with the departure of the UK, the EU would no longer be a market of over 500 million consumers. In fact, in 2016 without the UK, the EU's population would have dropped to 444,000,000.

We also pointed out to people who had clearly never exported anything in their lives, that companies sell to companies, not countries. A UK company may well be exporting to a single company in a single EU country for all kinds of reasons, and therefore the the fact it was part of a larger whole would generally make little difference.

The reality was that in population terms Brexit was the equivalent of the EU losing over half its member states

The Top 6 EU countries account for over 70% of its population

Six EU countries represent 70% of the bloc’s population. These are Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Poland, and Romania.

© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2025 - click to enlarge

Without these six countries the EU would be 30% of its size, making it relatively insignificant on the world stage.

The EU’s population would then be smaller than :

• China
• India
• The United States
• Indonesia
• Pakistan
• Nigeria
• Brazil, and
• Bangladesh

[ Source: EU Commission ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Mon 14 Jul 2025

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