HOW TO TAKE OUT 1 IN 3 MPs AT THE NEXT ELECTION

Which MPs are most at risk of losing their jobs?

A brief look at how easily many MPs could be unseated

Rudd  Soubry  Gethins  Woodcock  Farron  Cherry  Greening

Following on from our earler article about democracy this morning, below we look at the majorities of MPs from the 2017 General Election, and ask how many of them could lose their jobs. Specifically we look at how many are vulnerable to a tactical vote for the second-place candidate at the next election.

Brexit Facts4EU.org Summary

The vulnerability of MPs’ jobs

  • 80 MPs could be unseated if under 1,000 voters switched at the next general election
  • Over 200 MPs could be unseated if just 3,000 voters switched votes in their constituencies
  • Cabinet ministers and shadow ministers are in the 50 most vulnerable seats

Quick bit of maths - Why is switching my vote worth double?

If you previously voted for your MP and you abstain at the next election, your MP’s majority declines by one vote.

However if you vote for the 2nd placed candidate, your MP’s majority declines by two. He/she receives one less vote but the other candidate increases by one.

The net effect is that your MP’s majority goes down by two votes.

Many readers are outraged by the conduct of their MPs over Brexit. They wish them to obey the instruction of the electorate in the EU Referendum and execute a clean Brexit on 29 March.

The principle we are exploring is simple. How many people would need to switch votes to the second most-popular candidate, all other things being equal?

The Most Vulnerable MPs

Below are the top 35 most vulnerable MPs to switched votes at the next election, followed by links to the tables down to the top 245. This is over one-third of the House of Commons.

Vulnerable MPs

Most vulnerable MPs 36-70

Most vulnerable MPs 71-105

Most vulnerable MPs 106-140

Most vulnerable MPs 141-175

Most vulnerable MPs 176-210

Most vulnerable MPs 211-245

© Brexit Facts4EU.Org 2019

Some readers may feel that all MPs who are disrespecting the decision of the British people at the EU Referendum should be voted out. The above tables merely show the most vulnerable.

Please note that these tables are not available elsewhere and are the result of the Brexit Facts4EU.Org team pooling different datasets from the Electoral Commission and from Parliament itself, in order to create something simple to read and understand.

Observations

Ordinary people are now starting to make their voices heard. Many have used the tools available from our #GoWTO campaign headlined by MPs, MEPs and a great many pro-Brexit organisations) and by using our Brexit Battle Pack which we launched last summer.

Maybe you could spare ten minutes to print out and send a letter to your MP today?

Our research for each article takes many hours from several people on the team. None of this is worthwhile unless people take action. We very much hope you will feel inspired today, ahead of the crucial votes in the coming days.

#GoWTO

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, 20 Mar 2019

[ Sources: Electoral Commission | Parliament ]

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