These NHS numbers are so bad they’re scarcely believable, but they’re official

Facts4EU.Org reveals the full scale of the catastrophic effect of COVID on the NHS’s performance

Montage © Facts4EU.Org 2021

We publish our summary analysis of just how badly the nation’s general health is now suffering

Firstly, what are we about to show you?

We have not seen what follows anywhere else. Certainly not on the BBC or other broadcast media channels. Most people have heard about increasing waiting lists for NHS treatment, but our summary shows more.

The Facts4EU.Org team has researched the latest, detailed, official figures on waiting times for treatment in NHS England. We do not have comparable figures for the devolved nations of Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland but we must assume the picture is equally bad – if not worse – there.

We wanted to know the true picture of just how much the nation’s health is being affected by the focus on COVID-19 since it started. All figures come from the official source – from the NHS itself.

Here are the three questions we chose, from what was available in the detailed data

How many people have waited longer than four months (NHS target) from GP referral to treatment?
How many have been waiting longer than one year?
How many people are now waiting for treatment overall?

To keep things simple, we are showing just three facts, with our usual ‘at-a-glance’ charts for each. The full picture is far worse, because it does not reflect the extraordinary delays which people have experienced in trying to see their GP. All we can show is what has happened once they have seen their GP, been diagnosed, and been referred to a specialist.

And that on its own is bad enough, as readers will see.

Facts4EU.Org Summary of NHS England waiting times

Facts4EU.Org presents charts showing the change in the last two years, from July 2019 to July 2021
(Latest figures)

Waiting more than four months: 1.78 MILLION (+187%)
Waiting more than one year: 293,100 (+28,301% - over 28 thousand per cent rise)
Total patients waiting: 5.61 MILLION (+28.2%)

1. Patients waiting more than NHS 18-week target : 1.78 MILLION (increase of 187% in two years)

2. Patients waiting for more than ONE year : 293,100 (increase of 28,301% in two years)

NOTE: We know the percentage increase of over 28,000% is astonishing. This is not a typo. In July 2019 there were 1,032 people who had been waiting more than a year for treatment. By July of this year the number had risen to 293,102.

3. Total patients waiting for specialist treatment : 5.6 MILLION (increase of 28.2% in two years)

The ticking time bomb of the nation's health

According to The King's Fund, an authoritative source widely used in the health profession:-

"Covid-19 has had a big impact on elective waiting times. To prioritise hospital capacity for Covid-19 and emergency patients the NHS paused elective (non-urgent) treatment in April 2020 meaning waiting times grew quickly. However, during the national lockdowns fewer people were referred for treatment so the overall number of people on the waiting list remained fairly stable. We don’t yet know if there will be a backlog of people who will seek treatment as restrictions continue to be lifted."
The King's Fund report, 05 Aug 2021

There were almost six million fewer referrals in 2020 compared to 2019. It is highly unlikely that these patients all cured themselves. There are now recorded cases of people who became very ill but whose relatives could not persuade the GP to see them, and who sadly died as a result. In addition there are recorded cases of urgent calls for ambulances which did not arrive for many hours. And finally we know that the number of deaths at home has risen dramatically, but the reasons have not been analysed or published. As yet there is no official, detailed data about any of this.

Observations

The costs of Covid-19 measures on non-Covid health

As our name suggests, Facts4EU.Org deals in the analysis of facts. Typically these are facts about the UK’s relationship with the EU, using the EU’s own official data. Sometimes, however, we feel compelled to apply our expertise to subjects which affect the lives of those living in Brexit Britain.

We have long been dissatisfied with the quality and scope of the data available about the COVID-19 situation, and we have written about this before.

When a country is facing a situation where the government takes actions which change the fabric of society, possibly forever in several aspects, and which have had the largest impact on the economy of a country since the Second World War, it might be thought that all decisions would be based on the best facts which every official statistician involved could possibly supply.

It might also be thought that the nation’s broadcasters – in particular the state-funded BBC – would investigate the facts and ask all the appropriate questions of government.

Neither of these two hopes have been realised in the last 20 months.

Whatever readers’ individual views might be about masks, lockdowns, vaccines, COVID passports and the rest of it, we imagine all readers would like to know that the decisions made by Government would be based on very reliable and highly detailed information. We are sure that readers would also expect that decisions would be made considering all the contexts, rather than knee-jerk reactions to incomplete figures about one serious health scare.

In our report today we have tried to provide a little context, based on our research of the limited information available. Our monthly donations do not even cover the cost of one junior staffer at the BBC. Imagine what we could do if we had anything like the BBC's funding?

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[ Sources: NHS England | NHS Digital | The King's Fund ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Thur 16 Sep 2021

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Reader Comments 14

1. Heather , Thursday, September 16, 2021, 07:03:

We're not clapping now.

2. James Bertram , Thursday, September 16, 2021, 07:58:

Thank you. A timely reminder.
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As we move into Autumn/Winter the situation will get a lot worse - the NHS has been 'overwhelmed' every year for the last 20 years. Most people recognise this as being an under-resourced service, on top of being badly managed. The government has done little to improve the situation in the quiet Summer period, yet still threaten us with yet more mask mandates, vax passports, and lockdowns if the NHS 'fails to cope' this Winter (as they always do) - the same failed government policies that have led to a current 20 times higher rate of Covid deaths this September than September 2020.
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And what about the continued suppression by the government of early treatment of Covid with drugs like Ivermectin which from real world evidence suggests a saving of 70%+ of those who died of Covid? Clearly the government will continue to suppress the use of these life-saving medicines whilst their failed and dangerous vaccination programme has the opportunity to remain up and running. And what about introducing a policy of 'focussed protection'; is this still to be avoided?
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This is not about health and the well-being of the Nation; that long ago has been sacrificed by this government for an unstated global politicised medical agenda/tyranny (just as 12-15 children have been sacrificed to unnecessary vaccination - with Pfizer now advocating vaccinating babies in the US from 6 months old - no doubt coming here soon).
-
This government needs to be thrown out on its arse.

3. R. Ellison UK , Thursday, September 16, 2021, 09:01:

Hear, Hear, James Bertram! It is a failed and defunct Government and no amount of Cabinet reshuffling by the PM yesterday will fix their abysmal acceptance of directions from the WHO, two Cabinet Office 'advisors' and others - all unelected. Yet Boris ignores our elected representatives at every turn. What does this say to you?

4. Andy , Thursday, September 16, 2021, 10:20:

The NHS has been a disaster since its inception and it is time our people grew up and faced reality. Trying to get an appointment with a GP is damn near impossible proving, as if it were needed, that the whole rotten structure is there for the benefit of the employees and stuff the patients. Abolish it.

5. Stephen Spydde Baker , Thursday, September 16, 2021, 14:38:

yes but they have increased spending on diversity managers by £11m a year, something has to pay for it.. no matter what you give the nhs they will spend it and need even more money. because its full of ideoligists who don't know how money works. but want to cure everyone in the whole world

6. James Bertram , Thursday, September 16, 2021, 15:19:

Also a message to Headteachers and schoolteachers:
'A warning to headteachers and school teachers: no you are not getting out of this lightly. Either you speak out NOW against the legitimizing of injections of children with an experimental gene modification on school premises, which goes against the JCVI ruling (an official government body) , or you are ethically, morally and legally complicit and directly responsible for any injury or death of any child who was injected on the school premises.
Effectively you will be taking sides with Chris Whitty/other CMOs AGAINST the UK JCVI who are the real expert vaccine advisors to the government.

7. Colin J Moon , Thursday, September 16, 2021, 15:44:

I've been waiting 27 months if you ignore that it took 15 months to be referred to the wrong specialist, which apparently was my fault (GP misunderstood/misheard my symptoms, then went sick himself for 3 months and not one of the other 3 GPs picked up on my many phone calls or visits to ask what the delay was, and this was before covid)

8. Adam Hiley , Thursday, September 16, 2021, 16:30:

Get Johnson out of office as soon as possible I don't like Boris Johnson whatsoever even worse than Theresa May We must refuse anymore lockdowns or restrictions I have been twice jabbed I object staying home just to protect a failing NHS from itself and decades of incompetent Tory and Labour rule I wisely joined the sdp party last April because liblabconsnp have had their day

9. Not4EU, Prisoner 56743891 N. Sea Gulag 666, London , Thursday, September 16, 2021, 17:59:

Worry ye not! RNHS are already addressing this by hiring 42 diversity managers & other bureaucrats, whilst coercing medical personnel into taking experimental (emergency use authorisation only) gene therapy by threatening the loss of their job. Maybe they intend shortening the lists by further extensive use of midazolam?
RNHS has become a cult. It must not be questioned nor challenged. With two bureaucrats for every medical person it has become a behemoth of inefficient practices and a giant black hole to pour taxpayers money into. Let's not forget that, unless they work for/have a private business on the side, like ALL public employees none of the 1.5m NHS employees pay a penny into the tax pot.
Yes, there are pockets of absolute excellence but also patches of absolute cr@p and the rest pretty mediocre, often held back by the bureaucratic tickboxing.
Many people have hit a lifechanging point & changed financial circumstances, whether losing a job/business or to care for someone who is ill. The process is the same. They examine their income & expenditure, identify the critical needs, cutting back to them & only if circumstances allow, allow the 'nice to haves'.
Not so RNHS. They have the supposed bottomless pit of the taxpayer, supported by a regime (there's no way they can be described as a Government any more).
Those waiting lists will not come down, unless those people die from lack of care from RNHS. I've spoken to nurses who've admitted that hospitals were empty.
Now WE are expected to pay for their lack of activity & catch up, & the disgraceful regime is forcing through blank cheques on current & future taxes which will exclude any examination or accountability, nor any reforms. Meanwhile, the growing number of immigrants will continue to use the hospital as their GP, adding further pressure. There WILL be the annual 'crisis', enabling the regime to progress the instructions from higher ups.
Nuremberg 2 cannot come soon enough.

10. Dorset Patriot , Friday, September 17, 2021, 06:34:

https://www.salaryexpert.co...
Not saying they don't do valuable work under great pressure but this seems just too lucrative.
A career in the NHS as a Brain Surgeon.
I am told by one friend working on a house in Sandbanks that the owner told him he works two (2-4 hour) shifts a week as a Brain Surgeon and gets paid £80,000 (£40,000 per operation and he can usually complete an operation in 2 hours).
NHS problems? . . . go figure.

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