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Quick Brexit facts from official sources
Read by Ministers, MPs, MEPs, peers, ambassadors, journalists, and the public
BREXIT NEWS  
 YES, YOU CAN RE-USE OUR MATERIAL
If you’re a journalist please get in touch if you would like to re-use any of our material. All we ask is prior contact and full attribution with a link. Likewise if you’re from another pro-Brexit organisation.
Best regards, the Brexit Facts4EU.Org team, July 2018
 “CHEQUERS IS A KIND OF
EUROMUSH”
David Campbell Bannerman MEP
talking exclusively to Brexit Facts4EU.Org
A VERY FRANK & EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW WITH
PRO-BREXIT BRITISH MEP DAVID CAMPBELL BANNERMAN
In a long and forthright EXCLUSIVE interview yesterday, the longest-serving British MEP on the Trade Committee of the EU Parliament, David Campbell Bannerman (‘DCB’), spoke to Brexit Facts4EU.Org about Brexit.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY – THE CAMPBELL BANNERMAN TAPES
  • The Chequers White Paper and the Olly Robbins’ ‘Black Box’ of tricks
  • How the government has pandered to the EU
  • Why the UK is called ‘Treasure Island’ by German exporters
  • How the EU federalist elites are NOT our friends
  • And how a ‘SuperCanada’ trade proposal could be a simple answer to the future relationship
In the following article you will find a Brexit Facts4EU.Org summary of Mr Campbell Bannerman’s ‘SuperCanada’ trade proposal, which helped to inform the original White Paper which was being produced by David Davis and Steve Baker.
We will then publish the full interview with Mr Campbell Bannerman, which covers a range of Brexit topics and we’re sure you will find this enlightening.
In the meantime, here is a flavour of the full interview:-
SOME HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE FIRST PART OF OUR INTERVIEW WITH ‘DCB’
“Chequers is a kind of Euromush.”
“Of course, the Chequers Deal messes with goods and services and it creates a lot of questions.”
“Business Ministers wanted to agree to this sequencing to keep the EU happy and David Davis was overruled right from the start.”
“I think it was all about pandering to the EU.”
“So I think they’ve negotiated well, we’ve negotiated very badly.”
“[The Chequers proposal] is a black-box of policy and even the Brexit department was kept out of that black-box until the last moment – ridiculous.”
“The Chequers proposal is trying to get too many extra benefits out of it and it’s messing with the Single Market, and this is why Barnier’s basically rejected the core of it.”
“What is really worth examining is why are we called ‘Treasure Island’ by a lot of exporters from the EU27, particularly the Germans? Why is Britain regarded as Treasure Island?”
“Are we a patsy for the EU? And is it not time we discovered that and corrected it?”
“Borders are in computers now, they’re not with guys in peaked caps.”
“It’s important to remember that the nation states are our friends. It’s the hardcore federalists and the EU institutions who are NOT our friends.”
Please see the following article to learn more about the 'SuperCanada' trade proposal for future relations between the UK and the EU.
OBSERVATIONS
David Campbell Bannerman MEP has been on the trade committee of the EU Parliament for over 9 years. In that time he has built up a good understanding of what the EU prefers when it comes to trade deals.
If the UK is to have any prospect of agreeing the basis of a trade deal with the EU before leaving, a deal based on existing templates will have a greater chance of succeeding.
The full interview is definitely worth reading. We will be bringing you this as soon as we can today. Unfortunately our lack of funding means we are very limited in what we can do each day.
[ Sources: David Campbell Bannerman MEP ]
     Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links, as usual.
       09.25am, Sunday 22 July 2018
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 WHAT IS THE
‘SUPERCANADA’
TRADE PROPOSAL?
© Dept for International Trade
WE INVESTIGATED WITH ITS ORIGINATOR,
DAVID CAMPBELL BANNERMAN MEP
In her Florence speech, Theresa May described the EU’s deal with Canada as:
“the most advanced free trade agreement the EU has yet concluded and a breakthrough in trade between Canada and the EU”
She then went on to say that it represents a backward step for UK-EU trade and would need to be improved. Such an improved model has been developed by Mr David Campbell Bannerman, a Conservative MEP who has sat on the EU Parliament’s Trade Committee for nearly ten years.
Here is what the Canadian government says:
“CETA is a progressive free trade agreement which covers virtually all sectors and aspects of Canada-EU trade in order to eliminate or reduce barriers. Prior to CETA’s entry into force, only 25% of EU tariff lines on Canadian goods were dutyfree.
“Upon CETA’s entry into force, the EU will remove tariffs on 98% of its tariff lines. Once CETA is fully implemented, the EU will have eliminated tariffs on 99% of its tariff lines.”
The ‘SuperCanada’ proposal takes this further and below we present a summary of ‘SuperCanada’, or ‘CETA+++’. Firstly, here’s a Brexit Facts4EU.Org summary.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY – THE ‘SUPERCANADA’ TRADE PROPOSAL
  • Takes the existing deal with Canada (CETA) and adds to it
  • No EU ‘common rule book’ for British businesses
  • No freedom of movement
  • No annual payments
  • No jurisdiction of the ECJ over law in the UK
  • Includes services as well as goods
  • Proposes the elimination of at least 99% of tariffs
  • 23 out of 30 chapters will be the same or with minor modifications
THE ELEVATOR PITCH
© DCB
We asked Mr Campbell Bannerman to give an ‘elevator pitch’ to our readers. This is what he said:
“Most trade in the world is done through global trade deals - free trade agreements.
“I’m advocating for the EU-UK trade deal a ‘SuperCanada Deal’ which is bigger, better, wider than the Canada trade deal with the EU (called CETA) that completed last year.
“But it would have more. It would have 100% tariff-free access and it would have services in it. So basically, it’s the best ever trade deal the EU has ever offered and it’s entirely deliverable.”
THE BASICS OF THE DEAL
What follows is our summary taken from papers published by Mr Campbell Bannerman and from his speeches. Readers wanting more information can access this using the links we provide at the bottom of the article.
The easiest way to describe SuperCanada is to describe the EU’s CETA deal with Canada, and then add on the extra ‘pluses’ which turn it into ‘SuperCanada’
THE CANADIAN ‘CETA’ DEAL
The EU sees CETA as modern, comprehensive and a ‘gold standard’ deal. It is the largest free trade deal the EU has ever done, and with the largest economy, so far.
FOR GOODS
The CETA elimination or cutting of customs duties are some of the most far reaching achieved by the EU in a trade agreement: €470 million a year on EU industrial goods and €42 million a year for EU agricultural goods went immediately it was enacted last year. The EU sees this as ‘levelling the playing field on the Canadian market for EU companies’.
CETA actually eliminates tariffs on all industrial products, over two-thirds of tariffs on fishing, and over 90% of tariffs on agricultural goods.
NO MASSIVE PAYMENTS TO THE EU
CETA does NOT require Canada to make a financial contribution to the EU budget.
NO FREEDOM OF MOVEMENT
There is no freedom of movement in CETA either, but it does allow easier transfers of company staff and other professionals on a temporary basis such as in legal, accounting, architectural or similar services’. This section relates to Mode 4 of the WTO’s service agreement GATS
NO ‘COMMON RULE BOOK’
On standards, the EU claims: ‘CETA will not change EU standards. Standards and regulations related to food safety, product safety, consumer protection, health, environment, social or labour standards etc. will remain untouched.’
The agreement avoids what it terms ‘double testing’: the EU and Canada accept each others’ conformity assessment certificates in areas such as electrical goods, electronic and radio equipment, toys, machinery or measuring equipment.
FOR SERVICES
CETA is ‘the most far reaching agreement ever concluded by the EU in the area of services and investment. The agreement requires both the EU and Canada to list discriminatory measures and quantitative restrictions across all sectors. It includes provisions to grant the EU greater access to Canada’s postal, telecommunications and maritime transport services markets. It has also given the EU greater access to Canada’s public procurement market.’
In relation to Intellectual Property, CETA strengthens copyright protection and enforcement, provides more patent protection for pharmaceuticals. The EU also has agreement to protect 145 Geographical Indicators (GIs) for high quality products such as Roquefort cheese, Parma ham, or balsamic vinegar.
Mutual Recognition of Professionals – for architects, accountants, engineers, nurses etc – a list of professional qualifications equivalences is provided - which recognises that standards between the EU and Canada in these fields may not be exactly the same but are of equivalently high standard.
So that is the summary of the CETA deal.
WHAT TURNS CETA INTO ‘SUPERCANADA’, OR CETA+++ ?
There are 12 of 30 chapters of the CETA agreement which are near directly transferable, and many based on WTO agreements in any case.
Of the other 18, most require fairly minor change or updating, whilst only 7 need substantial rewriting.
On Government Procurement, there may be additional measures to protect politically sensitive areas such as the NHS or via a Protocol.
Under Intellectual Property, the EU’s desire for Geographical Indications (GIs) on produce such as Parma Ham or Guda cheese should be acknowledged.
Then measures under Regulatory Cooperation to manage future regulatory divergence, depending on how ‘access to the Single Market’ is defined, if the UK were to seek a more deregulated approach.
This also opposes the concept of sanctions being levied under the Trade & Sustainable Development Chapter if in the EU’s opinion we do not meet their environmental standards, which is Trojan Horse for British sovereignty.
The Chapter on Bilateral Cooperation and Dialogues is a good basis for a UK deal but its needs to list which EU programmes the UK may be interested to sign up to.
ON FINANCIAL SERVICES
Finally Mr Campbell Bannerman has added in a ‘bolt on’ of financial services, which is a substantial addition.
This is drawn from the expertise and three reports by former City Minister Mark Hogan, the City of London, City Corporation and Hogan Lovells through the International Regulatory Strategy Group or IRSG, and presents a workable new system of cooperation in financial services including for example a Forum for Regulatory Convergence, to manage issues of divergence.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
You can read a comparison of the existing CETA deal and Mr Campbell Bannerman's 'SuperCanada' (Or CETA+++) option here.
You can also read the full interview we conducted with this British pro-Brexit MEP in the article above. In it he expands on the reasons why SuperCanada might be acceptable to both sides, as well as making some hard-hitting comments on all matters relating to Brexit.
OBSERVATIONS
In the sane, normal world outside Brussels, it would be a piece of cake – relatively speaking – for the EU to agree a future trading relationship with the UK. After all, the starting point is the total equivalence of all UK goods and services under EU law.
The EU has recently – as shown by the CETA deal and others in production – been able to negotiate trading relationships with ‘third party’ countries without demanding subservience of a country’s courts to the ECJ, or demanding that all its manufacturing production must meet EU standards even when products are not being exported to the EU, or demanding annual payments, or demanding freedom of movement for its people.
The major fact preventing the EU from negotiating a normal, sensible deal with the UK is the EU’s desire to punish the UK for daring to leave.
We used to say this kind of thing in diplomatic language. Now we no longer see the need to do so. There is now absolutely no doubt that the EU fanatics in Brussels and in many of the capitals of EU27 countries are on a politically-motivated mission to demonstrate to all members that escape is impossible. Or if not impossible, then economically damaging.
A trading relationship with a soon-to-be former member should be easier than with an already independent country thousands of miles away. Instead, they wish to make it much, much harder for the UK. And punitive.
We suggest that the world will judge this behaviour and see it for what it is.
SUPERCANADA
We applaud David Campbell Bannerman (DCB) for resolutely promoting the basis of a possible trading relationship based on the Canada deal, with improvements based on the UK’s special relationship as a current member.
Naturally there are elements of this proposal about which some of us have concerns, but in his interview with our editor yesterday DCB was at pains to say that his is a framework, not a set-in-stone document detailing every last point. His flexibility is perhaps what has helped this proposal to gain currency – in Brussels as well as in London.
CHEQUERS AND SUPERCANADA
As you will see when you read the full interview our editor did with DCB yesterday, Theresa May’s Chequers proposal based on the unelected Olly Robbins White Paper bears no relation to the possibility of a SuperCanada deal.
As DCB himself told us:
“Chequers is a kind of Euromush. I think it was all about pandering to the EU.”
We couldn’t agree more.
[ Sources: David Campbell Bannerman MEP | EU Commission | No.10 | Canadian Government ]
     Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links, as usual.
       09.25am, Sunday 22 July 2018
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WE THOUGHT WE COULD GO BACK TO OUR CAREERS
AND OUR LIVES AFTER THE EU REFERENDUM
Unfortunately this was wildly optimistic.
We've had to give another two years to this fight, and it isn't over.
It has never been more important for us to keep fighting, bringing readers well-researched facts from official sources, punchy bullet points, and simple charts.
Politicians, journalists and members of the public have come to trust us on Brexit as the definitive source of accurate analysis of data from official sources, presented in a user-friendly way. We inform the Brexit debate.
We're planning a major campaign directed at MPs, who are currently the main stumbling block to a clean Brexit. Unfortunately we're broke and we need your help.
We really do make a difference.
Can you make a difference too, by supporting our work? We really need you.
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 ENOUGH IS ENOUGH
BREXIT IS TOO IMPORTANT FOR POLITICKING
Barnier with Irish Foreign Minister yesterday              © EU Council
A BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG EDITORIAL
We suggest that yesterday marked a nadir in what has already become a sad history of incompetence and political chicanery since the United Kingdom’s decision to leave the European Union on 23rd June 2016.
Enough is enough.
THE ROBBINS/MAY WHITE PAPER - EU RESPONSE
Two weeks ago with Olly Robbins’ White Paper, Theresa May rolled over to the EU. She effectively made the world’s 5th-largest economy, 4th-largest military power, 2nd-largest foreign aid donor, and massive influencer on the world stage, into a supplicant puppy-dog.
In doing so she lost 10 members of the government including her Foreign and Brexit Secretaries. Crucially she also severely damaged the reputation of the United Kingdom in the world. Perhaps of more importance to Mrs May, (sadly), is that her party is said to be haemorrhaging members in the thousands.
Yesterday saw the first formal response from the EU27, following their General Affairs Council on Brexit which took place in Brussels.
Barely 12 hours after the departure from Brussels of the new Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab after his first visit, Michel Barnier was briefing the ‘Europe’ (sic) ministers of the EU27. Formal statements were made by Barnier and by the Austrian Europe Minister. (Austria now holds the 6 month rotating presidency of the EU Council.)
In effect, aside from some obligatory “there were some positives” remarks,
the EU27 have rejected all the key elements of the Robbins/May White Paper.
Not content with the almost total surrender by Mrs May on virtually everything, the EU wants more.
We’re not surprised. If we were the EU27 we would do the same. Thus far they have seen her capitulate since the start, when she agreed to the EU’s absurd ‘sequencing’ of talks, meaning that no discussions could take place on the future relationship until the EU’s three key issues were addressed.
Since then she has given way time after time, culminating in the shameful Robbins White Paper which bears almost no resemblance to any basic form of Brexit whatsoever.
This cannot continue.
WHERE ARE THE STATESMEN?
It sometimes seems to us that most politicians fail to understand that Brexit isn’t just another policy to be debated, on which party political battles must be fought and on which political careers rest.
Brexit is all-consuming. It defines our country. It affects almost everything.
Brexit is a matter of existential national interest.
Regrettably, whilst we believe members of the public understand all of this, politicians in their Westminster bubble do not. They appear to be carrying on as if Brexit were merely another government policy. It is as if political calculations are being made on the basis of career impact, without appreciating the fundamental national interest at stake.
Readers are starting to question whether our entire political class are fit for purpose. And while our readers are generally pro-Brexit, some voted Remain in the Referendum. Even they are shocked at the shenanigans.
‘THERE IS STILL TIME’
There may still be time to rescue the disaster caused by the political establishment, given a massive effort starting right now.
Boris Johnson alluded to this in his resignation statement in the Commons on Wednesday. However, as we pointed out at the time, he used up 3.5% of the time remaining before 29th March next year in his 9-day delay in making his statement.
Many had hoped he would launch a leadership bid. Based on experience we did not, and sadly we were not wrong. The country waited and nothing happened.
Now, almost all ‘pundits’ are saying that Theresa May has survived until the autumn. For heaven’s sake! We simply cannot wait until then. Yesterday’s statement from the EU27 showed that. There is no likelihood at all of reaching a sensible Brexit agreement. If one IS reached, it won’t be Brexit.
MAY MUST GO NOW
Put bluntly, May has been an unmitigated disaster for the country. She must be replaced with the utmost speed. Forget the usual processes, this is rapidly becoming a national emergency. And no, we do not think this is an exaggeration to say so.
It must surely be possible for the Conservative Party to hold an EGM, change its rules for leadership elections, and proceed to elect a new PM within two weeks.
Most of the Facts4EU.Org team work in business and it’s fair to say that if the country were a company, its CEO would have been replaced long ago if she had acted like Mrs May.
MAN UP, FOR GOODNESS’ SAKE
We appeal to all Conservative MPs to take action now. We need a pro-Brexit Prime Minister who can drive things forward with a real sense of urgency.
No general election is subsequently required or indeed possible. Time is now too short, thanks to all Mrs May’s dithering, and we need politicians focused on the crucial issue of delivering Brexit.
As for parliamentary arithmetic, forget it. A real leader could unite enough MPs behind the democratic wish of the British people to exit the EU. That may sound hard to believe right now, but then we haven’t seen true leadership in this country for some time. People have forgotten what wonders it can achieve.
So, will Tory MPs respond? If they don’t the consequences will last for generations, the political landscape may change forever, and the current incumbents of the House of Commons will never be forgiven.
If they do, we can still exit the EU properly and start the process of re-establishing an exciting, fully-independent and prosperous United Kingdom.
The time for words is over.
The time for action is now.
[ Sources: EU Commission | UK Government ]
     Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links, as usual.
       05.55am, 21 July 2018
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Name: Rosie, Bristol, UK      Date/Time: 21 July 2018, 7.02pm
Message: Don't blame Boris: he gave superb leadership in the Cabinet and again in the House of Commons the other day, but it has been buried by the media. The only reason they wage almost daily war on him is that he is good at leadership. He showed that time and again as Foreign Secretary but you would never know it from the Fake News. The people to go after are the softcore remainiac MPs in the Conservative Party who are keeping her in power. Until they desist, the situation remains: the Conservative Party has to have a vote of confidence before a leadership election can be started, and if that vote of confidence is won, the existing leader stays on and can't be challenged for another year.
Name: Tom Rogers, Bridlington, East Riding, UK      Date/Time: 21 July 2018, 6.30pm
Message: It needs a Bismarck. Instead we got a mouse.
Name: Not4EU, London, UK      Date/Time: 21 July 2018, 6.29pm
Message: We voted to leave the EU because we WANT to leave the EU. However, ALL that we have seen is deliberate delay, obfuscation and yes, blatant lying by those charged with the task of implementing our decision. May & the tories think that they are 'safe' having survived the week, but have no intention of delivering our independence. We've seen this week Varadkar admit that he's been assured by the EU that there will be no hard border even if no deal is reached. Our treacherous 'leader' Maykel's response? We must continue with her insane plan keeping us within the control of the EU, even though it's all a sham. She, & the rest of the cabinet, intend to delay until October & 'miraculously agree' surrender just like she has before. Treason by this Govt is an understatement. My lack of faith now extends to a total distrust of the apparent 80% of what has apparently already been agreed, as they have shown that they are hiding continuing obeyance to the EU until it is too late. We need a real leader who fully supports leaving. They'd have the country behind them...
Name: Chris, Wolverhampton, UK      Date/Time: 21 July 2018, 09.50am
Message: You speak for me, also. Every day wasted now brings us closer to disaster, when the Remoaners will say "We told you it would be a calamity". What they won't ever say, of course, is that they - including the totally useless Mrs May - helped to cause it.
Name: FedUp, Stevenage, UK      Date/Time: 21 July 2018, 07.58am
Message: I just want to say 'you speak for me.' Thanks.

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 EU REJECTS THE
MAY/ROBBINS WHITE PAPER
© EU Commission
BARNIER & EU27 CONFIRM SINGLE MARKET INDIVISIBLE FROM FREE MOVEMENT, UK HAS AGREED TO ECJ JURISDICTION
Yesterday in Brussels the EU’s General Affairs Council met to discuss Brexit. Present were the ‘Europe’ ministers of the EU27 and the EU Commission Chief Brexit Negotiator Michel Barnier.
Monsieur Barnier frequently speaks about Brexit but his speech yesterday came after this meeting, and therefore represented the views of the EU27. This makes it more significant than many of his pronouncements.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY – BARNIER/EU27 RESPONSE TO WHITE PAPER
  • “The United Kingdom … recognizes the EU Court of Justice as the sole arbiter of European law.”
  • “The integrity of the internal market and the customs union and of our common commercial policy”
  • “The indivisibility of the four freedoms”
  • “The autonomy of decision of the European Union”
In essence and putting aside the usual “we want to approach this positively” words, yesterday’s statement from the EU27 in Brussels rejected the Robbins/May White Paper completely.
They have no intention of compromising on anything.
Below we present the text of his speech. Readers can also watch the majority of it here.
BARNIER SPEECH ON WHITE PAPER – FULL TEXT
“By the October European Council, in 13 weeks, our goal is to finalize the withdrawal agreement, of which 80% of the provisions are already green in the text, that is to say object of an agreement. And our goal is also to agree with the UK on the scope of the future partnership, in a political statement.
“This morning I was able to do a joint analysis with the 27 ministers, at the end of a new week of negotiations, of my discussion yesterday with Dominic Raab, with whom I had a very useful and cordial interview, and while last Thursday we received the British White Paper on the future relationship.
“This White Paper is the result of a very intense debate in the United Kingdom that was necessary. Everyone can see that this debate is not over.
“From our point of view, there are several elements that open the way to a constructive discussion for the political declaration on our future relationship, for example:
the proposal for a free trade agreement, which should be the heart of our future economic relationship. This is a key proposal of the European Council guidelines : an ambitious free trade agreement ;
level playing field commitments, in particular as regards State aid and the rules on the environment and employment;
and a broad convergence of views on possible and necessary cooperation on internal and external security.
“The United Kingdom provides safeguards for the protection of fundamental rights and recognizes the EU Court of Justice as the sole arbiter of European law.
“This will facilitate the exchange of data between the UK and us, and this opens the possibility of expanding our offer of cooperation on internal security in particular.
“Regarding our future economic partnership, the White Paper raises three sets of questions to which we expect answers:
FIRST
“Are the proposals of the White Paper compatible with the principles laid down by the 27 Heads of State and Government at the beginning of this negotiation, principles recalled by the Foreign Ministers today, among which :
The integrity of the internal market and the customs union and of our common commercial policy;
The indivisibility of the four freedoms;
The autonomy of decision of the European Union.
“These are the principles that are in my mandate and that I will respect scrupulously throughout this negotiation.
“In any case, our responsibility is to protect the internal market of the European Union, which we are, especially in the current period.
“For example, the UK is willing to align with EU standards for goods - but only for controlled standards at the border.
“The United Kingdom would therefore not align with our agri-food rules on, for example, GMOs or pesticides, since compliance with these rules is not monitored at the border.
“This has been confirmed to us this week in the negotiation. But how can we protect European consumers? On what basis could we accept the free movement of these goods?
SECOND QUESTION
“Are these proposals of the White Paper operational, ‘workable’? Are they applicable without additional complexity or additional bureaucracy?
“This question arises for the regulatory alignment on goods, but even more so for the ‘facilitated customs arrangement’ proposed by the United Kingdom.
“This proposal would be to apply two tariffs - the United Kingdom or the Union - to goods entering the United Kingdom, depending on whether the goods are destined for the United Kingdom market or the European market.
“This poses many practical questions. For example :
How could the customs services verify the final destination of goods, and thus ensure that the correct customs tariff is applied to them? Is there not a major risk of fraud?
What are the additional financial and administrative costs for companies and customs services that have to comply with this new system? I just want to say that Brexit can not be, and will not be, a justification for creating additional bureaucracy.
What would be the impact of lower UK Union tariffs on revenues, both for the EU budget and for the Member States?
“This complex customs system would also pose a more fundamental question:
How could the Union delegate the application of its customs rules to a non-EU country, which will no longer be subject to our governance framework?
Would that be acceptable, or just legally possible?
THIRD QUESTION
“Are the UK proposals in the economic interest of the European Union?
“And it is also in my mandate to protect the interests of the European Union.
“Two observations:
“By definition, the common rulebook for goods does not relate to services, on which the United Kingdom wants to be free to diverge. When we know that 20 to 40% of the value of the products we use every day is related to services, how can we avoid the unfair competition that could be exerted on European companies?
“How can it be avoided that an independent British commercial policy, while retaining all the benefits of our customs union, offers British companies major competitive advantages to the detriment of EU companies?
“These were some of the questions we discussed yesterday with Dominic Raab.
“We will continue this discussion. And we will look constructively at the answers that we will get to our questions. But our main focus must be the finalization of the Withdrawal Agreement.
“Let me recall that the Withdrawal Agreement is the prerequisite for an orderly withdrawal, for the transition period, and for the creation of a future partnership.
“This requires a separate operative backstop - an "all-weather insurance policy" - to address the issues of Ireland and Northern Ireland. All 27 Member States insist on this.
“Why? Because we are committed to protecting Ireland and Northern Ireland against the consequences of Brexit and to preserve the Good Friday Agreement in all its dimensions.
“I said this on my last visit to Ireland and Northern Ireland a few weeks ago, where I'm involved with stakeholders across both communities.
“Let me simply recall the commitment taken by Prime Minister Theresa May to have a backstop in her letter to President Tusk in March. The respect of this commitment is essential.
“And I made clear to Dominic Raab that we are not asking for a border between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK. What we need is the UK wants to leave the Single Market, the Customs Union and our common commercial policy.
“We can not afford to lose time on this issue. And this is why we have invited the UK to work on the backstop next week. We are open to any solutions as long as they are workable.
“Even if we want to reach a deal, it is also our responsibility for all scenarios, including a ‘no deal’. As the European Council said, we are ready for all levels, for all scenarios. And the Communication adopted by the Commission yesterday should be read in this context.
“We are encouraging national administrations and companies to use the time we have, which is very short, to accelerate this preparation.
“We must quickly reach an agreement on all the topics still open in the withdrawal agreement. This includes of course the question of Ireland and Northern Ireland, which is the most serious, but also the question of British military bases in Cyprus and of course Gibraltar. Each of these points is necessary. I repeat, necessary.
“And we must build with the United Kingdom the political declaration on our future relationship by October.
“At this stage of the negotiation, even if we have few weeks left, we do not need more time. We need choices and decisions, clarity and legal certainty.
“The sooner these decisions and this clarity come, the sooner we can concentrate on what is essential, ie the future partnership that we want as ambitious as possible, for trade, for sectoral cooperation, but also for our internal security and for foreign policy and defence.”
OBSERVATIONS
Our observations are contained in our Saturday editorial above.
[ Sources: EU Commission ]
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       05.55am, 21 July 2018
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Name: Brexiteer, Braintree, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 21 July 2018, 09.37am
Message: Incredibly Barwell, May's chief of staff, thinks he can sell the Chequers deal to the public. He tried it last week when he invited Conservative Association chair people to Downing Street to be briefed, that according to reports it went down like a lead balloon. He and May think that they "sell" the Chequers deal to the public if only they can explain it to them. They genuinely think they can by weasel words convince the public that May's red lines have been upheld. No free movement, now, called preferential EU migration. Not in Customs Union, now, we collect all tariffs for EU. Not in Single market, now, closely aligned and mirror all directives issued from Brussels.
Those around the Prime Minister must really believe the public are fools, ignorant people who do not understand complex matters of Government. Prime Minister it is not complex or difficult to understand, people voted to leave the EU and all its institutions, leave the Customs Union, leave the Single Market, control the borders no free movement. It is the Government and politicians that are scared of leaving the EU not the people. It is politicians and the civil service that are causing the problems, it is obviously going to be complex because for forty years other people have run our country. But in a referendum backed up by Leave parties manifestos at a General Election the people have spoken, get on with it. A greater crisis will arise if we don't leave the EU,a total breakdown between Government and the people, that can lead to civil disorder.
Name: English, East Anglia, UK      Date/Time: 21 July 2018, 08.09am
Message: Obviously the whole thing is unworkable, deliberately so in my view. One paragraph that is worrying,
"We must quickly reach an agreement on all the topics still open in the withdrawal agreement. This includes of course the question of Ireland and Northern Ireland, which is the most serious, but also the question of British military bases in Cyprus and of course Gibraltar. Each of these points is necessary. I repeat, necessary."
May must basically give Gibraltar away to succumb completely to the criminals in Brussels. Whilst we already know she will have no qualms in doing so, the British will not allow this particular line to be crossed, along with many others. The conservatives will rue the day they sold the British out.
 WHAT'S 'SUPERCANADA'?
WE BRING YOU THE PERFECT SUMMARY
EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW WITH DAVID CAMPBELL BANNERMAN MEP,
AUTHOR OF THE 'SUPERCANADA' TRADE DEAL
This morning we are interviewing Mr David Campbell Bannerman, Conservative pro-Brexit MEP and originator of the proposed 'SuperCanada' trade deal for post-Brexit trade between the EU and the UK.
Trade deals can be dull as ditchwater. We promise to make this one easily readable, informative, and very interesting!
Don't forget to come back for this, and the best daily Brexit research, analysis and news!

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       06.50am, 21 July 2018
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WE THOUGHT WE COULD GO BACK TO OUR CAREERS
AND OUR LIVES AFTER THE EU REFERENDUM
Unfortunately this was wildly optimistic.
We've had to give another two years to this fight, and it isn't over.
It has never been more important for us to keep fighting, bringing readers well-researched facts from official sources, punchy bullet points, and simple charts.
Politicians, journalists and members of the public have come to trust us on Brexit as the definitive source of accurate analysis of data from official sources, presented in a user-friendly way. We inform the Brexit debate.
We're planning a major campaign directed at MPs, who are currently the main stumbling block to a clean Brexit. Unfortunately we're broke and we need your help.
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 EU LEARNS TO USE
‘PROJECT FEAR’
COMMISSION STARTS GOING INTO ‘BRUSSELS BULLY’ MODE WITH SCARE DOCUMENT
Yesterday, ahead of discussions today on Olly Robbins’ White Paper at the General Affairs Council, the EU decided to publish its thoughts on what will happen in the event that no deal is reached between the EU and the UK.
SUMMARY OF EU'S 'NO DEAL' DOCUMENTS, BRUSSELS, 19 JULY 2018
The United Kingdom will be a third country and Union law ceases to apply to and in the United Kingdom.
Citizens: There would be no specific arrangement in place for EU citizens in the United Kingdom, or for UK citizens in the European Union.
Border issues: The European Union must apply its regulation and tariffs at borders with the United Kingdom as a third country, including checks and controls for customs, sanitary and phytosanitary standards and verification of compliance with EU norms. Transport between the United Kingdom and the European Union would be severely impacted. Customs, sanitary and phytosanitary controls at borders could cause significant delays, e.g. in road transport, and difficulties for ports.
Trade and regulatory issues: The United Kingdom becomes a third country whose relations with the European Union would be governed by general international public law, including rules of the World Trade Organisation. In particular, in heavily regulated sectors, this would represent a significant drawback compared to the current level of market integration.
Negotiations with the United Kingdom: Depending on the circumstances leading to the withdrawal without an agreement, the EU may wish to enter into negotiations with the United Kingdom as a third country.
EU funding: UK entities would cease to be eligible as Union entities for the purpose of receiving EU grants and participating in EU procurement procedures. Unless otherwise provided for by the legal provisions in force, candidates or tenderers from the United Kingdom could be rejected.
OBSERVATIONS
In overall terms, the EU’s publications yesterday are designed to increase the pressure on the UK ahead of the EU’s probably partial dismissal of Olly Robbins’ White Paper.
We say ‘partial dismissal’ because we expect the EU to want to prolong things for as long as possible, in order to make the UK capitulate even further as we get closer to the date of supposed exit.
Were they to dismiss everything out of hand at this point, this would increase the likelihood of the British public demanding that the government drops its enormous concessions (and offer of £39 billion) and that it prepares for an exit on WTO terms.
The UK government has of course already indicated that it is stepping up preparations for such an exit. We are amongst the many who have found it simply deplorable that little seems to have been done in this area already.
THERE’S NO GOODWILL HERE
We would make a generic point about the EU’s latest documents. It is absolutely clear that the EU fanatics in Brussels are determined to make the UK’s exit as difficult as possible.
Many of the items they write about could easily be solved if there were goodwill on both sides. Relatively simple agreements could be put in place on various issues.
For example, it is outrageous that the EU continues to play with citizens’ lives by saying
“There would be no specific arrangement in place for EU citizens in the United Kingdom, or for UK citizens in the European Union.”
That’s it. That’s all they say. On topics such as their data protection laws they go into some detail. They have published over 60 ‘preparedness notices’ on a huge range of matters. But on the lives of real people living in the UK and the EU27, all they seem to want to do is leave people in limbo.
It would not be difficult to have a side agreement on status quo ante arrangements for all citizens who are already living and working in each other’s countries.
These, however, are not the type of people we are dealing with. Disgraceful behaviour.
THE EU FORGOT ABOUT THE MONEY AND ITS IMMINENT BANKRUPTCY
Keen-eyed readers may have noticed the final point in the EU's summary above: 'EU funding'.
The EU refers to the fact that the UK will receive no further grants from the EU. These grants are of course simply the partial returns from a massive UK annual subsidy to the EU.
When talking of a 'no deal' scenario, one might have thought they would have mentioned the immediate cessation of the UK's funding of the EU, which will effectively make the EU bankrupt if the UK departs without a deal. But no.
In all the time we have been reviewing EU publications, press releases, etc, we can't recall seeing one that highlights the fact that the UK is the second-highest net contributor to EU funds.
We continue to believe that most ordinary citizens of the EU27 countries are blissfully unaware of how the British taxpayer has been paying for the EU for decades, funding huge infrastructure projects across the EU states and paying for all manner of ridiculous EU 'projects'.
[ Sources: EU Commission ]
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       06.55am, 20 July 2018
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Name: Michael Wood, London      Date/Time: 20 July 2018, 3.55pm
Message: May is ignorant or playing games when she dismisses Johnson's suggestion that technology could allow customs checks without physical infrastructure, saying such systems did not yet exist. She should urgently talk to HMRC who have already said it's not a problem.
For 25 years the UK has had an electronic import declaration system called CHIEF. This is being replaced with CDS (Customs Declaration Service), a more sophisticated system. CDS will start in August and will be fully operational in November this year. HMRC say "The decision to replace CHIEF with CDS was made before the EU referendum, however CDS will be scaled to handle any potential increases in the volume of declarations that may result from the UK's exit from the EU."
Remainer May is aiding the EU in their intransigence because since 2009 the EU including ROI has used The Import Control System (ICS)an electronic pre-entry system for goods originating outside the EU. I expect the EU to lie - May is supposed to work for us.
Name: Brexiteer, Braintree, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 20 July 2018, 09.23am
Message: So Barnier is still bleating about the Irish border backstop agreement.Leo Varadkar the Irish Taoisearch said in a speech in Kerry on Wednesday, as reported by the Irish Times, that in the event of a hard Brexit the EU had given him an undertaking that there would under no circumstances be a hard border between Northern Ireland and Eire. No customs posts,or infrastructure on the border, so the only way this border could be secured is by adopting the proposals already put forward by the UK government, of "streamlined arrangement "using camera technology. If this is true it would confirm the EU are only using the border issue to try and sabotage the Withdrawal Agreement talks. The time is approaching when the UK Government should just call the EU bluff and go full steam ahead for no deal scenario. The UK does not need any trade deal, we just become a third country. The EU are the ones running scared, by having on there doorstep a major economy not hidebound by EU regulations, hence them and Remainer May trying to bind the UK as a vassal state to their regulations for ever more. A science group from the UK is already in talks with NASA about an association with a satellite project in competition with the EU Galileo programme which is behind schedule and over budget. There are great prospects away from the EU if only our political masters would look outward to the rest of the world rather than backwards at a failing outdated federalist project.
Name: Old Albion, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 20 July 2018, 07.35am
Message: At the risk of stating the bleedin' obvious. The biggest fear the EU has is for the UK to leave and prove to the world we can get along fine without the EU. Because at that point several other EU states will say; If the UK can do it so can we. Exit, Italy, Hungary, Greece and quite possibly Spain.
 BARNIER’S BREXIT SUMMARY
Yesterday the EU’s Chief Negotiator Michel Barnier summed up the current status of Brexit negotiations, ahead of his discussions with the new Brexit Secretary the Rt Hon Dominic Raab MP.
Here is his summary:-
MICHEL BARNIER, BRUSSELS, 19 JULY 2018
We have a lot of work to do, with our teams. There are thirteen weeks left before the October European Council. During this time, we have two things to do:
  • We must finalise the Withdrawal Agreement. We are not yet there.
  • We must prepare a political declaration on our future relationship.
On the Withdrawal Agreement, it is a matter of urgency to agree on a legally operative backstop for Ireland and Northern Ireland: we need an all-weather insurance policy.
On the future relationship, the EU proposed in March an unprecedented partnership.
  • Not only on trade, where we want an ambitious Free Trade Agreement that respects the integrity of the single market;
  • But also on internal and external security, where a close partnership between us is more important than ever, given the geo-political context.
Our challenge will be to find common ground between the fundamental principles that define the EU and the UK positions.
THERESA MAY IN BELFAST
Today in Belfast Theresa May is due to make a speech in which she will tell the EU it must rethink its stance. She will say: “The economic and constitutional dislocation of a formal ‘third country’ customs border within our own country is something I will never accept, and I believe no British prime minister could ever accept.”
Meanwhile in Brussels, the General Council meets this morning to discuss the government’s new White Paper as drafted by unelected civil servant Olly Robbins and his ‘Europe Unit’ at No.10.
OBSERVATIONS
The UK and the EU are still a long way apart. Noticeably Monsieur Barnier mentioned the ‘backstop’ on the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic.
This is a problem that has been severely exacerbated by the Irish government led by Leo Varadkar. Their behaviour has in our view been simply deplorable and we consider them to be playing politics with the peace and prosperity of the island of Ireland.
The EU continues to try to use this as a device to prolong the real business of developing a future relationship between the UK and the EU. The EU’s ‘backstop’ would effectively create a border between the British mainland and Northern Ireland in the middle of the Irish Sea. It is therefore a non-starter for any British prime minister.
No.10’s “EUROPEANS”
On a side note, readers may have noticed that Mr Robbins’ No.10 team call themselves the ‘Europe Unit’, rather than the ‘European Union Unit’. It’s a small point perhaps, but Remainers (and the EU themselves) generally refer to Europe instead of the European Union.
The two are not the same thing at all, with Europe being comprised of over 50 countries and the EU about to become 27.
[ Sources: EU Commission ]
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       06.55am, 20 July 2018
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 JUST WHEN WILL IT BE
“TOO LATE”, BORIS?
A FACTS4EU.ORG LOOK
AT THE QUESTION OF URGENCY
Yesterday in the Commons former Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson finally delivered his resignation statement.
In one key moment, he said:
“Mr Speaker, it is not too late to save Brexit. We have time in these negotiations,
we have changed tack once and we can change again.”
In some ways, the 9-day delay between Mr Johnson resigning on Monday 13 July and him rising to his feet yesterday, Wednesday 18 July, is a perfect example of the ‘dithering’ of which he himself has accused Theresa May’s government.
You may feel that 9 days is not significant. However there are now just 254 days until the United Kingdom supposedly leaves the European Union on 29 March next year.
Boris waited 3.5% of this time after his resignation and before delivering his statement, on which many hopes rested. And every single day of delay is now precious.
THE CONTENT OF MR JOHNSON'S SPEECH
We are publishing Mr Johnson’s statement in full in the next article. He referred more than once to Mrs May’s Lancaster House speech of 17 January 2017 and it is therefore important to remind ourselves of what the Prime Minister said.
Here is how we summarised the Lancaster House speech at the time:-
THE LANCASTER HOUSE SPEECH
Here are some of the key points:-
  • End to jurisdiction of European Court of Justice
  • End to financial contributions to the EU
  • Control of borders, end to free movement
  • No to membership of the Single Market
  • Out of the Customs Union
  • No to Common Commercial Policy, no to Common External Tariff
  • Yes to free trade agreement with EU
  • Prepared to walk away – ‘no deal is better than a bad deal’
  • Yes to WTO and free trade deals with rest of the world
  • Existing laws on workers’ rights to be protected
  • Yes to maintaining the Common Travel Area with Ireland
  • Yes to collaborating with EU on science and technology initiatives
  • Yes to collaborating with EU on crime, terrorism, foreign affairs
In a strong, clear statement of intent, the Prime Minister delivered a strategy for a clean and pragmatic Brexit.
"We are leaving the European Union, but we are not leaving Europe. And that is why we seek a new and equal partnership – between an independent, self-governing, Global Britain and our friends and allies in the EU."
"Not partial membership of the European Union, associate membership of the European Union, or anything that leaves us half-in, half-out. We do not seek to adopt a model already enjoyed by other countries. We do not seek to hold on to bits of membership as we leave."
"No, the United Kingdom is leaving the European Union."
The Prime Minister, 17 Jan 2017
It’s important to note that Mrs May’s speech was delivered almost exactly 18 months ago.
The government’s current policy, as set out in unelected civil servant Olly Robbins’ White Paper from the Chequers summit, bears very little resemblance. In fact it breaches most of the promises made 18 months ago by Mrs May.
THE CENTRAL QUESTIONS
This brings us back to the central questions. Boris Johnson is urging the Prime Minister to revert to the avowed policy of the government for most of the last two years. The Prime Minister has made it perfectly clear on repeated occasions that she will do no such thing.
We would therefore ask the obvious questions:
  • Just when will it be too late, Boris?
  • And what will you do about it before it's too late?
In the last month we have argued that there was still time to change course and revert to planning for a Brexit which reflected the majority will of the British people. It has been our consensus view that a change of leader was needed to make this happen.
There is, as yet, no sign of this. In fact it appears highly probable that Parliament will recess with Mrs May still firmly in her role, if not in control.
OBSERVATIONS
The government is constantly debating and enacting legislation on all manner of subjects. Some of this is very important, eg the budget, and some of it relates to changes and improvements to an enormous number of topics which could not be described as being ‘urgent and essential’.
approaching Brexit from a business point of view, we would look at the situation we had inherited and would be forced to make some tough decisions.
It is our view that Brexit has such an impact on the country and represents such a profound change to being an independent country again that almost all other parliamentary business pales into insignificance.
FACTS4EU.ORG BREXIT ACTION PLAN
  • Replace Mrs May as she is incapable of decision-making or leadership.
  • Form a Brexit ‘war committee’ chaired by new Brexit Secretary Jacob Rees-Mogg (unless he becomes PM first) to include pro-Brexit business leaders as well as representatives of all parliamentary parties, and Mr Farage or Mr Batten from UKIP. This is not a party-political point – it’s about knowledge and experience of Brussels.
  • This committee would drive all Brexit policies and preparatory actions and would report to the Cabinet.
  • For the duration, the role of Brexit Secretary would outrank all other ministers including the Chancellor and Home Secretary and be second only to the PM.
  • We would immediately slash the government’s programme of legislation, retaining only the most essential items which can’t wait.
  • We would instruct all civil servants in all government departments that Brexit is their top priority and that all other projects, programmes, initiatives, etc must be dropped unless they were critical in the national interest. Put simply, if they can wait then they must wait.
  • Preparation for an exit from the EU on WTO terms would be the top priority. Lack of resource would be no excuse – see below.
  • The Chancellor must be instructed to create a proper Brexit fund which would be used to pay for all preparations, including the immediate recruitment of many talented individuals from outside politics. Where significant investment is required on IT projects to facilitate trade post-Brexit, for example, this must be available.
  • All of this will cost far less than the £39 billion the government is proposing to throw at the EU.
  • Only when everything is finally under control can government departments re-start other programmes which were put on hold.
The above might stand a fighting chance of preparing the United Kingdom for as orderly an exit from the EU as possible, in March next year.
The rest would be down to the EU, whom we would expect to act like the same, rigid idealogues for the EU projekt that they have proved to be, since the United Kingdom voted to leave their sclerotic and dysfunctional ‘union’ back in June 2016.
In the end, the political leaders of the EU27 countries would take over from the fanatical and slow-moving bureaucrats of the EU Commission. Last minute deals would be done on all major issues required to keep business and other matters functioning post-Brexit.
The time is now. This can’t wait for those with political careers to calculate the odds on the best time to make moves.
As ever, we welcome your thoughts.
[ Sources: UK Government ]
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       06.45am, 19 July 2018
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Name: W. Alkaway, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 19 July 2018, 7.30pm
Message: Don't you think it is all part of a cunning plan by Boris, Davis and the Mastermind? Gently, gently catchee monkey! If the spider tries to play any more of her tricks on this Country, then she'll get caught up in the web of her own intrigues. I am sure there is Master Plan No 2 just waiting in the wings. She knows that if she deviates in any way from the People's wishes, something will jump out at her and catch her unawares. The hunter is now being hunted. Sit back folks and watch the plot unfold.
Name: A Bruce, Derbyshire, UK      Date/Time: 19 July 2018, 10.42am
Message: I'd be interested to hear your collective thoughts on the newly signed EU/Japan trade deal, which seems to have generated very few headlines. Seems to me a better deal than Canada +++. Can't we have something similar?
Reply: Yes, the EU has 'announced' this deal many times, as they do. They first did this last year and we reported on it then. It wasn't remotely finished but it was announced as though it was. If we had more time and resource we would analyse and report on the final iteration.
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 19 July 2018, 07.59am
Message: I watched Boris speaking live, and then a recording. I was enthused by his performance in the HOC, but when watching the speech again, in my opinion he let TM and the Brexit wrecker off too lightly. A key part of an argument is worth repeating. For me it is the chilling reminder of permanent vassallage. Boris could have given examples of what the EU can do, that the UK will not be able to change and reminded those in the HOC that they are there because we, the people elected them. Unelected bureaucrats of the EU versus elected MP's of the UK. For the electorate it is a ludicrous thought that will we have to ask our MP's to ask the EU for law changes. How is that protecting and furthering the UK 's interests and democracy? How does the UK benefit from having no vote, or veto rights once we leave, yet we will continue to be tied into vast swathes of the EU machine? My neighbours do not tell me where I can shop. The UK 's neighbours in the EU do!
On an unrelated matter, over the past three months I have asked the following question to some leading Remainers and to many individual Remain supporters in social media. The question is "what are the tangible benefits of remaining in the EU?" I asked this question to my MP Greg Clark, Anna Soubry MP, Vince Cable MP, Nick Clegg (anti-democrat), Professor A C Grayling, and the editor of the New European and many of its readers. The replies? None.
Thank you for providing, on a daily basis, why more than ever, we must leave the EU.
 TEXT OF STATEMENT BY
BORIS JOHNSON
Here is the full text of the statement delivered to parliament yesterday by former Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson.
“Thank you Mr Speaker for granting me the opportunity to first to pay tribute to the men and women of the Foreign and Commonwealth Office who have done an outstanding job over the last two years.
“I'm very proud that we have rallied the world against Russia's barbaric use of chemical weapons, with an unprecedented 28 countries joining together to expel 153 spies in protest at what happened in Salisbury.
“We have rejuvenated the Commonwealth with a superb summit, that saw Zimbabwe back on the path to membership and Angola now wanting to join.
“And as I leave we are leading global campaigns against illegal wildlife trade and in favour of 12 years of quality education for every girl.
“And we have the flag, the Union flag, going up in nine new missions: in the Pacific, the Caribbean, and Africa and more to come, so that we have overtaken France to boast the biggest diplomatic network of any European country.
“None of this, Mr Speaker, would have been possible without the support of my right honourable friend, the Prime Minister. Everyone who has worked with her will recognise her courage and her resilience. And it was my privilege to collaborate with her in promoting Global Britain, a vision for this country that she set out with great clarity at Lancaster House on January 17 last year.
“A country eager, as she said, not just to do a bold, ambitious and comprehensive free trade agreement with the EU out of the customs union, out of the single market, but also to do new free trade deals around the world. I thought it was the right vision then, I think so today. But in the 18 months that have followed it is as though a fog of self-doubt has descended.
“Even though our friends and partners liked the Lancaster House vision, it was what they were expecting from an ambitious partner, what they understood. Even though the commentators liked it, and the markets liked it, my right honourable friend the Chancellor I'm sure observed, the pound soared. We never actually turned that vision into a negotiating position in Brussels and we never made it into a negotiating offer.
“Instead we dithered and we burned through our negotiating capital, we agreed to hand over a £40billion exit fee with no discussion of our future economic relationship. We accepted the jurisdiction of the European Court over key aspects of the withdrawal agreement.
“And worst of all we allowed the question of the Northern Irish border, which had hitherto been assumed on all sides to be readily soluble, to become so politically charged as to dominate the debate.
“No one on either side of this house or anywhere wants a hard border. You couldn't construct one if you tried but there certainly can be different rules north and south of the border to reflect the fact that there are two different jurisdictions, in fact there already are.
“There can be checks away from the border and technical solutions as the Prime Minister rightly described at Mansion House, in fact there already are. But when I and other colleagues, and I single out my right honourable friend the honourable member for Haltemprice and Howden, proposed further technical solutions to make customs and regulatory checks remotely those proposals were never even properly examined as if such solutions had become intellectually undesirable in the context of the argument.
“And somehow after the December joint report whose backstop arrangement we were all told was entirely provisional never to be invoked it became taboo even to discuss technical fixes.
“So Mr Speaker after 18 months of stealthy retreat we have come from the bright certainties of Lancaster House to the Chequers agreement. You put them side-by-side.
“Lancaster House said laws will once again be made in Westminster. Chequers says there will be an ongoing harmonisation with a common EU rule book. Lancaster House said it would be wrong to comply with EU rules and regulations without having a vote on what those rules and regulations are. Chequers now makes us rules takers.
“Lancaster House said we don't want anything that leaves us half in, half out and we do not seek to hold on to bits of membership as we leave. Chequers says that we will remain in lockstep on goods and agrifoods and much more besides with disputes ultimately adjudicated by the European Court of Justice.
“Far from making laws in Westminster, there are large sectors in which minsters will have no power to initiate, innovate or even deviate.
“After decades in which UK ministers have gone to Brussels and expostulated against costly EU regulation, we are now claiming that we must accept every jot and tittle for our economic health with no say of our own and no way of protecting our businesses and entrepreneurs from rules now and in the future that may not be in their interests.
“My right honourable friend the Chancellor was asked to identify the biggest single opportunity from Brexit. After some thought he said regulatory innovation. Well there may be some regulatory post Brexit. It won't be alas coming from the UK and certainly not in those areas. We are volunteering for economic vassalage, not just in goods and agrifoods but we will be forced to match EU arrangements on the environment and social affairs and much else besides.
“Of course, we all want high standards but it is hard to see, I say to my honourable friends, it is hard to see how the Conservative government of the 1980s could have done its vital supply side reforms with those freedoms taken away.
“And the result of accepting the EU's rulebooks and of our proposals for a fantastical Heath Robinson customs arrangement is that we have much less scope to do free trade deals as the Chequers paper actually acknowledges and which we should all frankly acknowledge because if we pretend otherwise we continue to make the fatal mistake of underestimating the intelligence of the public - saying one thing to the EU about what we are doing and then saying another thing to the electorate.
“And given that in important ways, this is Bino or Brino or Brexit in name only, I am of course unable to accept it or support it as I said in the cabinet session at Chequers.
“I am happy now to speak out against it and be able to do so.
“Mr Speaker, it is not too late to save Brexit. We have time in these negotiations, we have changed tack once and we can change again. The problem is not that we failed to make the case for a free trade agreement of the kind spelt out at Lancaster House, we haven't even tried.
“We must try now because we will not get another chance to get it right. And it is absolute nonsense to imagine, as I fear some of my colleagues do, that we can somehow afford to make a botched treaty now and then break and reset the bone later on.
“Because we have seen even in these talks how the supposedly provisional becomes eternal. We have the time and I believe the Prime Minister has the support of Parliament. Remember the enthusiasm for Lancaster House and Mansion House!
“It was clear last night that there is no majority in this house for a return to the customs union. With goodwill and common sense we can address the concerns about the Northern Irish border and all other borders.
“We have fully two-and-a-half years to make the technical preparations along with preparations for a world trade outcome - those preparations which we should now accelerate.
“We should not and need not be stampeded by anyone. But let us again aim explicitly for that glorious vision of Lancaster House - a strong, independent self-governing Britain that is genuinely open to the world.
“Not the miserable permanent limbo of Chequers. Not the democratic disaster of ongoing harmonisation with no way out and no say for the UK.
“We need to take one decision now before all others and that is to believe in this country and in what it can do.
“Because I can tell you Mr Speaker that the UK's admirers - and there are millions if not billions across the world - are fully expecting us to do what we said and to take back control. And to be able to set new standards for technologies in which we excel, to behave not as rules take us, but as great independent actors on the world stage.
“And to do free trade deals, proper free trade deals for the benefit and the prosperity of the British people. That was the vision of Brexit that we fought for, that was the vision, that the Prime Minister rightly described last year.
“That is the prize that is still attainable. There is time. And if the Prime Minister can fix that vision once again before us then I believe she can deliver a great Brexit for Britain, with a positive, self-confident approach that will unite this party, unite this house and unite this country as well.”
[ Sources: Boris Johnson ]
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       07.15am, 19 July 2018
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 REMAINER MPs CALL
FOR EU REF RE-RUN
ANTI-DEMOCRATS IN COMMONS CRY FOUL
Yesterday in the Commons, an emergency question was allowed by the Hard-Remainer Speaker, John Bercow, regarding the report which had been issued by the Electoral Commission.
This Electoral Commission report alleges that Vote Leave had overspent their £7 million budget by £499,000, equating to just 7.1%.
This prompted Remainer MPs to call for a re-run of the EU Referendum. Both Labour and Conservative MPs were involved in this extraordinary disgrace.
KEY EXCERPTS – REMAINER MPs CALLING FOR REFERENDUM RE-RUN
Chuka Umunna (Streatham) (Lab)
“Given that there was a four percentage point gap between leave and remain, and given that Vote Leave overspent by just under 8%, does the Minister agree that we cannot say with confidence that this foul play did not impact on the result?”
Sir Nicholas Soames (Mid Sussex) (Con)
“…if we are to retain the integrity and the trust of the voting public, the whole damn thing needs to be blown and started all over again.”
Dr Sarah Wollaston (Totnes) (Con)
“We cannot have confidence that the referendum was secure, and it should be rerun.”
Anna Soubry (Broxtowe) (Con)
“…my right hon. Friend the Member for Mid Sussex (Sir Nicholas Soames), has, in condemning what has occurred in the leave campaign, gone so far as to call for a re-running of the referendum. These are serious matters.”
Mr David Lammy (Tottenham) (Lab)
“Can the Minister confirm whether the Government can declare this referendum void on the basis of the evidence that we have been provided with by the Electoral Commission? If not, given that this was an advisory referendum by this Parliament, can she bring forward a vote in this Parliament to declare this referendum void?”
Julie Elliott (Sunderland Central) (Lab)
“…will the Minister do what the Government should be doing, call this referendum null and void, and protect British democracy?”
Liam Byrne (Birmingham, Hodge Hill) (Lab)
“It is now clear that this referendum result was corrupt because it was bought, quite possibly with Russian money.”
WHAT FIGURES DID ARCH-REMOANER & PM WANNABE CHUKA UMUNNA USE?
Yesterday morning Chuka Umunna MP, formerly Shadow Business Secretary and rarely off our television screens, tweeted about the EC’s report:-
In this tweet, he uses an overspend figure for Vote Leave of 10%. Four hours later in the Commons, he used a figure of “just under 8%”.
The true (alleged) figure is 7.1%, using the Electoral Commission’s figures in its report. Vote Leave continues to deny any irregularities.
OBSERVATIONS
Mr Bercow – who granted this emergency question despite an important day of business in the Commons - is infamous for displaying a pro-Remain bumper sticker on his luxury Range Rover.
The Electoral Commission is infamous for its members being part of the pro-Remain Establishment, as has been widely reported in the press. Yesterday morning they tweeted their report, rather than publishing it on their official website. (The report is still not there at the time of writing: 3.30am, Wed 18 July.)
Serious bodies don’t act in this way, unless perhaps they were keen for the information to reach the Guardian, the BBC, and Remainer politicians. The timing is, to say the least, strangely coincidental, on a day when the government was facing possible defeat over its flagship Trade Bill.
UMMUNA’S FAKE NEWS
Mr Umunna’s original tweet, clearly intended for Remoaners to use as a weapon to suggest the Referendum result was fraudulent, has still not been deleted.
We confidently predict that this will now be used continually by Remoaners online.
It will be said that “the margin in the Referendum was only 4%, Vote Leave overspent by 10%, therefore the result is invalid.”
In a normal world, Mr Umunna would feel obliged to delete his original tweet and tell his followers that the alleged overspend by Vote Leave was only 7.1%. However we live in a world of make-believe facts. By failing to correct his error, Mr Umunna is therefore contributing to this phoney world.
VOTE LEAVE’S MANAGEMENT
During and after the Referendum campaign, we received a lot of information from campaigners – volunteers who worked in support of Vote Leave. We have never published any of this information, as we didn’t feel it was helpful to the cause of Brexit.
We want to be clear, however. We are no fans of Vote Leave’s former management. To hear them claim that they were responsible for the victory is, we know, very hard for many readers who were involved with them to hear.
WHO WON THE REFERENDUM?
We have always attributed the EU Referendum victory to the mass of ordinary people who worked their socks off, campaigning door-to-door in all weathers, and to the overwhelming evidence in favour of Leave. We also acknowledge the various campaigns apart from Vote Leave, who made a massive difference.
To suggest that Vote Leave’s alleged actions in any way invalidate the result of the Referendum is simply laughable. We only wish they had had that much influence.
In the final article below we reproduce some of the information we reported on last year, and again in March of this year. Readers may find this useful in rebutting the latest absurd claims online.
[ Sources: Hansard ]
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       18 July 2018
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Name: Tom Rogers, Bridlington, East Riding, UK      Date/Time: 18 July 2018, 6.06pm
Message: None of this makes the slightest difference. Even if the referendum were declared void, indeed even if the referendum were re-run, it does not change the simple fact that the Article 50(2) notification has already been served, which means we automatically drop out on 29th. March 2019 (or 28th., if you are counting in days). As it happens, Parliament has also defined the 'exit day' as 29th. March 2019, with withdrawal taking effect at 11 p.m. on that day, but that makes no difference to the EU. Their treaty says we're leaving, come what may. The European Council can agree to extend the two years, but that requires unanimity among the Member States - and that is extremely unlikely. I would urge anybody unfamiliar with Article 50 to read it through carefully. The provisions of Article 50(3) are perfectly clear: we drop out of the EU automatically at the conclusion of the two-year notification period - this is the case with or without a withdrawal agreement pursuant to Article 50(2) and regardless of what Parliament, Remainers, the Electoral Commission, or the courts in this country do. The EU flatly doesn't care, and short of compelling evidence that the whole referendum was rigged (which can't be the case, as the government backed Remain), there is no moral impetus for other Member States to intervene and dissolve the Article 50(2) process. I know I keep repeating that point, and it may seem simple to some on here, but it bears repeating because Article 50 is at the root of practically all of the sly intrigues of Remainers (which I think may backfire on them). Gina Miller's legal action, for instance, was intended to upturn the constitutionality of the Article 50(2) notification on the basis of Article 50(1). They genuinely didn't expect Leave to win and they're desperate. This is also why May took so long to serve notice on the European Council, because there's no going back once that happens.
Name: Shieldsman, UK      Date/Time: 18 July 2018, 3.46pm
Message: Now I know nothing about the Medicines Agency, but I do know about EASA. As we are major stakeholders in both I would query the legality of ejecting the UK from membership without the EU incurring a considerable financial penalty. The defeat in the Commons last night was of no consequence as the PM has previously said she wants the UK to remain in theses Agencies. I had hoped Lawyers for Britain would take up cudgels.
Name: VeritasBrexiteer, Brighton, UK      Date/Time: 18 July 2018, 10.59am
Message: Whether a Brexiteer or Remainer, watching these deplorable puerile shenanigans in Parliament, only reinforces a strongly held view that our Politicians (Lib/Lab/Con) no longer represent the citizens of this great country; quite the opposite! Do they take the people for complete fools and imagine we have not seen (for perhaps the first time in-depth) how Remainer MPs (Chuka Umunna; Anna Soubry; David Lammy, et al) with their outrageous anti-democracy behaviour, have shown us all for what they really are... self-serving career Politicians that back party politics (Remainer May) above the will of the electorate. The majority of the electorate chose to leave an un-democratic construct (EU) that is proven to be profligate, dictatorial (as Europe is now finding out), completely incompetent and no longer fit for purpose in its current form! A larger question: what do these anti-Brexit, anti-democratic, pro-EU individuals (MPs) get out of remaining in the EU clutches? These shameful antics, in undermining the electorate at every given opportunity, can only come due to them receiving some personal advantage?
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 18 July 2018, 10.57am
Message: In the 2015 GE Chuka Umuna received 53% of the Streatham vote. What about the 47%? Were their voices listened to? The 53% listened to the "lies" and the fake media. Now that we all know the facts..... I demand that a table is questioned in the HOC, or a question is tabled in the HOC: "In view of the fact that only 53% voted for Chuka Humanaa in 2015, isn't it time for a people's of Streatham General Election re run?"
Name: Ashley, South Bucks, UK      Date/Time: 18 July 2018, 09.13am
Message: This is the never ending remoaner intent to scupper brexit. They can't understand how they lost,and they really want to stay in the eu As it serves their great lifestyles. They are fully aware that our membership is damaging to the uk, But they don't care about that. These are eu insiders working against us. OVERSPEND! What about the 9 million pound leaflets! What about extending voter registration deadline! I am sure remain spent vastly more but this isn't investigated. It really is insane what's going on. It shows the deep level of corruption and greed in our higher echelons.

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 OVER 300 MPs
BACKED AMENDMENT
TO DENY FULL BREXIT
GOVERNMENT WON BY A WHISKER
Yesterday in parliament there were yet more unedifying sights of Remainer MPs seeking to defy the will of the British people.
The mainstream media have covered the main story, that of the third reading of the Trade Bill being passed by 317 to 286 – a majority of 31.
HOW THEY NEARLY SUNK BREXIT - AGAIN
The amendments by the anti-democrat MPs who seem unable to accept the Referendum result were all defeated, except for one which requires the government to try to keep the UK in the EU’s “European Medicines Agency”.
The most important amendment which was defeated was the one which would have required the UK to stay in a Customs Union with the EU.
Incredibly, the government only just secured a majority of 6 on that amendment, with 307 ayes to 301 noes.
Almost half the House of Commons therefore defied the will of the people and voted for an amendment which would have made Brexit virtually meaningless.
OBSERVATIONS
In recent weeks we have had to spend time on the UK political scene, whereas we usually try to give readers news about the EU and the UK’s membership of it, as this is never reported elsewhere.
Normal service will be resumed shortly, we hope.
Today once again we’ve been forced to report on parliament. It is almost unbelievable that so many in the House of Commons still fail to grasp the strength of feeling outside Westminster.
We have recently been stressing the need to deal with MPs who simply will not accept the democratic will of the British people. In the coming days we will be proposing another major action which readers can take to address this.
Brexit will never be safe until we convince Remainer MPs to start behaving like grown-ups. Watch this space.
[ Sources: Hansard ]
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       18 July 2018
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Name: Shieldsman, Surrey, UK      Date/Time: 18 July 2018, 11.05am
Message: Why should an European Agency be under the complete control of the Brussels Commission, through an Act of the EP. These Agencies were formed by a small Consortium of European Countries, not by all 28 member States. Each Agency has 'stakeholders' who are members but contribute in varying proportions. In the case of EASA the CEO is not allowed to participate in negotiations to protect his stakeholders. He cannot prevent the ejection of the UK CAA who are approximately a 40% Stakeholder.
Name: R Ellison, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 18 July 2018, 09.33am
Message: A lot of futile squawking going on, with the sudden realisation that they, the Remainers, are not getting their own way any more. The Referendum result, the People's wishes, WILL be carried out. The Remoaners in Parliament will be yelling and shouting even more come The Judgement Day: those who voted against the known wishes of their own Constituents must be barred for ever from standing at any Local Elections. That should help realign the system back to a true Democracy.
And whilst we're having a clean sweep of the Establishment, the top brass in the Civil Service need to go. Yes, the Civil Servants, unelected Servants of the British people, who are still trying to cling on to the control buttons, e.g. Head of Civil Service and Ollie Robbins, AND are being allowed to by our current PM. Example: immediately after David Davis' resignation, why was Mr Robbins permitted to dismantle Mr. Davis' Department and reallocate them under his control? All this is evidence. Not very clever, Mr Robbins and Mrs May, this knee-jerk reaction! Let the storm clouds gather; the Country is more than able to stand up to the wrong-doers. And it does not stop at Brexit. With our Democracy re-established we must ensure that such a dark period in our history never returns to these shores.
Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 18 July 2018, 09.24am
Message: It seems likely that at least 48 letters to the Chairman of the 22 Committee, withdrawing support for May, have either been lodged or are primed to go. This is based on the number of Government resignations, the post-Chequers negative feedback from the Conservative grass roots and the Government acceptance of the ERG amendments to the Customs Bill.
There are mixed messages as to whether the Chequers Plan is alive or dead. Perhaps it is being used by ERG as a placeholder going in to the summer recess. It certainly serves to supercharge a fightback against Remain, both inside and outside Government. Talk by Remain of a National Unity Government and/or a second Referendum, are self-serving suggestions and devices for them to grab the tiller. The threat of a confidence vote gives ERG leverage and if May perseveres with her plan it will split the party, given the nature of the Chequers betrayal. In one scenario she loses the vote, leading to an election, Corbyn gets in and the Conservatives are out of power for years. That has common currency but reality may well be different and is discussed later. One worries that the Maybot is just programmed to double-down, although she is suggested to have had an emotional discussion with Ian Duncan Smith last week, so perhaps he gave her some friendly advice of a bracing nature. Does ERG influence extend to steering May to an orderly departure, with her stepping down in favour of a care-taker PM such as David Davis? There may yet be time to trial the DExEU plan with the EU, whilst preparing for leaving on WTO terms. This requires a cleansing of May's advisers Barwell and Robbins, something they richly deserve.
The nuclear option is for the ERG to bring down May and the Conservatives to refashion themselves for the resulting election. The following might give the Conservatives a chance of not tanking at the next election, if they can overcome the Remain Conservative core:
- Deselection of Remain rebel MPs ASAP and then win any by-elections
- MPs sign up to an affirmation of the Referendum result
- Main message to be: representing the Leave majority across the UK
- Focus on leaving the EU rather than social tinkering
- Elect or appoint a Leave-supporting PM and Cabinet
- Re-energise the DExEU option
- Accelerate preparations for leaving on WTO terms.
There is now however a great weight of legislation passed by Parliament that supports our leaving the EU. Would Parliament actually vote down leaving on WTO terms, i.e. reversing Article 50? It would bring down the Government and many of the MPs responsible (both Labour and Conservative) who represent Leave areas would lose their seats in an election, given the depth of feeling in the country at large. In an election, UKIP would target MPs in Leave areas who had betrayed their constituents, firstly in marginals and secondly elsewhere, subject to the resources available. Voter disillusion and a reduction in turnout will affect both the main parties. As UKIP will gain at the expense of the Conservatives the former may do quite well for a change. Because the 2016 Referendum is seemingly still in play, any election at short notice will be like none other for decades. There will be huge pressure from the electorate for parties to field honest Leave-supporters in Leave-supporting areas. Research by Prof. Curtice suggests that a majority of parliamentary constituencies effectively voted Leave, based on the votes of their constituents. Could Leave-supporting MPs then be in a majority, both within the Lab-Con-(UKIP) parties and across the House. Also, might an election split the Labour Party? What scope for cross-party cooperation? Perhaps Corbyn does not automatically get to form the next Government? Just asking, as if things are not "exciting" enough.

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 REMAIN OUTSPENT
LEAVE BY 2 TO 1
CAMERON SPENT £2.9m ONLINE TO INFLUENCE RESULT FOR REMAIN
We have previously reported on the basic information regarding the spending of the various campaigns in the EU Referendum. We provided the definitive facts and we present these again to you below.
As we reported above, yesterday Remoaner MPs once again sprang into outraged indignation for a perceived injustice done to them, and some are saying that the Referendum will have to be re-run.
Back in March the LibDem Remoaner Tom Brake MP requested and was granted a debate in the House regarding the Referendum and alleged irregularities over the way expenses were handled back in 2016.
The House's pro-EU Speaker Mr John Bercow MP was quick to grant the debate.
Yesterday there was a repeat performance, this time led by arch-Remoaner Labour MP Chuka Umunna, supported by Conservative MPs Sarah Wollaston and Nicholas Soames.
WHO SPENT MORE - REMAIN OR LEAVE?
The answer is clear and irrefutable. The Remain campaigns – official and otherwise – outspent the Leave campaigns – official and otherwise. This is according to the Electoral Commission.
© Facts4EU.Org Mar 2018
What you see above are the official totals for each side of the debate, originally produced by us with the information available in March. In the total for the Remain side we have included the £9.3 million that David Cameron’s government spent on its leaflet and internet propaganda. Even without that, the Remain side still outspent the Leave side by millions.
CAMERON SPENT ALMOST £3m ONLINE TO INFLUENCE RESULT FOR REMAIN
Next we look at a breakdown of the £9.3 million that David Cameron’s government spent on just two aspects of its campaign for a Remain vote.
For the last two years Remain groups and pro-Remain journalists from the Guardian and the Observer have been trying to prove that the Leave side were somehow engaged in some kind of 'black ops' involving online marketing. As we show below, the government itself spent £2.9 million on this themselves.
Strangely this hasn't been the subject of an Observer exposé.
The chart below shows the breakdown of the expenditure on the Cameron government’s publicly-funded propaganda for the Remain campaign. This included the design, production and printing of the infamous leaflet which was delivered to over 27 million households throughout the UK. This leaflet has now of course been proved to be full of information that was factually incorrect.
© Facts4EU.Org Mar 2018
What is generally never reported – by the BBC, the mainstream media, or the big Leave/Brexit organisations – is that 31% of the £9.3 million that the government spent on its propaganda for Remain went on the internet in the form of 'digital promotion'.
Just take stock of that for a moment. Day after day we are told that Russia or Cambridge Analytica or Donald Trump or Arron Banks or someone else bought the result of the Referendum. In fact, the British government spent almost £3 million on a website and on 'digital promotion', in order to influence the result for Remain.
This isn’t conjecture. The costings for the breakdown above come from the Cabinet Office and No.10, and are once again official figures. Despite their europhiliac proclivities, on this the civil servants and politicians came clean – perhaps because they admitted the figures before the vote when they still thought they were going to win easily.
OBSERVATIONS
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY – CAMPAIGN SPENDING
  • Remain outspent Leave by over 2 to 1
  • The government used £9.3m of public money to promote its propaganda
  • Almost £3m of the expenditure was for the internet and 'online promotion'
  • If anyone ‘bought’ this result, it was Remain
So there you have it.
Even if there were any technical infringements by a Leave campaign this would be nothing compared to the financial onslaught by the massed ranks of Mr Cameron’s friends, including overseas banks.
Frankly, if we were Remoaners we would be keeping very quiet indeed.
[ Sources: Electoral Commission Mar 2018 | Cabinet Office ]
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       18 July 2018
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Name: kzb, North West England      Date/Time: 18 July 2018, 3.48pm
Message: Your expenditure figures do not tally with the Electoral Commission figures, which you quote as your source. The EC says Remain £16.2m and Leave £11.5m. Why the discrepancy?
Reply: As we say above, we included the government's £9.3 million in the Remain figure. We also added the figures for small expenditures. The totals did indeed come from the Electoral Commission in March.
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 HERE’S SOME ‘ARITHMETIC’ FOR REMAIN-VOTING MPs
A USEFUL REMINDER OF SOME BASIC FACTS
The following is a summary for all MPs of the democratic fundamentals underlying all votes they have to make on Brexit in the House of Commons.
Most newspapers and TV news programmes are obsessed with personality politics. Sometimes the basics of democracy can get lost. Below we try to bring things back to what ordinary people think is ‘normal’.
THERE ARE THREE THINGS PREVENTING BREXIT
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY
THE 3 MAIN PARTIES PREVENTING BREXIT
  • Theresa May – a Remainer Prime Minister & her Remainer civil servants
  • The Remainer MPs in the House of Commons
  • The EU
The first item needs to be dealt with by Conservative MPs. The last item cannot be dealt with – we said from the beginning that the EU was always going to make it impossible for the UK to negotiate a normal, sensible departure.
It’s the second item which we address in this article.
THE ‘PARLIAMENTARY ARITHMETIC’
Scarcely a day has gone by recently without hearing a Remain-supporting MP telling the TV or the newspapers that the government’s Brexit policy will not succeed because of ‘parliamentary arithmetic’.
“They just don’t have the votes,” they say, smugly.
So let’s just stop and think about this for a moment.
The arithmetic exists in the country at large. What Remainer MPs are saying is that they don’t like Brexit, they think it’s bad for jobs etc, and so will vote against it in the House of Commons, that supposed cradle of democracy.
These MPs are so caught up in the political machinations and intrigues of the Commons, they have forgotten several things.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY OF DEMOCRACY & BREXIT
  • In June 2015 MPs voted by 544-53 (by 6 to 1) to hold an In/Out EU Referendum
  • The Referendum question was not “Do you want your MP to exercise his or her personal judgement?”
  • It was a binary choice of staying in or leaving the EU
  • The official government leaflet sent to everyone made it clear the result would be implemented
  • The country voted by a majority to leave the EU
  • The country then voted in the general election by 85% for parties favouring leaving the Single Market & Customs Union
THIS REALLY ISN’T DIFFICULT
So this is the democratic background to the decision to leave the EU. There’s nothing difficult about it. No objections were raised before the Referendum about its binding nature (albeit non-technically) on Parliament. No objections were raised about the need to specify whether the people wanted to stay in some parts of the EU’s structures.
It was a clear binary choice to leave the EU or not, and the British people made it in June 2016.
THE ‘SECOND REFERENDUM’
Almost a year after the EU Referendum the people had another chance to express an opinion in the general election of 2017. They voted by over 85% for parties whose manifestos committed to exiting the Single Market and Customs Union.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
The chart above shows how the British public overwhelmingly backed parties which said they would enact the Referendum result and take the UK out of the EU, including out of the Single Market and Customs Union.
Within the 85% are the Conservatives, Labour, UKIP and the DUP. Within the 13% are the LibDems the SNP, the Greens, Sinn Fein and Plaid Cymru. The balance not shown are for very minor parties or individuals.
The basic fact to remember is that public voted by 85% for parties whose manifestos said they would fundamentally honour Brexit.
CURRENT COMPOSITION OF THE COMMONS
The chart below shows how the votes were translated into seats, for the MPs now sitting in Parliament.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
Over 90% of MPs owe their seats to being a member of parties which fundamentally backed the Referendum decision.
  • No question of a second Referendum on the terms of a deal
  • No question of delaying the end of Article 50
  • No question of a fudge keeping the UK in the Single Market or Customs Union in all but name
  • No question of MPs taking over the decision of the British people and exercising ‘individual judgement’
OBSERVATIONS
This decision by the British people was not part of our normal ‘representative democracy’, where MPs are supposed to exercise their judgement on behalf of their constituents. In reality of course the vast bulk of them do no such thing and simply vote along party lines.
No, this was a decision delegated by Parliament to the British people and the British people made it.
THE CONSEQUENCES
It matters not whether MPs agree or disagree with it, they are honour bound to implement it. If they do not, as we have written many times, they will have to face the consequences.
On a personal level for them, this will mean some MPs being deselected by their constituency associations. It will also result in entire careers being ruined – tainted forever by their failure to comprehend that this was the most important decision in most people’s lifetimes.
IF YOU’RE GOING TO DO SUMS, DO THE RIGHT ONES
We urge all MPs who continue to think they know best, and those who think they are being clever in coming up with some ridiculous form of words to justify their anti-democratic behaviour, to think again.
The next time you are about to say “the parliamentary arithmetic means it will never pass”, reflect for a moment. What you are actually saying is that you think you’re safe because you have many colleagues who will vote the same way, regardless of the views of the people.
Sorry, but this time safety in numbers won’t work.
PLEASE THINK CAREFULLY
These are YOUR decisions. YOU were elected on a manifesto. YOU know in your heart that the majority of the people want to leave the EU fully. YOU know in your heart that in fact you know little about the EU and that you trot out what you’ve heard, or what is the party line.
Well maybe, just maybe, sometimes the people know best.
On this occasion they overcame the biggest wall of propaganda in British political history and STILL they decided that the United Kingdom’s best long-term interests lie outside the European Union.
We urge you to think very carefully about what is right and wrong, and do the right thing. If you do – even if it’s now late in the day - you will have our support, and we think you will be looked upon more favourably by the majority of our readers.
[ Sources: Electoral Commission ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.45am, 17 July 2018
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READERS' COMMENTS
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Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 11.14am
Message: If it walks like a duck and talks like a duck it is probably a duck. Even truisms can speak truth to power. On the subject of betrayal, the Chequers Plan deception provides a benchmark for the dishonesty of the Remain holdouts at the heart of Government. As it plays out, Chequers forces a recalibration of political commentary on the last two years events.
Previously it seemed paranoid to pose that Mrs May called and threw the last election to water down her mandate for Brexit. Now it seems quite plausible, given recent events. It would explain the strange policies like the Dementia Tax and disadvantaging the self-employed. Was it really driven by social and fiscal imperatives or was it a carefully calculated undermining of narrow sections of the voter base?
The Chequers Coup was a "clever" undertaking towards the end of a deliberate phony war with the EU. It certainly seems possible therefore that the 2017 election was the subject of creative politicking by the same clever people playing a long game, that probably started with the departure of Cameron and the leadership election. Only by electing a leader with Remain sympathies could Chequers have come to fruition.
Thankfully, as displayed in the House last night, by Messrs. Davis, Jenkins, Rees-Mogg, Wilson etc, the EU and its proxies in the UK are not the only "adults in the room". The merits of WTO, free trade and a clean break with the EU are starting to get some traction. Not knowing where Brexit is headed, I do however know that if the 2016 referendum result is not honoured, then the Conservative party will never get my vote again, either in the local or national elections. This post harps on about recent history because it is the fuel for the fire that Remain have now lit. It will not be put out by their sound-bites and spin.
Name: Michael Wood, London, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 10.33am
Message: Parliament, by an overwhelming majority, passed the Referendum bill after being told that it gave the people the final decision. The government leaflet repeated that. Parliament voted overwhelmingly to pass Article 50. Remainers, now voting and working against Brexit are defying not just the people, but parliament too. We have no means of removing these people, but I do hope their constituency parties will consider if they want to support people who are opposed to democracy.
Sadly, May is not only a remainer, but as she demonstrated during the General Election campaign, no friend of democracy either. She fought a 'Presidential' campaign putting her ego and self regard before the needs of the country. We are paying a heavy price for her self-indulgence and she must go in order that we can move forward, as a democracy, respecting the people's decision.
Name: Not4EU, London, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 10.11am
Message: Sorry for the second comment, but it didn't 'fit' well enough with my previous point.
As expected, there are now calls for a second (really third) referendum. The self-same people who have refused to accept the result of a referendum result now want...a referendum! Oh, the irony.
The 'fix' didn't quite work last time, so they've worked out a way to 'split' the leave vote, with the previously rejected option of 'remain' making a comeback. People who 'didn't understand' a binary choice would now have three, two effectively being 'remain' meaning that just 34% could carry the day. Of course, to muddy the waters it should be a 'preference vote' to push the 'legitimacy' of remain. Leavers would only vote for the only real leave option. Pro-EU federalist anti-democrats would vote for remain. So they would concentrate their efforts on getting the 'second' remain vote on those voting for BRINO, otherwise known as the turd way, with another well-funded turbo-charged Project Fear and propaganda.
These people are stupid. They obviously think that we are. We have news for you - we're not.
Name: Not4EU, London, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 09.40am
Message: Morning folks. Well said, and this message needs to be repeated again and again via email/letter to the anti-democratic so-called remainers and also to those MPs outwardly now 'supporting' leave but working to achieve the minimal definition of leaving, 'hobbling' us to the EU and generally trying to frustrate the process whilst claiming it's not their fault.
This was evident in the VAT amendment vote last night, where 300 odd opposed us 'leaving' the EU VAT system, and controlling our own 'purchase taxes'. Given that approx 80% of net VAT receipts is remitted to the EU and not our coffers (the difference being our 'admin fee'), VAT could be removed immediately from 'utility' bills, helping the poorest, and also removed from other articles that those who opposed the amendment have been complaining about, with little impact on our finances. The vote was won by three votes. A disgraceful demonstration that a large number of MPs have no intention of implementing the referendum instruction. VAT is an EU constructed tax which would be for a foreign power to determine what it applies to. Unbelievable. There are times when the last five minutes of the film 'V' seem almost inspirational.
Name: Steve, Yorkshire, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 08.52am
Message: the way i always remember politicians is by a simple verse:- men are from mars, women from venus, and politicians from uranus !
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 17 July 2018, 07.30am
Message: Another thing preventing Brexit is the anti Brexit bias in the mainstream media. From the corporations, to the individual 'journalists' and even the Electoral Commission who have fined Vote Leave and referred them to the Police. Sky News have just asked Liam Fox (7.36am) if that now makes the Referendum invalid!
EVEN OUR 'SIMPLE' ARTICLES LIKE THE ONE ABOVE TAKE TIME TO PRODUCE
Politicians, journalists and members of the public have come to trust us on Brexit as the definitive source of accurate analysis of data from official sources, presented in a user-friendly way. We inform the Brexit debate.
Unfortunately even a simple article like the one above takes a lot of time for several people, to ensure we get the facts right and that they are presented well, so that people read them.
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 “CLOWNS TO THE LEFT OF ME,
JOKERS TO THE RIGHT” 1
      
Guy Verhofstadt MEP / Olly Robbins       
OLLY ROBBINS’ WHITE PAPER?
DON’T FORGET THE EU PARLIAMENT
With the focus in the UK being on what the various political actors might do next in response to Mrs May’s intransigent backing of Olly Robbins’ “Wet Remain” Chequers plan, the views and the role of the EU Parliament have been mostly ignored by the British media.
One of the questions – if Mrs May’s Chequers plan continues beyond this week – is what will happen if this “Wet Remain” is watered down even further in Brussels? Here we look at one aspect of that question.
HOW THE HIGH PRIESTS OF THE EU TEMPLE WILL DECIDE BREXIT
“The Council needs to obtain the European Parliament’s consent (Article 50 (2) TEU), voting by a simple majority of the votes cast, before it can conclude the withdrawal agreement.”
- EU Parliament website, July 2018
So under the terms of Article 50, the EU Parliament has what amounts to a veto on the eventual deal.
Here is a reminder of what Article 50 says:
“In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.”
“A qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.”
So the vote on a ‘simple’ withdrawal deal will be carried out under the Qualified Majority Voting (QMV) system in the EU Council of 27 leaders, after receiving the consent of the EU Parliament.
The EU Parliament therefore effectively has a veto.
SO WHAT DOES THE EU PARLIAMENT SAY ABOUT BREXIT?
The EU Parliament’s views on its role in the Brexit decision are clear from their website:-
“Therefore the European Parliament's right to withhold consent to the final agreement offers it political leverage to influence the agreement and effectively makes it a veto player.”
- EU Parliament website, July 2018
It is interesting that whilst the Council working under the ‘Qualified Majority Vote’ (QMV) procedure requires both an absolute majority and a 65% majority of the population represented by those states, the EU Parliament’s vote has no such provision. All that is required is a simple majority.
EU PARLIAMENT’S VIEWS ON OLLY ROBBINS’ WHITE PAPER
On Thursday last week the EU Parliament’s “Brexit Steering Group” (BSG), led by the arch-federalist, Belgian MEP Guy Verhofstadt, gave its initial views on Theresa May’s White Paper produced by the unelected civil servant Olly Robbins and the functionaries of No.10’s ‘Europe Unit’.
“In a first reaction, it welcomed both the Statement and the White Paper by the UK Government as a step towards establishing a new relationship between the UK and the EU once the UK is no longer a Member State.”
“In particular, the BSG welcomed that the UK is proposing that the future EU-UK relationship take the form of an Association Agreement.”
“It reconfirmed the Parliament’s position expressed in its resolutions that it will not consent to a Withdrawal Agreement, including a transition period, without a credible “back stop” provision for the Northern Ireland/Ireland border to prevent a hard border and safeguard the integrity of the single market.”
The BSG went on to stress that any agreement would involve:
“respecting among others the principles of the non-divisibility of the four freedoms, the integrity of the single market, avoiding a sector-by-sector approach and safeguarding financial stability, the preservation of the autonomy of EU decision-making, the safeguarding of the EU legal order and the balance of rights and obligations which any future EU-UK relationship will need to respect. In this framework there will be, for example, no space for outsourcing EU‘s customs competences.”
- Brexit Steering Group, EU Parliament , 12 July 2018
WHAT THIS MEANS IN PRACTICE
In other words, the EU Parliament welcomed the continuing and additional capitulations of Theresa May’s government, but it will continue to demand far, far more.
Specifically it will not countenance any dividing of the four freedoms, it insists on EU law being supreme, and it will not allow the UK government to collect customs duties on the EU’s behalf.
As it stands, the Robbins White Paper will be rejected by the EU Parliament, who have a veto over the entire deal. This should come as no surprise to anyone on the British side.
OBSERVATIONS
When it comes to the EU Parliament, we believe this is virtually a lost cause – at least until the next EU Elections take place, when a large number of eurosceptic MEPs from all over the EU are expected to be elected. Even then, the institution will remain largely federalist.
It is in the EU Parliament where EU federalists are at their most feral and vocal. These are the high priests leading the faithful in the Temple dedicated to that most holy of holies: full EU integration into a superstate.
To say these people are on another planet would be an insult to extra-terrestrials. Proceedings are rarely covered by the BBC or other media, but some members of the Brexit Facts4EU.Org team watch and read them all the time. Readers need not worry - strong medication and resuscitation equipment is always on hand.
MEPs who read Brexit Facts4EU.Org do of course come from the more intelligent section of the body and will forgive us for saying this, but a large number of the MEPs are – how shall we put this? – deeply unimpressive. We wouldn’t trust most of them to organise a village fete.
Many MEPs seem to have spent too long in Brussels and have, to put it kindly, only the most tenuous grasp of reality.
It is a little scary to think of hundreds of nonentities voting on the UK’s future but this is what will happen. All we can say is we long for the day when the UK will soon no longer be part of this charade.
At Brexit Facts4EU.Org we will continue to bring you information about all the important factors in the whole Brexit process. Please, please help us with a donation - no matter how small - if you can. Brexit is seriously at risk and we need your help to keep fighting.
1 Song lyric with apologies to the great Stealers Wheel.
[ Sources: EU Parliament | EU Council ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.55am, 16 July 2018
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READERS' COMMENTS
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Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 5.35pm
Message: In response to Liz F's letter: Excellent idea, but there's no way on earth I want anymore of TM's brown sauce.
Name: Liz F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 4.30pm
Message: In view of the repeated Remainer requests for a second Brexit referendum I would like to propose we have a Breakfast referendum instead. There would be two questions on the ballot paper: do you want a full English or a Continental? Bring on the bacon!
Name: Big Mach, Cheshire, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 3.04pm
Message: The quote about an association agreement is interesting. "In particular, the BSG welcomed that the UK is proposing that the future EU-UK relationship take the form of an Association Agreement." Verhofstad was talking about this as the preferred option months ago. It is not too much of a stretch to see Robbins going to Brussels and formulating the White Paper in conjunction with EU officials in order to arrive at an association agreement. The behaviour of our civil servants and their lackeys in the Europe department in the PM's office has been despicable. The tumbrils should be rolling along Whitehall.
Name: Huev, Midlands, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 2.39pm
Message: 'We all desperately hoped that she was being truthful with her 'No Deal is Better than a Bad Deal', and 'Brexit means Brexit'; 'vicar's daughter and all that.' No wonder she is in church on Sundays, praying for forgiveness. Asking the wrong people. You do not get forgiven when you continue to transgress. There is a difference between being misguided and wilfully being economical with the truth.
Name: Tom Rogers, Bridlington, East Riding, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 12.35pm
Message: If the EU's ratification system worked as set out here, then it would be very excellent news for us Brexiters because it would mean there is another obstacle in the way of an anti-Brexit withdrawal agreement. Alas, it doesn't the work the way it is set out on paper. In reality, the European Parliament's Brexit co-ordinator, Guy Verhofstadt, will have been consulted and May will have ensured that there is there is an understanding between the parties. As if to underscore that the whole thing is being co-ordinated, here's a link to the statement of the Parliament's Brexit Steering Group, that Verhofstadt chairs: [Google for link].
Our only hope is:
(i). the Tory Party finds a way to remove its Remain leadership (not just May, but ensure that a Remainer does not replace her), and a new Brexit Tory leader re-negotiates or allows us to fall out in March 2019; or,
(ii). the Commons rebels on ratification of the final withdrawal agreement and we fall out in March 2019.
I don't see (i) happening. There's a reason May was selected as leader. A Brexiter could not lead the Tories in Parliament. I also don't know if (ii) is possible - it depends on the numbers, and it probably boils down to the DUP.
Reply: We would urge some caution. Yes, there is often discussion/collusion between the EU Parliament and its committees and the Commission and Council. However Brexit is an opportunity for much grandstanding and flexing of muscles.
Name: J Slater, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 09.40am
Message: The Jokers and Clowns in the Tory Party are those desperately trying to cling on to a discredited Leader. PM Mrs May has been treacherous to both this Country and to the Root and Branch of the Conservative Party, the majority of whom are Leavers. We all desperately hoped that she was being truthful with her 'No Deal is Better than a Bad Deal', and 'Brexit means Brexit'; vicar's daughter and all that. She has now been revealed for what she is, and there is no putting the lid back on Pandora's Box. To keep May in power now is death to the Party; to remove her and replace her soonest with an honest Brexiter is one way to save both the Country and the Conservatives. The Country wants action. There is now real anger amongst the people. The more May is in our faces, trying to con us with her weasel words, the more damage she does to the Tory Party. Not that she necessarily cares, as her loyalties are clearly with the EU. Brexiter of Braintree has shown how shockingly lacking in knowledge his Tory MP is, and presumably many others too - too lazy, or sucking up to the 'boss' to keep their slates clean. Forget it! Those days are now over. The growing fury in response to May's treachery will not go away. The 'Ides of May' is fast approaching. Beware!
Name: Nick Martinek, Yorkshire, UK      Date/Time: 16 July 2018, 09.14am
Message: Good morning. This crisis is about much more than Olly Robbins' White paper. Unless Mr Robbins has engineered a coup d'etat, the instruction for his White paper (the second) must have come from Theresa May. She can have had no other purpose than deception. This is Mrs May's "Dodgy Dossier" moment.
She has created two governments: one for show, to keep her back benchers at bay and hoodwink the Leave voters, and another, to impose her "revolving door" Remain. Mrs May has been breathtakingly devious as she undermines the proper process of government. This is no longer limited to Brexit, it is unravelling into a crisis in her premiership, the Tory party, the government machine, and even in our whole democratic system.
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 ‘MY WAY OR THE HIGHWAY’
SAYS MAY
© Mail on Sunday
PM PUSHES ASIDE
FORMER BREXIT SECRETARY DAVIS
TO PROMOTE HER ‘WET REMAIN’ PLAN
In an article written for the Mail on Sunday today, Theresa May doubles down on her claims to be delivering Brexit. She shows increased determination to force through the ‘Wet Remain’ plan devised by unelected bureaucrat Olly Robbins and his team of functionaries in No.10’s Europe Unit.
Not content with a newspaper column today, Mrs May has also pushed her way onto this morning’s Marr Show on the BBC, bumping off former Brexit Secretary the Rt Hon David Davis MP in the process.
It seems that the BBC chose to dump Mr Davis from appearing as well as Mrs May, instead of bumping off another guest.
Below are some key excerpts from Theresa May’s article in this morning’s Mail on Sunday.
THE CLAIM TO BE DELIVERING BREXIT
“It restores our national sovereignty, so that it is our Government that decides who comes into our country, our Parliaments that make our laws and our courts that enforce them.”
“It puts an end to the vast membership subscriptions we pay to Brussels, delivering a Brexit dividend”
“People voted to end free movement. So free movement will end. People voted to end the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice in our country; and we are going to deliver that too.”
“We will leave the Single Market and Customs Union, and get out of the Common Agricultural Policy and the Common Fisheries Policy. We will have that independent trade policy and a new UK-EU free trade area with a common rulebook for industrial goods and agricultural products.”
“We will have that parliamentary lock on all new rules and regulations. We will not tolerate a hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland or between Great Britain and Northern Ireland.”
ON TRUMP AND THE ABILITY TO DO TRADE DEALS
“It grasps the opportunities of an independent trade policy, freeing us to forge new trade deals with allies across the world – including America, where President Trump has made it clear he wants a trade deal and is now confident we will be able to do it.”
WILL SHE CAPITULATE EVEN FURTHER?
“Our Brexit deal is not some long wish-list from which negotiators get to pick and choose. It is a complete plan with a set of outcomes that are non-negotiable.”
ON JACOB REES-MOGG AND THE PRO-BREXIT MPS
“There are others who are planning to try and bring down a Bill that is essential in enabling us to prepare for life outside the European Union. This would put at risk our ability to make the necessary preparations for a no deal.”
“And this could lead to a damaging and disorderly Brexit because without this Bill passing we would not be able to retain the benefits of more than 40 existing trade arrangements; and neither will we have the means to protect consumers, industries and workers from being undercut by unfairly traded goods in a post-Brexit Britain.”
You can read Mrs May’s full article for the Mail on Sunday here.
TRUMP REITERATES HIS ORIGINAL VIEW ON MRS MAY’S FORM OF ‘BREXIT’
© Mail on Sunday
Unknown to Mrs May when she wrote her article, the Mail on Sunday is also running a big splash on Piers Morgan’s one-on-one interview with President Trump, which took place on Air Force One AFTER his press conference with Mrs May at Blenheim Palace.
In this interview, the President was asked if his position on Brexit had changed after meeting Mrs May.
‘No, no, I think my position is the same - I just think it’s really their choice. And if you speak to the Prime Minister, she’s really saying: “No, it is Brexit, it is what it was, but we’re leaving certain things.”
‘Do you believe that?’
‘Well honestly it’s not for me to say.’
‘Most people don’t believe it.’
‘Well yeah, I know, but…’
‘They think it doesn’t allow for America to actually trade.’
‘Well that would be bad, I mean look, I think it’s worse for UK than it is for us because we’re doing very well, and we’re doing very well at trade, and we’re doing incredibly well overall, and we’re having the best numbers we’ve ever had as a country - best employment numbers, best GDP numbers.’
‘If we were free, Britain, to do a genuine free trade deal...’
‘We would make a tremendously big deal.’
Trump revealed at the press conference he had privately suggested Mrs May activate a ‘brutal option’ to bring the EU to heel.
Piers Morgan asked what it was.
‘Well I recommended her something, I gave her an option, I’d rather not tell you what that option is, but I think she might. I think it would’ve been great, but it’s not too late for her to do that necessarily.’
You can read Mr Morgan’s interview with President Trump in full, at DailyMail.com here.
OBSERVATIONS
To write an article for a Sunday newspaper AND to insert yourself into the BBC’s flagship Sunday political show would seem to us to smack of some desperation by the country’s Prime Minister.
More importantly though, it is clear that Theresa May has no intention of backing down from Olly Robbins’ Wet Remain plan.
She hasn’t yet gone as far as to say “back me or sack me” but if she did we would firmly back the second option.
WILL THE PLAN GET EVEN WORSE, IN CONTACT WITH THE ENEMY?
“No battle plan survives contact with the enemy”
We suggest readers might want to take note of the form of words Mrs May is now using in answer to the question “Will Brussels negotiate the deal down and make it even worse?”
In her article today she refers to “a set of outcomes that are non-negotiable”. She does not say that she will not negotiate on the already-weak proposals in her Wet Remain plan, merely that she will not compromise on “the outcomes”.
In other words, she knows that the EU will never accept large parts of her offer. But she also knows she will find a form of words to make her additional capitulations sound as if “it amounts to the same thing in practice”.
Given that her descriptions of her plan already bear no resemblance to reality, we expect that Brussels will reject various elements of it and that Mrs May will still claim that “the outcomes” are the same.
TRUMP
Interestingly Mrs May refers to President Trump twice in her article, and will no doubt do so in her Marr interview on the BBC this morning.
She is clearly relieved that in their press conference prior to the US President’s departure for Scotland, he appeared to row back on his views on her form of Brexit, given in an exclusive interview to The Sun on the eve of his visit to the UK.
In fact it is clear to all that President Trump hasn’t changed his views one bit.
JACOB AND BORIS
Chairman of the eurosceptic group of Tory MPs Mr Jacob Rees-Mogg MP has written a piece for the Sunday Express today, which is not available at the time of writing. [UPDATE 8.30am: You can now read his article here. It's absolutely damning.] It will doubtless show his resolve in opposing Mrs May’s Wet Remain and will make clear that he intends to vote against the plan.
Former Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson is said to be considering making his post-resignation statement in the Commons immediately following the final Prime Minister’s Questions of the current session of parliament on Wednesday.
The timing has the benefit of making it virtually impossible for the PM to leave the chamber. Whatever he has to say, she will have to sit and listen to it.
LIES FROM THE VICAR’S DAUGHTER
Many readers will be profoundly disappointed that British politics has reached the stage where a sitting Prime Minister can repeatedly and insistently mislead the public on the most important national issue in a generation.
We find it deeply regrettable that Theresa May feels able to debase and endanger the political fabric of the United Kingdom in this way.
In her article she warns that “we risk ending up with no Brexit at all” if we don’t all support her. Given that Olly Robbins’ “Brexit” is in fact what we are referring to as “Wet Remain”, we don’t see that as any kind of effective threat.
Amongst the US President’s final words before departing England were “it’s not too late for her to do that”, referring to an alternative route to Brexit. We agree.
It will now take a superhuman effort of wartime proportions, but there is still just enough time to put things right, if the right people, enough resources, and enough money are thrown at the problem.
This coming week will be pivotal. It’s now time for a real leader to stand up and be counted.
[ Sources: Mail on Sunday | BBC ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        05.30am, Sunday 15 July 2018
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Name: Tom Rogers, Bridlington, East Riding, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 3.17pm
Message: There is a danger in all this that we read too much into things, and out of dislike for what are, admittedly, fairly unpleasant people, we may fall into the mistake of ascribing to individuals motives that aren't there.
A good Remain Prime Minister could have been a unifying force, getting the whole country behind Brexit, and let's be honest: there isn't a surfeit of talent in the parliamentary Conservative Party. The political class is full of fairly mediocre people. It's not as if we're having to choose between a Margaret Thatcher, a Hugh Gaitskell, an Enoch Powell, an Anthony Eden, a Denis Healey and an Iain MacLeod.
But if Theresa May really has been deceiving people, then she will have to face the consequences of her actions. Excuses such as, "She's only a woman" or "She's only local councillor material", or even, "She's incompetent", etc., will not be accepted.
This woman is not incompetent and she is not stupid. Not that she is entirely at fault - in fact, I would say she is a minor player in the grand scheme of things - but she must be called to account for her own role in this. No excuses will avail her.
Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 11.54am
Message: Over the last couple of years I have watched all of the Theresa May and David Davis speeches, together with many hours of DD evidence to the Exiting the EU Committee. Am now more than a bit miffed to find that it was a charade on TM's part. She must take Executive responsibility for having deliberately misled Parliament (and everyone else) by her subterfuge. The Brexit Minister and his department have been used as a sop, behind which her Remain acolytes were preparing Plan B - the Chequers Plan.
Even the loyal Jacob Rees Mogg has now described her behaviour as untrusting. That is too kind and we have been misled, certainly in recent weeks and probably back much further. There is a yawning gap between the Chequers Plan and what preceded it - the Referendum result, the Conservative election manifesto, her keynote speeches and the abandoned DexEU plan. The Chequers Plan betrays these and amounts to a policy of appeasement of the EU.
Name: Chris, Devizes, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 10.41am
Message: I've said it before and I'll say it again: May is either deliberately lying to, and misleading the people (and the House), or she is totally deluded and really does believe her own bull. Either way, she is completely unfit to lead the party or the government, or indeed to be an MP at all. More damning criticism of May from JRM in the Mail Online today. [Yes, the link is in the article - Ed.]
Name: Brexiteer, Braintree, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 10.35am
Message: On Friday I confronted my MP, James Cleverly who kept very tightly to the May line, well he would wouldn't he. He said I didn't understand we would be leaving the EU, there would be no freedom of movement, we could do our own trade deals just like Switzerland does, we not be a vassal state, we would not be in the customs union or single market, and we would not be joining the EU army. He also said we must keep a close relationship with the EU for security reasons to gain access to their information about terrorists who want to cause us harm in the UK. I of course pointed out GCHQ and the Five Eyes provided more security to the EU, from us the UK, but he said we must maintain a close relationship. When I said what about a trade deal with the USA, he sneered why would we want to do that! When I challenged him about the preferential new movement arrangements for EU citizens that these were weasel words and this was free movement under another name he said: No these citizens would be allowed in for a maximum of three years and we would know who they were because they had their passports scanned at the border so we would be able to tell them to leave! Unbelievable. He did admit lots of people were very unhappy about these proposals, when I again challenged him about the UK signing up to the EU army, as leaked in the "kitkat" briefing he was adamant this would not happen and because we were leaving the EU the fact May signed the Marrakesh agreement did not affect the UK. He stuck very much to the May party line even after twenty minutes of being harangued by me, he was trying to sell it to voters but it will be a hard sell.
Name: Not4EU, London, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 09.35am
Message: So we have Maykel saying it's 'her' Brexit (remain) or no Brexit. It also seems that the Snivel Serpents' rejected suggestions of one year ago, i.e. remain, are the basis for the 'secretly' compiled White Paper and DExEU was just a paper tiger of pretence.
Let me remind the Govt and ALL MPs, of whatever colour. We did not vote for 'Brexit'. We voted to LEAVE the EU. For those that are still on Janet & John book 2, that is spelled L E A V E. It is against that simple word that all your actions will be judged by the people, not your made-up word of Brexit. If leave is not delivered, as instructed, then democracy is dead and all bets are off.

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 UPDATE
OUR ARTICLE YESTERDAY ON THE UK
BENEFITING LEAST FROM THE SINGLE MARKET
Given that readers frequently ask us why Brexit organisations don't get together and cooperate, here's an update.
Yesterday we published yet another exclusive article following research into some EU documents that were released the previous day.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
We thought this article was very important, and certainly it was tweeted many times by some of the thousands who follow us on Twitter. It showed how - according to the EU Commission itself - the UK benefits the least from the Single Market, out of all 28 EU member states.
That's a fairly key piece of research to get out there, we thought.
In case MPs, the press, and the main Brexit organisations missed it, we sent them emails.
The only replies we received were from MPs.
This is one of the reasons why we have been appealing to readers who haven't yet sent us a donation to do so. We really could do so much more to influence the public debate - and to lobby MPs and peers - if we had some funds. We must be the least-funded organisation out there, yet we produce the most original material of anyone.
       05.30am, Sunday 15 July 2018
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Name: MayBot Rebooted, Leeds, UK      Date/Time: 15 July 2018, 4.32pm
Message: I thought your article yesterday was very important too.Why aren't the media and the other Brexit organisations mentioning this? I just sent you a donation and I hope you received it.
Reply: Thank you 'MayBot Rebooted'(!), yes we received it, you are very kind. As to why other Brexit organisations never mention our research, you'd have to ask them. At least we manage to get some media coverage when we have the resource to promote things.

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 UK BENEFITS LEAST
FROM SINGLE MARKET
- SAYS EU COMMISSION
© Eu Commission
THE LIES THAT UNDERPIN
MRS MAY’S WHITE PAPER
Another Brexit Facts4EU.Org exclusive
Latest official EU Commission papers show that the UK benefits LEAST out of the 28 member states when it comes to the ‘Single Market’ for goods
All EU27 countries benefit MORE than the UK
The official figures question whether Remainer MPs know anything about the Single Market
A series of reports were issued yesterday in Brussels. Amongst the information were links to the EU’s own information about the effectiveness of the Single Market for the individual member states.
Pro-Brexit Facts4EU.Org has analysed the figures and we present a summary which we believe should be required reading for all Remainer MPs.
“The UK is the Member State with the lowest
trade integration in the Single Market for goods”
- EU Commission, Single Market Scoreboard, July 2018 Edition
“Trade integration” refers to the percentage of a country's GDP that is accounted for by trade with other EU countries (imports and exports). It is the fundamental measure of how well a country does from its Single Market membership.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY
HOW LITTLE THE UK BENEFITS FROM THE SINGLE MARKET
  • UK benefits least out of the EU28 when it comes to membership of the Single Market
  • Only 7.3% of UK GDP relates to UK goods exported to the Single Market
  • Only 4.6% of UK GDP relates to UK services exported to the Single Market
  • For both imports & exports, the Single Market is responsible for only 9.7% of UK GDP
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
HOW DOES THIS RELATE TO MRS MAY’S BREXIT WHITE PAPER?
The majority of people will know that much of the debate surrounding Brexit relates to the Single Market. Remain-supporting MPs – including those claiming to want to ‘respect the vote of the British people’ – are continuing to argue that membership of the Single Market or the equivalent is essential to the United Kingdom.
Membership of the Single Market – or something very close to it – would require abeyance of the so-called “four freedoms” which include free movement of people.
This is why the unelected civil servants in No.10 who form the ‘Europe Unit’ have drafted the White Paper for Mrs May in such a way that Brexit would in fact resemble Remain, but without the ability to have a say on anything.
WHAT ABOUT UK EXPORTS INTO THE SINGLE MARKET?
Just in case you're a Remainer MP and you think we've been selective with the data we chose for the chart above, sorry but you're wrong.
Below is a chart showing the EU Commission's figures for goods exports into the Single Market. (The chart above showed the percentage of GDP of goods imports and exports added together.) It's even lower when you only look at UK goods exports.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
According to the EU Commission, UK goods exports into the EU's Single Market account for only 7.3% of UK GDP. By anyone's reckoning that's not an enormous slice of the UK economy.
OBEYING THE EU’S RULES FOREVER
A key part of the White Paper relates to UK businesses having to maintain 'regulatory alignment' with the EU. This is the ‘common rule book’ which Mrs May is now promoting.
In reality this is of course the EU rule book. The Prime Minister advocates retaining this in perpetuity, thereby binding British manufacturers to EU rules present and future, but with no say for the UK going forward.
THIS IS THE TRUTH ABOUT THE SINGLE MARKET
As you can see, the UK benefits least out of all the EU’s member states when it comes to membership of the Single Market.
If the UK benefits least, inevitably all the other countries benefit more. For some, it has been an essential part of their economic success.
If Remainer MPs would like more information on the facts of the Single Market – rather than its imagined benefits – we have a great deal more information which we have produced in the last three years. All of this is based on official sources and is incontrovertible.
We would be happy to make it available to any MPs who are interested in the facts rather than the fiction of the Single Market.
OBSERVATIONS
The information we have provided above is yet another in a line of important pieces of research which Brexit Facts4EU.Org has conducted to see whether membership of the Single Market is as important as Remainers claim.
Every day in Parliament you will hear Remainer MPs extolling the virtues of the Single Market, as if we had never had a Referendum and a General Election in which the majority of people voted to leave the EU, including the Single Market.
Many Remainer MPs are telling the public that the Single Market is so important that exit from it will result in economic catastrophes and massive job losses.
Our report above shows unequivocally that the Single Market has been of great benefit to many other countries, but that the UK comes bottom of the list. This is despite the fact that the Single Market is sold as one of the defining benefits of EU membership.
It is also despite the fact that the UK is the second-highest net contributor to the EU’s funds. In other words, the UK is the second-biggest payer, but at the end of the queue when it comes to benefiting from that.
THE BBC HAS NEVER ONCE USED ANY OF OUR REPORTS
The facts above come from the EU Commission itself. At Brexit Facts4EU.Org we generally try to quote facts from the EU because then it's impossible for Remainer MPs to refute them.
Don't you think the above facts need to be known? Whilst we have some success in getting our information into the national press - and used by some pro-Brexit MPs - we need to promote facts like these more widely.
If you read us but haven't yet made a donation to keep us going, now is the moment. With some donations today we could invest in the time needed to circulate this information to more MPs and to the mainstream media. It's the weekend but we'll do it if you could back us.
[ Sources: EU Commission ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.55am, 14 July 2018
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Name: KZB, North West England      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 5.14pm
Message: So are you saying 9.7% GDP is insignificant? I voted Leave to be better off not 9.7% worse off !
Reply: No. This doesn't mean the UK would be worse off, just that the importance of the Single Market for the UK is a lot smaller than most people realise, and that it's the other EU countries that benefit from it most. UK exports to it are at 7.3% of UK GDP. Leaving the Single Market doesn't mean the UK will stop exporting to the EU. Well over 100 countries around the world sell to the EU and yet are not members of the Single Market.
Name: CGM, Hampstead, London, UK      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 3.35pm
Message: Every person who ever sacrificed their lives to preserve the liberties and independence of this country must be turning in their graves. To think that this is happening in the 100th anniversary years of the First World War! Neville Chamberlain can hold his head up compared with this utter capitulation. At least he was trying to postpone an inevitable bloody war because he knew we weren't yet sufficiently re-armed (thanks to a lily-livered Parliament and Tory Party).
But for what is May selling out our independence permanently? To keep a few businesses happy who don't want to adjust to trading on WTO terms!
As ever, it is the "mere groundlings", who are always the ones required to make the actual sacrifices, who truly understand love of country, confidence in its people, democracy and sovereignty. They know, albeit sometimes inchoately, that in this country the legitimacy of government derives from the consent of the people, not from it's control of the levers of power.
Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 11.26am
Message: Not content with 40 years of vassalage, the UK becomes an EU rule taker. Alignment with the EU by treaty will effectively be in perpetuity. After many decades of sponsoring the UK's managed national decline, our ruling class now double-down and go for UK nation-state suicide, a sort of Suez-squared or Suez-cubed. The Chequers plan is the lethal pill, the Novichok vial, the final state-sanctioned killing of our newly won UK independence.

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VIVE LA
FRANCE!
BASTILLE DAY
14 JULY 2018
 
We would like to wish all our readers in France a Happy Bastille Day. Today is 14 July, the day when French people celebrate their revolution.
According to the official 2018 Eurobarometer survey by the EU Commission, French people think:-
  • Immigration should be the top issue for the EU
  • Only 36% of French people have a positive image of the EU
  • Only 31% favour further enlargement of the EU
  • 63% judge the state of the French economy to be ‘bad’
  • Only 25% expect the situation to improve in the next 12 months
Brexit Facts4EU.Org – www.facts4eu.org/news.shtml
Source: Official Eurobarometer Spring 2018
To all our ‘Free French’ readers, we wish you a great day today, and hope that soon you will have an additional Independence Day to celebrate!
Vive la France!
       06.55am, 14 July 2018
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WE PROVIDE FACTS
AND WITH YOU
WE MAKE A DIFFERENCE
We are a committed and determined team.
You haven't given up fighting for a clean Brexit.
Together we're up against a vast army of UK & EU propagandists.
Brexit Facts4EU.Org is an influential pro-Brexit news organisation read by MPs, MEPs, mainstream journalists, eurocrats, MPs and Senators from the EU, USA, Australia and other countries.
Do you still have the determination to get the Brexit you voted for? Or in fact more than ever before?
To the right: Articles in the national press,
all of which came from Brexit Facts4EU.Org.
 
We’re committed and tireless, but we wouldn’t be here to report and fight without our supporters.
If you’re like-minded, please join our readership. If you're already 'in-the-club' we'd like to take the opportunity to send you a big thank you for all your support.
All we have here are our honest tools - research, compelling daily content, simple charts - and our most important resource - YOU.
We badly need your help to keep going, fighting for a full, clean Brexit.

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WE'RE REALLY GRATEFUL TO OUR SUPPORTERS.
UNFORTUNATELY WE ONLY RECEIVE A QUARTER OF WHAT WE NEED TO SURVIVE. CAN YOU HELP?
(Anonymity respected completely if you prefer to remain private)
       Best regards, the Facts4EU.Org Team, 2018
 LINKS TO WHITE PAPERS
     © Cabinet Office
In due course we will review the original White Paper produced by DExEU when it was under the Rt Hon David Davis MP, and also the 'official' Olly Robbins White Paper which was issued yesterday.
In the meantime readers might want the links so that they can start reading themselves.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY - THE WHITE PAPERS
Government official White Paper drafted by the unelected Olly Robbins and the unelected No.10 'Europe Unit'.
The unofficial White Paper drafted by the the Rt Hon David Davis MP and his team at DExEU before they had to resign, has been published by the ConservativeHome website. Links are below.
We will of course update you when we have more information, and we will be commenting further on these documents in any case.
[ Sources: Cabinet Office | ConservativeHome ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        10.30am, 13 July 2018
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Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 11.26am
Message: The Chequers plan abandons mutual recognition on goods in favour of continued harmonisation with the EU, i.e. the status quo. There is nothing good on services and the paper buys back in to EU institutions, such as on aviation, drugs etc rather than aiming to set up our own class-leading bodies to administer our own affairs. Weasel words on migration and mobility are in line with May's poor track record in this area. Associateship of the EU will mean we have much in common with Andorra, Moldova, Norway, Ukraine etc. Are these to be our peers?

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 LITERALLY STAGGERING
EU Commission President Juncker having to be propped up by two EU leaders     © AP / YouTube
EU COMMISSION PRESIDENT
IN WORST EVER STATE
Yesterday at the NATO summit in Brussels, EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker appeared in a state which would leave most people in little doubt as to his condition.
At several points he has to be supported by EU27 leaders just to stand upright.
Spokesmen for the EU Commission rushed to say that Herr Juncker was suffering from sciatica from an old car crash. You can judge for yourselves in the video below.
The full unedited videos of this event showed far more, but this morning they seem to have disappeared. If any reader has a link to a better video showing the full thing, please send it to us and we will publish it. (If the video above doesn't appear in your browser, click here to view it on YouTube.
OBSERVATIONS
Herr Juncker is said to be suffering from sciatica after a car crash long ago, and this was the reason for his state.
One of our team has survived a serious car crash, a plane crash, and a brain tumour. He lives with constant and severe pain.
Yet we have never ever seen him move in the way Herr Juncker did yesterday, smiling and staggering.
No, that’s not true. He moved a bit like that on Referendum night two years ago, after rather more than a few glasses of champagne. Okay, more than a bottle, if truth be told.
Seriously, we have other videos of Jean-Claude Juncker clearly drunk. Regular readers may remember the classic one of him last year, dancing on the stage and kissing all the EU27 leaders. This was the famous event where he greeted Hungary’s Viktor Orban with the words “Hello Dictator”.
We really would like to know if Remain-supporting MPs have any idea at all of just what an embarrassment and disgrace the EU is.
[ Sources: YouTube / AP ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        08.45am, 13 July 2018
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Name: Brexiteer, Braintree, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 09.46am
Message: Just remember folks this man will be in charge of the EU army. I am sure he is a fit and able person to make life or death decisions that effect the lives of 500 million people. UK Prime Minister May has signed the UK to be governed by unelected officials like this. Makes you proud to be British, that we are unable to govern ourselves because the likes of Juncker can do it better.

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 PRESIDENT TRUMP:
‘THE DEAL’S OFF’
© The Sun
TRUMP TOWERS OVER BREXIT
In a world exclusive, Tom Newton Dunn from The Sun interviewed United States President Donald Trump yesterday. Taken with the President’s comments at a NATO press conference the same day, the results are explosive.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY - THE TRUMP TORPEDOES
  • May’s Chequers deal is “not what people voted for”
  • May has done the opposite of Trump's advice to her
  • Trump would walk away
  • May is only negotiating “the best she knows how”
  • May’s deal will kill US trade deal
HOLED BELOW THE WATER LINE?
US President Donald Trump has all but torpedoed Theresa May’s ‘Wet Remain’ proposal for future relations with the European Union.
The PM’s deal was already floundering under senior ministerial resignations, a concerted attack by pro-Brexit MPs, amendments tabled to her legislation, and damning assessments by us and other serious observers.
Now it seems that a highly lucrative trade deal with the US will be off the table because “[the US] would be dealing with the European Union”. And if that’s how the US feels, it will be replicated in capitals across the world.
One of the biggest single benefits of Brexit – an increase in world trade - will not be delivered.
‘THIS ISN’T BREXIT’
Perhaps even more fatal was the President’s assessment that Mrs May’s deal is “not what people voted for”.
It was clear that the President thinks he knows what Brexit means, even if the Prime Minister and the BBC don’t. The President waded in to a BBC journalist at the NATO press conference in Brussels when the journalist used the term ‘hard Brexit’.
“I would say Brexit is Brexit. When you use the term hard Brexit I assume that's what you mean.”
IS MAY UP TO IT?
Finally, there was the implied condemnation of Theresa May’s abilities to negotiate a successful deal. The President said he had told her what he would have done, but that she had done the opposite.
In a particularly decisive comment it is clear that he doesn’t think Theresa May is up to the job:
“She should negotiate the best way she knows how. But it is too bad what is going on.”
SELECTED EXCERPTS FROM PRESIDENT TRUMP’S INTERVIEW
Below we have collated all President Trump’s comments in one place. We have also included some comments contained in the recording of the interview which don’t appear in the newspaper.
“If they do a deal like that, we would be dealing with the European Union instead of dealing with the UK, so it will probably kill the deal. If they do that, then their trade deal with the US will probably not be made.”
“will definitely affect trade with the United States, unfortunately in a negative way”.
“We have enough difficulty with the European Union. We are cracking down right now on the European Union because they have not treated the United States fairly on trading.”
“No, if they do that I would say that that would probably end a major trade relationship with the United States.”
“I would have done it much differently. I actually told Theresa May how to do it but she didn’t agree, she didn’t listen to me. She didn’t listen. No, I told her how to do it. That will be up to her to say. But I told her how to do it. She wanted to go a different route.”
Asked about walking away, Trump replied:
“Oh, absolutely. I think what is going on is very unfortunate. Too long. You know, deals that take too long are never good ones. When a deal takes so long, they never work out very well.”
“I did give Theresa my views on what she should do and how she should negotiate and she didn’t follow those views. I would actually say that she probably went the opposite way. And that’s fine.
“She should negotiate the best way she knows how. But it is too bad what is going on.”
“The deal she is striking is a much ­different deal than the one the people voted on.
“It was not the deal that was in the referendum. I have just been hearing this over the last three days. I know they have had a lot of resignations. So a lot of people don’t like it.”
TRUMP AT NATO IN BRUSSELS
President Trump’s comments in his interview with The Sun were echoed at a televised press conference towards the end of the NATO summit, when President Trump was asked about Brexit:
“A lot of people voted to break it up so I would imagine that's what they would do but maybe they are taking a little bit of a different route. I don't know if that's what they voted for.”
THERESA MAY’S RESPONSE
Responding to President Trump’s comments to The Sun, the Prime Minister tried to fight back:
“We have come to an agreement at the proposal we’re putting to the European Union which absolutely delivers on the Brexit people voted for.
They voted for us to take back control of our money, our law and our borders and that’s exactly what we will do.”
OBSERVATIONS
President Trump only arrived in the UK yesterday afternoon and all the above was said before he had even set foot on British soil.
His salvos were unprecedented – even for the Donald. The PM will have known to expect the unexpected, but the President’s comments to a major British newspaper – and to the world’s press corps at NATO earlier – could hardly have been worse for her.
Above we have tried to summarise the key excerpts from the interview in Brexit Facts4EU.Org fashion. We also recommend reading the original Sun article here.
We expect to see Mr Trump be more emollient during his visit but he fully expected him to start by playing hardball. That’s what you do if you want to win - a lesson that it's far too late for Mrs May to learn, alas.
Putting this into the context of the Brexit negotiations, Mrs May should have started by provoking howls of outrage from the EU elites at her proposal. Instead we have positive noises coming from Brussels about her new White Paper. That should tell us all we need to know.
Below we look at and question the strategy being pursued by pro-Brexit MPs to see off Mrs May’s “Wet Remain” proposal.
[ Sources: The Sun | NATO | US President on Twitter | Various ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.55am, 13 July 2018
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Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 11.26am
Message: The 2016 referendum result has been on life support, having been sedated by Nurse May and left in an induced-coma for two years. The Chequers coup is the political equivalent of Nurse may then coming at us with a lethal dose of morphine, in the fast-becoming traditional "rite of passage". Swift family intervention has followed, but will that be enough to save the patient? In a late development, Uncle Trump has pitched in with a de-fibrillator he found in the ward cupboard, so the patient is now well and truly awake, if a little shocked. Still, that's one way out of a coma. Is there a (real) family doctor in the house to help with rehabilitation?
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 3.45pm
Message: In response to George, Hampshire. George, we don't have a FREE trade deal with the EU. We pay £10 billion nett per annum membership for the privilege. One of the many reasons to leave the EU is not to pay to trade.
Facts4eu will furnish you with articles every day, arguing why we should leave the EU. Please read some of them and if you can refute the facts, please share your refutation.
Name: George, Hampshire, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 1.05pm
Message: We are closer to EU than to America, so we have a great business with EU. Trump is isolating himself from the Global world. He cannot advise anyone from independent country what to do or not do. He wants to impose high taxes on anything produced outside the USA while we have FREE trade with EU which guarantee work and prosperity. So, a soft deal on Brexit is needed. Trump is a crazy gay with high self-esteem. He may think he is God but he is only a human.
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 07.34am
Message: I don't know if you read "The Virtue Signaller" newspaper today, but I was struck by their headline and editorial: MAN SPEAKS HIS MIND HORROR.
"We were disgusted to hear a white, middle aged, American man express a view that differs from our own! As this newspaper believes in free speech we will not be reporting what Mr Ronald Trumpet said." John Snowflake, Editor.

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 HOW WILL THIS
EVER WORK?
With apologies to Tom Cruise & MGM
THE PRO-BREXIT TORY MPs’ STRATEGY
Here we look at the avowed strategy of pro-Brexit MPs to defeat the ‘Chequers Agreement’ proposal for future relations between the UK and the EU.
SUPPORT THE PM, OPPOSE THE POLICY
This strategy involves persuading the Prime Minister and her cabinet to reverse their policies, whilst still professing to support Theresa May as Prime Minister.
Many MPs – including Steve Baker - have come out very strongly against a challenge to Mrs May’s leadership.
“There can be no question of letters going in, no question of challenges to the Prime Minister. What we need is a change of policy, and not to be challenging the Prime Minister.”
- Steve Baker MP, BBC Daily Politics, 09 July 2018
Similar appeals have been made by many other pro-Brexit Conservative MPs.
OPPOSING THE PRIME MINISTER VIA AMENDMENTS
In pursuit of the strategy to change the PM’s mind, pro-Brexit MPs have lodged a series of amendments to the Bill before the Commons next week, which go some way to negating some of the elements contained in Mrs May’s Chequers Agreement.
Without Labour support, these amendments will fail. It seems likely that those MPs seeking to make the PM stick to her manifesto promises on Brexit – as well as the promises contained in her main policy speeches in the last 18 months – will number perhaps 50.
OBSERVATIONS
HOW WILL THIS STRATEGY WORK?
Even if the pro-Brexit MPs were able to get any blocking amendments passed – and this would only happen if the government agreed to them – there is the fundamental question of what this would mean to Mrs May’s premiership.
The Brexit MPs say they back Theresa May but want her to reverse her Chequers policy. This is the most important policy of the government.
Call us simple, but how could Mrs May possibly do a complete U-turn on the most important policy of her government and remain in her post? It is inconceivable to us.
‘PARLIAMENTARY ARITHMETIC’
There has recently been a great deal of talk of ‘parliamentary arithmetic’. This refers to the number of MPs who will support (or not) various aspects of the delivery of Brexit.
Whilst BBC and Sky commentators seem to delight in the machinations and arithmetic involved, the public at large are wondering just how all these MPs can continue so flagrantly to ignore the will of the people. In other words forget the arithmetic, why aren’t MPs voting they way they were told to in the Referendum?
MPs STILL DON’T GET DEMOCRACY
It remains a fact that the majority of Tory MPs are Remainers, as indeed are Labour MPs.
A recent poll by the ConservativeHome website had around 72% of party members being pro-Brexit. Despite this, a majority of Tory MPs maintain their hostility to Brexit even though their constituencies voted to leave the European Union.
Labour, LibDem and other MPs don’t get off the hook either. The country voted to leave the EU. The majority of the public simply aren’t interested in the quasi-legal sounding arguments of MPs who think they are clever when they come up with the next ‘form of words’.
To put it bluntly, the public knows BS when they see, hear and smell it.
WHY WASTE TIME?
You might feel that a true leader could cut through all this pathetic parliamentary nonsense, appeal over the heads of self-obsessed MPs, convert some, shame others, and drive though the Brexit that people voted for.
We're business people not politicians so we don’t understand the current strategy of the pro-Brexit MPs. If by some miracle they persuaded Theresa May to change her mind, she couldn’t stay. She would have no credibility at all.
Perhaps this is merely a device which allows pro-Brexit MPs to claim loyalty to the PM, whilst damaging her so much that a leadership challenge becomes essential. In our view all it does is waste the precious time we don’t have.
We will soon be writing more, on a strategy which might actually deliver the Brexit people voted for and which President Trump alluded to yesterday.
[ Sources: BBC Daily Politics | Various ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.55am, 13 July 2018
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Name: Graham Smith, Staffs, UK      Date/Time: 14 July 2018, 11.26am
Message: May appeared to respect the referendum result in key speeches over a two-year period whilst actually kicking the can down the road. David Davis and DexEu were increasingly side-lined by May in favour of Olly Robbins etc at No. 10. The many appearances of David Davis in Parliament and before the Exiting the EU Committee became a May smokescreen. May played us all: Parliament, the Committees, the People and her own party. This deception does not sit well constitutionally.
Name: Not4EU, London, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 08.31am
Message: Good morning folks. I hate to say this but it's beginning to look like there is 'controlled opposition'. It seems the only logical explanation for continued contradictory behaviour by some. We've seen this very same behaviour happen at the end of 'Phase 1' in December and again in March. 'Opposition' but over-riding loyalty to May, the Party and the process which results in acceptance of the unacceptable and constant rewriting of what leaving means. It's how we've ended up with an unnecessary 'transition', exit bill and the appalling 'backstop' so far. This is the final sellout.
There's lots of 'respecting the referendum result' in documents and spouted in the House. 'Respect' doesn't mean implement. We want the referendum result implemented. That is what was voted for and that is the only outcome that should happen. If a democracy refuses to implement a decision reached using the democracy's own rules, it is no longer a democracy.
My pitchfork is sharpened for what I now fear may be inevitable.
Name: Nick Martinek, UK      Date/Time: 13 July 2018, 07.20am
Message: Good morning, The significance of the existence of TWO quite different White papers - the DExEU one and Olly Robbins one - is being overlooked. Most people are focussed on the awfulness of the (Robbins) White paper presented at Chequers. They have missed the fact that by blocking a government department's White paper in favour of his own, Robbins has effectively engineered a coup d'etat. The attack on the proper process of government and on our democracy is breathtaking. Few seem to realise the gravity of the situation in our government system.
To be honest there are no cute puppies, abandoned children
or even a snow leopard on the Facts4EU team...
...But we do work very hard.
   Do you think you can still help us   
to keep up the good work?
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WE'RE REALLY GRATEFUL TO OUR SUPPORTERS BELOW IN THE LAST SIX MONTHS.
UNFORTUNATELY THIS REPRESENTS A QUARTER OF WHAT WE NEED TO SURVIVE. CAN YOU HELP?
(Anonymity respected completely if you prefer to remain private)
       Best regards, the Facts4EU.Org Team
   
WELCOME TO 
PRESIDENT TRUMP
 
The Pro-Brexit Facts4EU.Org Team welcomes
the US President to the United Kingdom
We're sure the US President will ignore the puerile stunt endorsed by the London Mayor Sadiq Khan.
Naturally the President of the United States of America is always welcome in the land of its most trusted ally, the United Kingdom.
And Mr President, if you should catch sight of that childish balloon in the sky today, please remember one thing:
It only takes one prick...
       07.25am, 12 July 2018
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Name: Andy, Leeds, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 4.43pm
Message: I wish someone would use the Khan Balloon for target practice. Make a change from the low life shooting each other. Perhaps we should offer a bottle of champagne as an inducement !!
Name: Tom Rogers, Bridlington, East Riding, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 1.40pm
Message: I wish the President wouldn't ignore the inflatable balloon stunt. I wish he would comment on it, say it is disrespectful, and I wish he would also instruct the U.S. State Department to bar Sadiq Khan from entry to the United States. I wish at these summits he would ignore Theresa May and make it clear, through his body language, that he holds her in contempt. I think the political Right are far too soft, civil and polite. It does no good.

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 IS THIS BREXIT?
Theresa May with Frau Merkel at the NATO summit
LET’S LISTEN TO
THE MEN WHO SHOULD KNOW
Today, the government’s White Paper on the future relationship between the United Kingdom and the European Union will finally be published, over two years since the vote to leave.
Following revelations by Charles Moore in The Spectator, it now seems certain that Theresa May ran her new policy by the German Chancellor on Thursday, before showing it to her cabinet on Friday at Chequers.
In advance of the publication of the White Paper today, here is a summary of the position as described by those who have been closest to the action.
THE CHEQUERS SUMMIT
Friday marked an about face for Mrs May and her government over Brexit. Contrary to all her speeches – Mansion House, Lancaster House, Florence – she has now set the government on a course to keep the UK firmly tied to the EU as something akin to a colony or satellite state of the EU.
Early on Saturday morning we published the first of our articles about the ‘Chequers Agreement’. These were entitled “It’s Soft Remain” and “What’s The Point Of Voting?
Since then, information has emerged from some of the individuals involved. We have reported on some of this but now we summarise some key statements for you below.
STEWART JACKSON, CHIEF OF STAFF TO DAVID DAVIS
Mr Jackson was formerly Conservative MP for Peterborough and since 2017 held the role of Special Adviser and Chief of Staff to the former Brexit Secretary the Rt Hon David Davis MP, until both of them resigned on Sunday night.
As such, he was intimately involved in the Brexit negotiations. He makes it perfectly clear that the Department for Exiting the EU was completely sidelined when unelected civil servant, former communist, and arch-Remainer Olly Robbins was moved to No.10’s “Europe Unit”, under the control of Theresa May in September last year.
Crucially, Mr Jackson was fully involved in drafting the Department’s White Paper which it was assumed – quite naturally – would be the document to be discussed by the whole cabinet. As it turned out, a separate White Paper had been drafted by Olly Robbins and his team at No.10, which the Dept for Exiting the EU only saw on Wednesday last week.
This was just two days before the Chequers Summit.
© Twitter
This is fairly strong stuff from Stewart Jackson. We understand there is more to come.
STEVE BAKER MP, FORMER MINISTER AND DE FACTO DEPUTY TO DAVID DAVIS, DEXEU
As minister in the Department for Exiting the EU Steve Baker is another whose view of the ‘Chequers Agreement’ should hold some considerable weight. Here is what he told the BBC’s Daily Politics programme:-
“The problem with this particular Brexit is that it will not allow us to have proper control over what goes on in the United Kingdom.”
“We’ve all been blindsided by this policy…. One of the issues is that – for want of a better term – the Establishment of this country does not want to leave the European Union.”
“It’s no good going forward with this recalcitrant spirit of fear and supplication as we negotiate. Instead of doing things because we must, because we’re forced, or because we ought, we need to positively choose to leave the European Union well, perhaps brilliantly.”
“Let’s leave the European Union in a way of which we can be proud.”
DAVID DAVIS, FORMER SECRETARY OF STATE FOR EXITING THE EUROPEAN UNION
“...the general direction of policy will leave us in at best a weak negotiating position, and possibly an inescapable one.”
“In my view the inevitable consequence of the proposed policies will be to make the supposed control by Parliament illusory rather than real.”
“...the "common rule book" policy hands control of large swathes of our economy to the EU and is certainly not returning control of our laws in any real sense.”
BORIS JOHNSON, FORMER SECRETARY OF STATE FOR FOREIGN AND COMMONWEALTH AFFAIRS
“Brexit should be about opportunity and hope. It should be a chance to do things differently, to be more nimble and dynamic, and to maximise the particular advantages of the UK as an open, outward-looking global economy. That dream is dying, suffocated by needless self-doubt.”
“We have postponed crucial decisions – including the preparations for no deal... with the result that we appear to be heading for a semi-Brexit, with large parts of the economy still locked in the EU system, but with no UK control over that system.”
“It now seems that the opening bid of our negotiations involves accepting that we are not actually going to be able to make our own laws.”
“It is as though we are sending our vanguard into battle with the white flags fluttering above them.”
[Incidentally the former Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson used the term ‘colony’ in his resignation letter. We first started using this term back in March following the EU Council summit at which they agreed Mrs May’s Transition Period.]
OBSERVATIONS
The Prime Minister and her ministers continue to trot out the gross misrepresentations about what they agreed on Friday at Chequers. Some of those ministers who back the vote of the British public found the outcome to be so distasteful that they resigned.
Some others who previously were thought of as Brexiteers have somehow reconciled themselves to backing the ‘Soft Remain’ now on offer from the Prime Minister.
Above we have merely given a flavour of the reactions of those who have been intimately involved but who have now left government service.
With half the nation’s minds being focused on football yesterday, and Donald Trump dominating the remaining news from NATO Headquarters, it is not surprising that no-one else resigned from the government.
Today marks the start of the US President’s visit to the UK. We welcome him, although we deplore the fact that it has taken so long for the government to agree to a visit from the leader of the biggest power on the planet.
With President Trump leading the headlines, it may be that Brexiteers keep their powder dry today. Yesterday readers will have seen that several pro-Brexit MPs put their names to four amendments to the Customs Bill which will be debated next week. We will report on this separately.
We continue to be profoundly disturbed by the gross distortions of the truth coming from Mrs May and her ministers. We will start reviewing the government’s White Paper as soon as it is published, although we know this will not be a pleasant experience for anyone who believes that the government should deliver Brexit, as the British people instructed on 23 June 2016.
[ Sources: BBC | Resignation Letters | Various ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.15am, 12 July 2018
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Name: VeritasBrexiteer, Brighton, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 1.54pm
Message: Please, less of the despair and trembling regarding T. May's (the sycophantic EU patsy) attempts at political subversion. This just provides Remainers/Remoaners with additional whinging oxygen and the faint hope they are possibly winning the game? The louder Remainers childishly demonstrate, protest, produce greater sophistry, cry, scream or wet their pants, are excellent indications they are losing the plot! Plan 1. Project fear. Frighten the populace - did not work! Plan 2. Ignore the populace - did not work! Plan 3. Lay the foundation for post Brexit dismantling - will not work!
The Remainer's (Establishment) clear objective from day one after the Referendum's historical result (starting with the political dishonesty from Cameron and the placement of a demonstrably self-confessed Remainer, T. May) is to ignore democracy and circumvent the result at all costs. They initiated a plan to sow the seeds of doubt, make you question your original decision, negate all positive Brexit benefits, infiltrate comment blogs with anti-Brexit narratives and most importantly drain you of confidence and the will to continue, straight out of the quasi-communist, ops sorry, Establishment's "how to ignore the electorate" handbook. Don't be fooled, we are winning the argument in greater numbers. The UK's honest majority will get its clean democratic Brexit, come hell or high water! The Remainer's game is up and they know it. However, watch them continue to wet their pants... it certainly makes my day reading their miserable, rather amusing, drivel!
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 09.33am
Message: In answer to Norman, Taunton, UK. Norman, it's very simple. If Remain win a second referendum it's legal and binding. If Leave win, it's illegal and advisory. The second referendum will also assume we know what we are voting for and that Aaron Banks and the Russians haven't brainwashed us. In the interests of fairness, balance and democracy Remain will decide the rules. That's my understanding. I may of course, be wrong......
Name: Brexiteer, Braintree, Essex, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 08.45am
Message: The white paper today is the Gavin Barwell, May's chief of staff and Olly Robbins the civil servants view of Brexit. Conservative Home website have a leaked copy of the white paper David Davis and Steve Baker at the DExEU were working on. One is staying in the EU, the other is leaving.
Name: Norman, Taunton, UK      Date/Time: 12 July 2018, 07.58am
Message: I note a few comments from the same people concerning the fact that we should have another referendum. You know the sort of thing the EU do, vote again until you get it right. I have one question with this that I don't see addressed anywhere. What would they do if they had a second referendum, and the vote to leave won again, may be with an even bigger majority? Those who want another referendum don't appear to consider this.

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 US PRESIDENT FIRES SALVO AT EU
© Twitter
UNELECTED EU PRESIDENT FIRES BACK
© EU Council
TRUMP ARRIVES IN BRUSSELS, AHEAD OF UK VISIT TONIGHT
Yesterday the (unelected) EU Council President Donald Tusk responded robustly to President Trump’s remarks. In a remarkable speech Mr Tusk said:
“Europe has decided to take responsibility for its own security.”
Speaking at a signing ceremony between the EU and NATO ahead of President Trump’s visit, the EU Council President continued:
“I would like to address President Trump directly, who for a long time now has been criticising Europe almost daily for, in his view, insufficient contributions to the common defence capabilities, and for living off the US. Dear President Trump: America does not have, and will not have a better ally than Europe.”
“I would therefore have two remarks here. First of all, dear America, appreciate your allies, after all you don't have that many.”
- EU Council President Donald Tusk, 10 July 2018
It is important to recognise that Mr Tusk, unelected EU Council President, was speaking for the whole of the EU including the UK. It is not clear whether his remarks were cleared with the UK’s Foreign and Commonwealth Office and its new Secretary of State Jeremy Hunt, but the EU now generally speaks without any such clearance.
OBSERVATIONS
Mr Tusk was speaking on the same day that Theresa May was standing alongside German Chancellor Angela Merkel, at a press conference for the Western Balkans Summit which was taking place in London.
Mr Tusk, a former Polish Prime Minister, spoke for the EU which still includes the United Kingdom.
Given that President Trump’s criticisms of the EU for its appalling lack of defence spending do not apply to the United Kingdom, it might have been expected that Mrs May would have maintained at least a neutral position. However she said that she would be raising the question of the EU’s tariff war with President Trump.
Mrs May with Frau Merkel yesterday in London                 © EU Commission
Mrs May said nothing about the UK’s future trading relationship with the US, preferring to speak as a member of the EU Council instead.
Neither did she say anything about the fact that the UK has consistently outspent all other EU countries on defence for decades, and that the UK is one of only 2 EU countries to meet the 2% of GDP defence spending minimum during this decade.
In the article below we give you more facts about this.
[ Sources: US President on Twitter | EU Council | EU Commission | Various ]      Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links.        06.55am, 11 July 2018
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READERS' COMMENTS
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Name: Chris, Devizes, UK      Date/Time: 11 July 2018, 11.49am
Message: It is very disappointing that Facts4EU feels the need to waste such a lot of time, effort and money on articles like this. Its all very interesting, in an ivory tower sort of way, but most people couldn't really give a toss. What people DO care about is the way that our treacherous Prime Minister is constantly lying to us and the House. Given that you claim to be very short of resources, it would be better if you concentrated on lobbying MPs to topple the evil May, rather than wasting energy on stuff like this.
Reply: Thank you for your suggestion. We've just spent many days producing articles on the UK political scene. You know that because you've commented daily on them. We have also spent a great deal of time lobbying - work that is unseen by readers.
The simple fact is that most MPs and a significant minority of the population are still Remainers. Without the pro-Remain Commons and some of its ignorant MPs, we wouldn't be in the mess we're now in. Our factual articles about the EU help to persuade more and more Remain voters that we should leave. And they give pro-Brexit MPs ideas and ammunition.
The whole 'EU Army vs NATO' debate resonates with enormous numbers of people. Our definitive research is essential in order that people know the truth. And it ridicules the EU as well as the arguments of arch-Remoaners like Mr Clegg et al.
Some of us started today at 2.30am to bring these articles to you. And we don't 'claim' to be very short of funding. We are.
Name: Patrick F, Kent, UK      Date/Time: 11 July 2018, 09.30am
Message: Dear Mr Tusk,
All hail the Project! I am a former citizen of the UK, now a member of the colony UK.
Since the EU broke off diplomatic relations with the USA in 2020 and have abandoned NATO, I am responding to your appeal for all citizens in the Super State to contribute to our EU defence forces.
Our local defence unit, Colonists, Retired and Pensioners (CRAP) have raised a total of one Euro. We would have sent more, but since the colony of the UK is now a nett beneficiary to the Super State, we feel the sole contributor (Greater Germany) should foot the bill.
How time flies, since the UK Referendum 15 years ago!
My Supervisor is ordering me back to finish spraying the Turnips, so I must finish this EU mail.
All hail the project!
Colonist PJFKENTUK1960

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 IS PRESIDENT TRUMP RIGHT?
YES - EU OWES $710 BILLION
ON NATO DEFENCE
One of the UK's new F-35B fighters                     © MOD / Lockheed Martin
AND THAT'S ONLY IN THIS DECADE
EXCLUSIVE BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG
ANALYSIS OF NATO PAPERS
Analysis by Brexit Facts4EU.Org of the backing data for NATO’s Annual Report 2017 shows that the EU countries who are NATO members have underspent by a staggering $710 billion dollars in the last 8 years.
THE EU’S NATO UNDERSPEND – OVERVIEW
NATO relies on its member countries investing in their defence capabilities in order to function. It does this in a very egalitarian way, asking members to invest at least a minimum percentage of their GDP in defence each year. This means that countries help the NATO Alliance in proportion to the wealth of their country.
Or at least that’s the idea....
Percentages above 5% used to be common, but these days NATO is doing all it can just to persuade its members to invest the low minimum of 2%.
In 2014 matters came to a head at the NATO summit held in Wales when all under-performing members pledged to increase their investment to the minimum of 2%. The only way NATO could get even this low threshhold agreed was by saying that the pledge could be implemented gradually, up until 2024. This had been a sticking point with Germany.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY - EU OWES $0.7 TRILLION
  • 20 EU countries underspent by a shocking $710 billion
  • 6 EU countries aren’t NATO members at all
  • Only 2 countries – UK & Greece - spent more than the minimum
EU’S NATO UNDERSPEND – AVERAGE PERCENTAGE EXPENDITURES 2010-2017
So far this decade, from 2010 to 2017, almost all the EU countries who are also members of NATO have consistently spent less than NATO’s minimum guide of 2% of GDP on defence.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
Only the UK and Greece invested at least 2% of their GDP in defence. All the others fell short, with many not intending to reach the required level until 2024, according to NATO. 6 out of the 28 EU countries aren’t even NATO members at all.
BREXIT FACTS4EU.ORG SUMMARY - AVERAGE SPENDS ON DEFENCE: % OF GDP
  • UK: 2.23%
  • NATO Europe average: 1.34%
  • Germany: 1.25%
  • Luxembourg: 0.41%
It is perhaps worth pointing out that the de facto leader of the EU27 (Germany) spent less than the average of all NATO members in Europe. In fact, Germany’s performance has been dropping this decade. It spent even less in 2017 (1.24%) than it did in 2010 (1.35%).
And Luxembourg - previously run by EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker for many years - didn't even manage to hit 0.5% of GDP expenditure on defence.
The UK has invested an average of 2.24% of annual GDP so far this decade, comfortably above the NATO’s minimum.
EU’S NATO UNDERSPEND – KEY COUNTRY UNDERSPENDS 2010-2017
As you can see from the chart above, the underspend by some major EU countries involves very significant sums. In Germany’s case it amounts to $220 billion dollars since 2010.
© Facts4EU.Org 2018
OBSERVATIONS
It was never widely reported – although we covered it many times - that prior to the Brexit vote in 2016 the EU’s External Action Service (EEAS) was busy with plans to establish the EU common defence forces for which it had long hankered. The EEAS is headed up by Commission Vice-President and long-time former communist Federica Mogherini.
These plans were already advanced before Brexit - with EU battlegroups already in existence and some EU countries combining some of their forces - but it was only when everyone else was busy with the aftermath of the Brexit vote that Ms Mogherini and her friends were able really to press down hard on the accelerator.
We have nothing but respect for Ms Mogherini's skills as a political operator. As lovers of democracy and the rule of law, however, and as amateur students of geopolitical and military history, we are dismayed at what this woman has achieved. We consider her to be the most dangerous woman in the EU. Perhaps she will take this as a compliment.
THE NATO 2017 REPORT – WHY IT MATTERS
This analysis of NATO’s latest annual report is important for a number of reasons.
Firstly, it’s important for the overall defence capability picture it presents. NATO is and remains the central plank in the strategy for the defence of Europe.
The EU can bleat all it wants and posture on the world stage with its little African adventures in former French colonies, but it's not a relevant military force at present and won't be for many years, if ever.
In addition we repeatedly have to correct the EU when they try to pretend that (comparative) peace in Europe is somehow down to the EU. It is not. It is NATO that has preserved the peace and that won the Cold War.
FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS – “$710 billion dollars worth of truth”
Secondly there are the financial implications of what we have uncovered. Put simply, the UK has been subsidising the defence of its European neighbours to a massive degree. The numbers above come from NATO itself, headed by NATO’s EU-fanatic Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg.
Perhaps it’s the Secretary-General who didn’t want the kind of analysis we’ve presented to appear in their report. After all, it hardly shows the EU in a good light. Nevertheless, NATO gave us enough tables of data for us to be able to extrapolate the truth.
$710 billion dollars worth of truth. And that’s just in this decade and it’s based on 2010 prices. In other words the real amount is much higher.
We stuck to the figures NATO has used because that way our politician readers can quote them with confidence. As ever, we’re happy to make all our core information used in creating the charts and sound-bite figures available to politicians and think-tanks.
THE COST TO THE UK
Imagine the scenario in Europe if all the other EU countries had been paying their way. Overall defences would have been far stronger than they currently are, and impoverished little Russia would perhaps have thought twice before invading European soil in Crimea and Ukraine.
Very importantly, the pressure would have been relieved on the UK. Just this decade the UK has invested $46 billion more than the NATO minimum – and that’s at 2010 prices.
In the same time period Germany has invested
$220 billion less than it should have done.
Do you think this is this right? No wonder Germany always seems to have money to burn.
EU – MILITARY LEADER OF EUROPE?
The third and final point we’d like to make is about the EU, its leadership, and its military ambitions.
Please be in no doubt whatsoever. The EU plans to have its own full military forces. It plans to take over the forces of its member states, as it becomes a superstate. This is incontrovertible, as anyone who has read our defence research in the last two years knows.
FULL METAL INSANITY
It is our view that Mrs May's government's desire to keep the UK strapped into a nascent and incompetent EU military machine is sheer insanity.
For decades the EU countries haven’t even been capable of doing the basics in terms of keeping a serious military capability going. They haven’t even come remotely near to paying for it, let alone organising it.
The only two credible military powers in the EU are the United Kingdom and France, and the UK is leaving.
CONCLUSIONS
We have shown you with complete clarity how the EU countries have been unable to fund their own defence capabilities to a minimum level.
We have even shown you how the EU’s biggest economic power, Germany, has managed to decrease its percentage spending on defence, at exactly the time that it pledged to NATO that it would increase it.
If the EU countries can’t fund and manage defence inside NATO, with the huge advantage of being backed by the United States military machine and with the world’s 4th biggest military power (the UK) on its doorstep, what on earth makes anyone think they’ll be capable on their own?
We have published dozens of detailed articles about defence since before the Referendum. We’ve done so because it’s little understood. We have shone a big bright Brexit light on the EU’s plans, and on the plans of British civil servants to thwart Brexit for our boys and girls in uniform.
Please help us to continue campaigning for decency, democracy and freedom.
[ Sources: NATO | MOD | EU Council | EU Commission | EU Parliament ]
     Journalists and politicians can contact us for the full list of links, as usual.
       06.55am, 11 Jul 2018
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