Relax everyone, UK population set to peak by 2055 according to UN forecasts
“What are they going to do then, turn back all migrants?” asks Brexit Facts4EU.Org
Montage © Facts4EU.Org 2022
Our analysis of the UN population growths and forecasts for the UK, the EU, and the World
According to the United Nations, the UK accounts for just 0.65% of the world’s population. The UK represents nothing more than a rounding error in the UN’s global population numbers.
The world’s population officially exceeded 8 billion this year. The UK’s population is set to peak in around 30 years’ time, if the UN data is to be believed. A further 30 years after the UK’s peak the world’s population is expected to reach 10.4 billion and then start falling.
Every two years the United Nations produces its forecasts of world population, demography and trends. Facts4EU.Org has analysed the historic data from 1950 through to the forecasts until the end of this century, to bring readers some insights into a topic which affects us all.
Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary
United Nations population data and forecasts 2022
1. The United Kingdom : 1950-2022
The UK’s population has increased almost as much in the last 20 years as in the previous 50 years
© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2022 - click to enlarge
2. The World : 1950-2022
The World’s population is expected to peak in 2086 at just over 10.4 billion people
© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2022 - click to enlarge
3. The European Union : Before Brexit compared with today
The EU’s population suffered its biggest-ever fall with the exit of the United Kingdom
© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2022 - click to enlarge
[Source for all of the above : United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division - World Population Prospects 2022. Projections from 2022 onwards are based on the UN's medium-fertility scenario.]
The World’s population growth is not coming from the UK or Europe
Europe (including the UK) is experiencing declining fertility rates. What the global numbers do not show is the extraordinary difference between birth rates in Europe and the birth rates in African countries.
Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary
The UK versus the Top 10 countries with the highest birth rates in 2022
- Niger : 6.75
- Chad : 6.22
- Somalia : 6.20
- Democratic Republic of Congo : 6.11
- Central African Republic : 5.92
- Mali : 5.87
- Angola : 5.21
- Nigeria : 5.14
- Burundi : 4.98
- Benin : 4.90
- UK : 1.57
© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2022 - click to enlarge
And finally, let’s mention our Commonwealth friends, India
The UN predicts that India will officially become the most populous country in the world next year (2023), overtaking China.
Furthermore, in 40 years’ time (2062) the UN predicts that India will be by far the largest country in the world, with a population of 1.7bn. This compares with a prediction for China of ‘only’ 1.18bn.
Observations
The UN’s forecasts on population are about as accurate as the economic forecasts of organisations such as HM Treasury, the Bank of England, the Office for Budget Responsibility, the OECD and the IMF.
In the previous report the UN issued which we looked at in 2019 showed that by the turn of this century the global population would reach 10.9 billion and would still be climbing. Now it is forecasting a peak in 2086 at just over 10.4 billion people.
It should be noted that the UN’s data varies enormously across three scenarios based on assumptions of fertility: ‘Low’, ‘Medium’, and ‘High’. In our data above we have used the ‘Medium’ scenario.
The UN data takes no account of any changes in immigration
Looking at their numbers the question must be asked: "If the UK's population is set to peak in 2055, are they saying they will allow the UK to change its immigration policies?
We must get reports like this out there
Reports like the one above take far longer to research, write and produce than many people realise. If they were easy, readers would see other organisations also producing these daily.
However, there’s little point in the Facts4EU.Org team working long hours, seven days-a-week, if we lack the resources to promote them effectively – to the public, to MPs, and to the media. This is where you come in, dear reader.
Facts4EU.Org needs you today
We are a 'not for profit' team (we make a loss) and any payment goes towards the actual work, not plush London offices, lunch or taxi expenses, or other luxuries of some organisations.
We badly need more of our thousands of readers to become members, to support this work. Could this be you, today? It's quick and easy, we give you a choice of two highly secure payment providers, and we do NOT ask you for further support if you pay once. We just hope you keep supporting us. Your membership stays anonymous unless you tell us otherwise.
Please don't assume that other people will keep us going - we don't receive enough to survive and we need your help today. Could you help us? We rely 100% on public contributions from readers like you.
If you believe in a fully-free, independent, and sovereign United Kingdom, please join now by clicking on one of the links below or you can use our Support page here. You will receive a personal, friendly ‘thank you’ from a member of our team within 24 hours. Thank you.
[ Sources: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.
Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Mon 05 Dec 2022
Click here to go to our news headlines
Please scroll down to COMMENT on the above article.
And don't forget to actually post your message after you have previewed it!
Since before the EU Referendum, Brexit Facts4EU.Org
has been the most prolific researcher and publisher of Brexit facts in the world.
Supported by MPs, MEPs, & other groups, our work has impact.
We think facts matter. Please donate today, so that we can continue to ensure a clean Brexit is finally delivered.
Any credit card user
Quick One-off
From £5 - £1,000
Monthly
From £3 per month
Paypal Users Only - Choose amount first
Quick One-off
Monthly
Something to say about this? Scroll down and be the first to comment