Q: How much did mortality increase last (Covid) year compared to 30 year average? A: 0.03%

You were more likely to die in 14 out of the previous 30 years

Last year your chance of dying rose by only 0.03% compared to the 30 year average

An exceptional Facts4EU.Org research report
into mortality and the Covid effect

Important: Of necessity, we have used the total mortality rate figures available - these do not reflect the disproportionately high impact of Covid-19 on the elderly and those with serious pre-existing health conditions.

In the last year our society, way of life, individual freedoms, and economy have been subjected to their most serious damage in 100 years. As usual, Facts4EU.Org therefore felt it important to get some perspective, by looking at a basic measure which readers might wish to know.

What follows is factual, it uses the latest official Government statistics, and has never been reported elsewhere.

Our question was simple: How much did mortality increase last year, historically, as a result of Covid?

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

Mortality rates in England and Wales, 1990-2020

Based on the number of deaths per 100,000 in the population, expressed as a percentage

30 year average, 1990-2019 : 0.986% (around one in 100)
2020 (first Covid year) : 1.016% (around one in 100)
Difference in chance of dying : 0.03%

[Source: Annual deaths data from the Office for National Statistics, published Feb 2021]

Why are deaths as a proportion of population important?

The population of England and Wales has increased by an astonishing 18.3% since 1990 – and these are only the official statistics. We have always believed that the population has increased far more, which is also the view of major supermarkets who should know based on food consumption.

This is also backed up by the HMRC’s data for new National Insurance registrations, which far outstrips the official immigration data as we have previously reported.

Facts4EU.Org has consistently argued that all statistics like this relating to the UK should take into account population growth – official and unofficial. Only then can the public see information in a proportionate way.

How many more people died last year, compared to previous years?

There was of course an increase in deaths in England and Wales in 2020, compared to 2019. The extra deaths amounted to 77,161. Comparing 2020 with 2018 the difference was less, at 66,413. Comparing 2020 with the previous 30 years must also, naturally, come with a 'health warning'. There have been significant advances in medicine in that time. This said, these advances have tended to improve quality and duration of life, but have not stopped people dying.

Two problems arise when we are told that “135,000 people in the UK have died of Covid-19”. Firstly, there are now strong questions being raised about the number of people who died from Covid-19 as the underlying cause of death, rather than dying of another cause but who also tested positive for Covid. The ONS itself is now suddenly showing a massive difference between those dying “due to Covid” compared to “with Covid”, In the last five weeks this gap has widened from around 12% previously, to around 23% now. We have not been able to find an explanation for this.

Secondly, the figures generally quoted are not annual figures, which makes comparisons for ordinary people very difficult.

In fact, the ONS now say that 73,444 people died in England and Wales “due to Covid” last year (2020). This a terrible number, but it’s not 135,000 and it must be set against the total number of 608,002 deaths in England and Wales in 2020 from all causes.

The average daily deaths in the five years from 2015 to 2019 was 1458 per day, from all causes. The top five killers were dementia/Alzeimers, heart disease/attacks, respiratory disease, cerebrovascular diseases, and trachea/lung cancer.

Finally, why did we only quote the figures for England and Wales?

The answer is simple. The ONS quotes statistics like these for England and Wales. They advise readers to go to the Scottish and Northern Irish statistics agencies for their figures. We simply don't have the funding to do this. Tracking down figures which are fully comparable is not as easy as it sounds. We hope that Scottish and Northern Irish readers will forgive us, but we suspect the numbers would not change significantly.

Observations

When it comes to articles like this about Covid we are severely restricted in what we can say, as a result of the inhibition on everyone from saying anything which might be seen as contravening the orthodox, approved line. This restriction on freedom of speech is something we find deplorable and we are fighting it tooth and nail.

For now, we must let the facts above speak for themselves. These are the official facts, sourced from the Office for National Statistics and analysed by Facts4EU.Org. You just haven’t seen or heard them anywhere else.

It is up to readers to draw their own conclusions about the impact on the mortality rate last year, compared to the average of the last 30 years. Tragically, Covid-19 has almost completely affected the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions, and there are some serious questions to be asked about care homes, for example.

The key fact is this: For the population of England and Wales as a whole, the mortality rate increased by 0.03% compared to the average of the previous 30 years.

We hope that the above information, researched from official sources, has been helpful.

Where would we be without you, our readers?

We are most grateful to readers who have donated so far this year, but we badly need more readers to do the same if we are to continue in our sixth year - researching facts, scrutinising, publishing, and lobbying MPs. Quick, secure, and confidential donation links are below this article, or you can use our Donations page here. 10 readers donating £500 per month, or 50 readers donating £100 per month, or 1000 readers donating £5 per month - on top of the one-off donations and monthly donations we currently receive, this would just about keep us going. If you have never donated before, please, please, keep us going with a donation now. Thank you so much. You will receive a personal 'thank you' email from a member of the team, but you will not be badgered by us for more funds, unlike some organisations!

[ Sources: Office for National Statistics ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Thur 15 Apr 2021

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Reader Comments 12

1. Not4EU, London , Thursday, April 15, 2021, 07:08:

With regards to Scotland, UK Column News have provided the following from an FOI, FOI/202100160626 dated 30/1/2021, responding on 11/3/2021.
In response to the question re "The figures of deaths in Scotland for the period of 3/3/2020 till 1/2/2021 of citizens whom have died solely of COVID-19 with no whatsoever underlying conditions", they responded
"The answer to your question is 596 deaths involving COVID-19 has been registered where there was no pre-existing medical condition between March 2020 and January 2021 (including)."
_
596.
_

2. Pete , Thursday, April 15, 2021, 07:28:

er..not a day has gone by in recent days without conservatives beating their chests about vaccination - so why all this redundant effort?
If it's a slow news day try looking at why the Tories voted out an inquiry in the latest Tory scandal - to add to the billions already skimmed in broad daylight.
At this point, we are no further from 3rd world countries. After raiding the treasury they will go after the NHS.

3. Michele Harding , Thursday, April 15, 2021, 11:03:

The con of exaggeration and fear mongering surrounding this virus is at last being exposed to the public.

4. R. Ellison Essex , Thursday, April 15, 2021, 11:10:

I notice the International Criminal Court at the Hague has accepted a Case against the Israeli Government for Genocide involving the Pfizer Jab. They Court considers there is a case to answer. Lawyers are now preparing their Case. Project Fear will not succeed.

5. W. Alkaway UK , Thursday, April 15, 2021, 11:31:

Interesting about the Hague Court case looming. I think Mr.Hancock, trying to force care workers to take the jab should take note and wind his neck in.

6. One eyed king , Thursday, April 15, 2021, 12:11:

eu refuse to ratify, someone should tell boris that if he backs up any more in his appeasement, then his arse will hang out the other side

7. kb , Thursday, April 15, 2021, 15:04:

Hang on, 73,444 Covid deaths out of 608,002 total deaths, is 12.1% not 0.03%.
Also, there have been only 4.4 million recorded cases. Maybe the true number who had infection is double this, let's say 9 million.
If everybody had carried on as normal and got infected, that works out to half a million deaths.

8. J Slater Essex , Thursday, April 15, 2021, 16:59:

No. 7 kb - you'll need to check the revised ONS figures, published a few days ago. They now differentiate between numbers dying WITH Covid, as opposed to dying OF Covid with no other underlying illnesses.

9. Robert Mcdonald , Thursday, April 15, 2021, 17:43:

Isn't the relevant question how many more would have died if the government had not locked us down and then provided vaccines. For sure the demand on hospital beds has been massive and would only be worse if action had not been taken. The fact that only c 66,000 more have died is a well done to the government.

10. kb , Thursday, April 15, 2021, 22:04:

J Slater (8): I've used the figures directly from the article. 73,444 Covid deaths out of a total of 608,002 deaths. That works out to 12.1% of deaths being due to Covid.
The reason the total deaths figure is up by only 0.03% is because other causes of death have apparently reduced. Why that is, at a time when other medical treatments were greatly reduced, is a very, very good question in itself....

12 comments, page 1 of 2

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